andrew_gelman_stats andrew_gelman_stats-2012 andrew_gelman_stats-2012-1583 knowledge-graph by maker-knowledge-mining
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Introduction: From Alexandr Grigoryev: “Америка: «красная», «синяя» и «пурпурная».” Apparently my name is Эндрю Гелман. I had no idea that the Voice of America even existed anymore!
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same-blog 1 1.0 1583 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-19-I can’t read this interview with me
Introduction: From Alexandr Grigoryev: “Америка: «красная», «синяя» и «пурпурная».” Apparently my name is Эндрю Гелман. I had no idea that the Voice of America even existed anymore!
2 0.18371569 1538 andrew gelman stats-2012-10-17-Rust
Introduction: I happened to be referring to the path sampling paper today and took a look at Appendix A.2: I’m sure I could reconstruct all of this if I had to, but I certainly can’t read this sort of thing cold anymore.
3 0.11476339 1938 andrew gelman stats-2013-07-14-Learning how to speak
Introduction: I’ve been trying to reduce my American accent when speaking French. I tried taping my voice and playing it back, but that didn’t help. I couldn’t actually tell that I had a strong accent by listening to myself. My own voice is just too familiar to me. Then Malecki told me about the international phonetic alphabet, which is just great. And there’s even a convenient website that translates. For example, le loup est revenu -> lə lu ε ʀəvny I stared at Malecki’s mouth while he said the phrase, and I finally understood the difference between the two different “oo” sounds. That evening at home I tried it out on the local expert and he laughed at my attempts but grudgingly admitted I was getting better. On about the 10th try, after watching him say it over and over and staring at his mouth, I was finally able to do it! I know this is going to sound stupid to all you linguistics experts out there, but I had no idea that you could figure out how to speak better by staring at s
4 0.10644095 1895 andrew gelman stats-2013-06-12-Peter Thiel is writing another book!
Introduction: Tyler Cowen links : “I’m writing this book because we need to think about the future for more than just 140 characters or 15 minutes at a time if we want to make real long-term progress,” Mr. Thiel said in a statement. “’Zero to One’ is about learning from Silicon Valley how to solve hard problems and build great things that have never existed before.” I wonder how Thiel’s previous book turned out?
5 0.098365933 207 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-14-Pourquoi Google search est devenu plus raisonnable?
Introduction: A few months ago I questioned Dan Ariely’s belief that Google is the voice of the people by reporting the following bizarre options that Google gave to complete the simplest search I could think of: Several commenters gave informed discussions about what was going on in Google’s program. Maybe things are better now, though? The latest version seems much more reasonable: (Aleks sent this to me, then I checked on my own computer and got the same thing.)
6 0.092927039 164 andrew gelman stats-2010-07-26-A very short story
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10 0.080500893 2126 andrew gelman stats-2013-12-07-If I could’ve done it all over again
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12 0.073999897 1581 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-17-Horrible but harmless?
13 0.071064048 1880 andrew gelman stats-2013-06-02-Flame bait
14 0.071036056 1159 andrew gelman stats-2012-02-08-Charles Murray [perhaps] does a Tucker Carlson, provoking me to unleash the usual torrent of graphs
15 0.069467649 1293 andrew gelman stats-2012-05-01-Huff the Magic Dragon
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same-blog 1 0.95337099 1583 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-19-I can’t read this interview with me
Introduction: From Alexandr Grigoryev: “Америка: «красная», «синяя» и «пурпурная».” Apparently my name is Эндрю Гелман. I had no idea that the Voice of America even existed anymore!
2 0.66489106 1249 andrew gelman stats-2012-04-06-Thinking seriously about social science research
Introduction: I haven’t linked to the Baby Name Wizard in awhile. . . . Laura Wattenberg takes a look at the question , “Does a hard-to-pronounce baby name hurt you?” Critical thinking without “debunking”—this is the way to go.
3 0.58627945 2333 andrew gelman stats-2014-05-13-Personally, I’d rather go with Teragram
Introduction: This one stunned me but perhaps will be no surprise to those of you who are under 30. Laura Wattenberg writes : I live in a state where a baby girl is more likely to be named Margaret than Nevaeh. Let me restate that: I live in the only state where a baby girl is more likely to be named Margaret than Nevaeh. Wow. But I guess you can’t really use the name Teragram for a baby girl, it will make it sound like she’s fat.
4 0.5738039 720 andrew gelman stats-2011-05-20-Baby name wizards
Introduction: The other day I noticed a car with the improbable name of Nissan Rogue, from Darien, Connecticut (at least that’s what the license plate frame said). And, after all, what could be more “rogue”-like than a suburban SUV? I can’t blame the driver of the car for this one; I’m just amused that the marketers and Nissan thought this was an appropriate name for the car.
