andrew_gelman_stats andrew_gelman_stats-2010 andrew_gelman_stats-2010-264 knowledge-graph by maker-knowledge-mining
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Introduction: Details here. P.S. No update on Ed Park or Vin Scully .
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same-blog 1 0.99999994 264 andrew gelman stats-2010-09-08-Tortoise is planning to vote Republican this year
Introduction: Details here. P.S. No update on Ed Park or Vin Scully .
2 0.21709113 676 andrew gelman stats-2011-04-23-The payoff: $650. The odds: 1 in 500,000.
Introduction: Details here .
3 0.15828399 469 andrew gelman stats-2010-12-16-2500 people living in a park in Chicago?
Introduction: Frank Hansen writes: Columbus Park is on Chicago’s west side, in the Austin neighborhood. The park is a big green area which includes a golf course. Here is the google satellite view. Here is the nytimes page. Go to Chicago, and zoom over to the census tract 2521, which is just north of the horizontal gray line (Eisenhower Expressway, aka I290) and just east of Oak Park. The park is labeled on the nytimes map. The census data have around 50 dots (they say 50 people per dot) in the park which has no residential buildings. Congressional district is Danny Davis, IL7. Here’s a map of the district. So, how do we explain the map showing ~50 dots worth of people living in the park. What’s up with the algorithm to place the dots? I dunno. I leave this one to you, the readers.
4 0.13881271 665 andrew gelman stats-2011-04-17-Yes, your wish shall be granted (in 25 years)
Introduction: This one was so beautiful I just had to repost it: From the New York Times, 9 Sept 1981: IF I COULD CHANGE PARK SLOPE If I could change Park Slope I would turn it into a palace with queens and kings and princesses to dance the night away at the ball. The trees would look like garden stalks. The lights would look like silver pearls and the dresses would look like soft silver silk. You should see the ball. It looks so luxurious to me. The Park Slope ball is great. Can you guess what street it’s on? “Yes. My street. That’s Carroll Street.” – Jennifer Chatmon, second grade, P.S. 321 This was a few years before my sister told me that she felt safer having a crack house down the block because the cops were surveilling it all the time.
5 0.11990233 30 andrew gelman stats-2010-05-13-Trips to Cleveland
Introduction: Helen DeWitt writes about The Ask, the new book by Sam Lipsyte, author of a hilarious book I read a couple years ago about a loser guy who goes to his high school reunion. I haven’t read Lipsyte’s new book but was interested to see that he teaches at Columbia. Perhaps I can take him to lunch (either before or after I work up the courage to call Gary Shteyngart and ask him about my theory that the main character of that book is a symbol of modern-day America). In any case, in the grand tradition of reviewing the review, I have some thoughts inspired by DeWitt, who quotes from this interview : LRS: I was studying writing at college and then this professor showed up, a disciple of Gordon Lish, and we operated according to the Lish method. You start reading your work and then as soon as you hit a false note she made you stop. Lipsyte: Yeah, Lish would say, “That’s bullshit!” If they did this for statistics articles, I think they’d rarely get past the abstract, most of the ti
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same-blog 1 0.98753405 264 andrew gelman stats-2010-09-08-Tortoise is planning to vote Republican this year
Introduction: Details here. P.S. No update on Ed Park or Vin Scully .
2 0.68011558 676 andrew gelman stats-2011-04-23-The payoff: $650. The odds: 1 in 500,000.
Introduction: Details here .