5 0.54678625 2212 andrew gelman stats-2014-02-15-Mary, Mary, why ya buggin
Introduction: In our Cliff thread from yesterday, sociologist Philip Cohen pointed to his discussions in the decline in the popularity of the name Mary. One thing that came up was the traditional trendiness of girls’ names. So I thought I’d share my thoughts from a couple of years ago, as reported by David Leonhardt: Andrew Gelman, a statistics professor at Columbia and an amateur name-ologist, argues that many parents want their boys to seem mature and so pick classic names. William, David, Joseph and James, all longtime stalwarts, remain in the Top 20. With girls, Gelman says, parents are attracted to names that convey youth even into adulthood and choose names that seem to be on the upswing. By the 1990s, of course, not many girls from the 1880s were still around, and that era’s names could seem fresh again. This search for youthfulness makes girls’ names more volatile — and increasingly so, as more statistics about names become available and parents grow more willing to experiment
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same-blog 1 0.91628528 1583 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-19-I can’t read this interview with me
Introduction: From Alexandr Grigoryev: “Америка: «красная», «синяя» и «пурпурная».” Apparently my name is Эндрю Гелман. I had no idea that the Voice of America even existed anymore!
2 0.6858843 1569 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-08-30-30-40 Nation
Introduction: Barack Obama’s win has a potentially huge effect on policy. The current budget negotiations will affect the level and direction of government spending and on the mix of taxes paid by different groups of Americans. We can guess that a President Romney would have fought hard against upper-income tax increases. Other areas of long-term impact include the government’s stance on global warming, foreign policy, and the likelihood that Obama will nominate new Supreme Court justices who will uphold the right to abortion announced in Roe v. Wade. When it comes to public opinion, the story is different. The Democrats may well benefit in 2014 and 2016 from the anticipated slow but steady recovery of the economy over the next few years—but, as of November 6, 2012, the parties are essentially tied, with Barack Obama receiving 51% of the two-party vote, compared to Mitt Romney’s 49%, a split comparable to Al Gore’s narrow victory in 2000, Richard Nixon’s in 1968, and John Kennedy’s in 1960.
3 0.68168569 1210 andrew gelman stats-2012-03-12-Plagiarists are in the habit of lying
Introduction: Amy Hundley writes in the New Yorker about a notorious recent case of unacknowledged literary quilting : I [Hundley] was the editor at Grove/Atlantic to whom Quentin Rowan’s novel “Appearance and the Park” was submitted (“The Plagiarist’s Tale,” by Lizzie Widdicombe, February 13th & 20th). Widdicombe writes that the editor in question thought that “its plot was too close to that of another of the house’s books, ‘My Idea of Fun,’ by Will Self,” and I can only assume that this explanation came from Rowan. In fact, Rowan had lifted a passage nearly verbatim from Will Self’s novella “The Sweet Smell of Psychosis.” It was an especially delicious one, in which Self describes the media denizens of a particular bar. I recognized it immediately and informed his agent that he’d plagiarized it. Writing a plot similar to a successful novelist’s—something that can arise innocently—is very different from plagiarizing. Appropriating and remixing someone else’s work while acknowledging sources is
4 0.67471081 683 andrew gelman stats-2011-04-28-Asymmetry in Political Bias
Introduction: Tyler Cowen points to an article by Riccardo Puglisi, who writes: Controlling for the activity of the incumbent president and the U.S. Congress across issues, I find that during a presidential campaign, The New York Times gives more emphasis to topics on which the Democratic party is perceived as more competent (civil rights, health care, labor and social welfare) when the incumbent president is a Republican. This is consistent with the hypothesis that The New York Times has a Democratic partisanship, with some “anti-incumbent” aspects . . . consistent with The New York Times departing from demand-driven news coverage. I haven’t read the article in the question but the claim seems plausible to me. I’ve often thought there is an asymmetry in media bias, with Democratic reporters–a survey a few years ago found that twice as many journalists identify as Democrats than as Republicans–biasing their reporting by choosing which topics to focus on, and Republican news organization
5 0.66670775 1123 andrew gelman stats-2012-01-17-Big corporations are more popular than you might realize
Introduction: Robin Hanson writes , “people tend to like cities more than firms . . . people tend to dislike bigger firms more than small ones, cities tend to be bigger than firms, and the biggest cities tend to be the most celebrated.” Hansen goes on to consider explanations (involving “the joy of sometimes dominating,” etc.) but ends up describing himself as confused. One reason he might be confused is that, at least in the data I’ve seen, people don’t dislike big corporations—at least not when the corporation is named. Consider some survey data from 2007: OK, sure, now that there’s a recession on, Citibank probably doesn’t have 78% approval anymore. Still, these companies are pretty damn popular. You might think lots of Americans think Starbucks is stuck-up? Nope. 79% approval. Pfizer? 77%. I have no idea why Target is so much more popular than Walmart, but in any case all these numbers (with the exception of oil-spillin’ Exxon and war-profitin’ Halliburton) are stratosp
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