3 0.41338632 1847 andrew gelman stats-2013-05-08-Of parsing and chess
Introduction: Gary Marcus writes , An algorithm that is good at chess won’t help parsing sentences, and one that parses sentences likely won’t be much help playing chess. That is soooo true. I’m excellent at parsing sentences but I’m not so great at chess. And, worse than that, my chess ability seems to be declining from year to year. Which reminds me: I recently read Frank Brady’s much lauded Endgame , a biography of Bobby Fischer. The first few chapters were great, not just the Cinderella story of his steps to the world championship, but also the background on his childhood and the stories of the games and tournaments that he lost along the way. But after Fischer beats Spassky in 1972, the book just dies. Brady has chapter after chapter on Fisher’s life, his paranoia, his girlfriends, his travels. But, really, after the chess is over, it’s just sad and kind of boring. I’d much rather have had twice as much detail on the first part of the life and then had the post-1972 era compr
4 0.39996409 1638 andrew gelman stats-2012-12-25-Diving chess
Introduction: Knowing of my interest in Turing run-around-the-house chess , David Lockhart points me to this : Diving Chess is a chess variant, which is played in a swimming pool. Instead of using chess clocks, each player must submerge themselves underwater during their turn, only to resurface when they are ready to make a move. Players must make a move within 5 seconds of resurfacing (they will receive a warning if not, and three warnings will result in a forfeit). Diving Chess was invented by American Chess Master Etan Ilfeld; the very first exhibition game took place between Ilfeld and former British Chess Champion William Hartston at the Thirdspace gym in Soho on August 2nd, 2011. Hartston won the match which lasted almost two hours such that each player was underwater for an entire hour.
5 0.37395349 345 andrew gelman stats-2010-10-15-Things we do on sabbatical instead of actually working
Introduction: Frank Fischer, a political scientist at Rutgers U., says his alleged plagiarism was mere sloppiness and not all that uncommon in scholarship. I’ve heard about plagiarism but I had no idea it occurred in political science.
6 0.36881489 2234 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-05-Plagiarism, Arizona style
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20 0.31289041 469 andrew gelman stats-2010-12-16-2500 people living in a park in Chicago?
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same-blog 1 0.95909828 264 andrew gelman stats-2010-09-08-Tortoise is planning to vote Republican this year
Introduction: Details here. P.S. No update on Ed Park or Vin Scully .
2 0.69381863 52 andrew gelman stats-2010-05-26-Intellectual property
Introduction: Somebody should warn Doris Kearns Goodwin not to take any of this guy’s material. . . .
3 0.38642141 1741 andrew gelman stats-2013-02-27-Thin scientists say it’s unhealthy to be fat
Introduction: “Even as you get near the upper reaches of the normal weight range, you begin to see increases in chronic diseases,” said JoAnn Manson, chief of the Division of Preventive Medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, HMS Michael and Lee Bell Professor of Women’s Health, and HSPH professor of epidemiology. “It’s a clear gradient of increase.” Yeah, she would say that. Thin people. And then there’s Frank Hu, professor of nutrition at Harvard: The studies that Flegal [the author of the original study finding a negative correlation between body mass index and mortality] did use included many samples of people who were chronically ill, current smokers and elderly, according to Hu. These factors are associated with weight loss and increased mortality. In other words, people are not dying because they are slim, he said. They are slim because they are dying—of cancer or old age, for example. By doing a meta-analysis of studies that did not properly control for this bias, Flegal amplif
4 0.37910843 821 andrew gelman stats-2011-07-25-See me talk in the Upper West Side (without graphs) today
Introduction: At Picnic Cafe, Broadway at 101 St, 6-7pm today. Should we vote even though it probably won’t make a difference? Why is the question “Are we better off now than four years ago?” not an appeal to selfishness? Are Americans as polarized as we think? Come explore these and other questions about voting in America today. It’s the usual stuff but close-up so lots of opportunity to argue and heckle. No slides or graphs. My plan is to hand out 30-50 index cards, each with a phrase (for example, “Moderation in the pursuit of moderation is no vice” or “Gerrymandering is good for you” or “How to predict elections”), then participants can call out topics and I’ll yap on them (with discussion) till we run out of time. It’ll be weird to talk without graphs. We’ll see how it goes.
5 0.36522514 353 andrew gelman stats-2010-10-19-The violent crime rate was about 75% higher in Detroit than in Minneapolis in 2009
Introduction: Christopher Uggen reports . I’m surprised the difference is so small. I would’ve thought the crime rate was something like 5 times higher in Detroit than in Minneapolis. I guess Minneapolis must have some rough neighborhoods. Or maybe it’s just that I don’t have a good framework for thinking about crime statistics.
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