andrew_gelman_stats andrew_gelman_stats-2012 andrew_gelman_stats-2012-1281 knowledge-graph by maker-knowledge-mining

1281 andrew gelman stats-2012-04-25-Dyson’s baffling love of crackpots


meta infos for this blog

Source: html

Introduction: Peter Woit reports on the sympathy that well-known physicist Freeman Dyson has with crackpot theorists. The interesting part is that Dyson has positive feelings for these cranks, even while believing that their theories are completely wrong : In my [Dyson's] career as a scientist, I twice had the good fortune to be a personal friend of a famous dissident. One dissident, Sir Arthur Eddington, was an insider like Thomson and Tait. The other, Immanuel Velikovsky, was an outsider like Carter. Both of them were tragic figures, intellectually brilliant and morally courageous, with the same fatal flaw as Carter. Both of them were possessed by fantasies that people with ordinary common sense could recognize as nonsense. I made it clear to both that I did not believe their fantasies, but I admired them as human beings and as imaginative artists. I admired them most of all for their stubborn refusal to remain silent. With the whole world against them, they remained true to their beliefs.


Summary: the most important sentenses genereted by tfidf model

sentIndex sentText sentNum sentScore

1 Peter Woit reports on the sympathy that well-known physicist Freeman Dyson has with crackpot theorists. [sent-1, score-0.306]

2 The interesting part is that Dyson has positive feelings for these cranks, even while believing that their theories are completely wrong : In my [Dyson's] career as a scientist, I twice had the good fortune to be a personal friend of a famous dissident. [sent-2, score-0.212]

3 Both of them were possessed by fantasies that people with ordinary common sense could recognize as nonsense. [sent-6, score-0.198]

4 I made it clear to both that I did not believe their fantasies, but I admired them as human beings and as imaginative artists. [sent-7, score-0.201]

5 I admired them most of all for their stubborn refusal to remain silent. [sent-8, score-0.201]

6 I agree with Peter Woit that “this sympathy for a great physicist who headed down a wrong path in his later years is easy to understand, but the case of Velikovsky is less so. [sent-12, score-0.186]

7 Velikovsky was a well-known author of crackpot best-sellers starting in the 1950s . [sent-13, score-0.168]

8 ” Woit quotes what Dyson “wrote as a proposed blurb for Velikovsky in 1977″: First, as a scientist, I [Dyson] disagree profoundly with many of the statements in your books. [sent-17, score-0.15]

9 Second, as your friend, I disagree even more profoundly with those scientists who have tried to silence your voice. [sent-18, score-0.232]

10 You are a prophet in the tradition of William Blake, a man reviled and ridiculed by his contemporaries but now recognized as one of the greatest of English poets. [sent-20, score-0.154]

11 Your poetic visions are as large as his and as deeply rooted in human experience. [sent-26, score-0.226]

12 The mythologies of Carter and Velikovsky fail to be science, but they are works of art and high imagining. [sent-31, score-0.117]

13 I don’t think such voices should be silenced (as Dyson puts it), but it’s probably a good thing to keep these theories off the nonfiction shelves. [sent-35, score-0.205]

14 I see the appeal of poetry and literature and philosophy and all sorts of things that aren’t science, and I recognize that poets, philosophers, etc. [sent-36, score-0.113]

15 His visions are part of who he was, and I wouldn’t trade Valis for anything, but without the art the visions aren’t so exciting. [sent-40, score-0.473]

16 My impression is that the problem with crackpot scientific theories is not that they are not beautiful but that they lead to no scientific progress or understanding. [sent-41, score-0.447]

17 It is only if his theories point toward scientific understanding that they have value. [sent-43, score-0.194]

18 In contrast, Blake was an artists whose visions are appealing without any necessity for them to correspond to scientific reality. [sent-44, score-0.263]

19 To me, a good analogy would be with the fascinating “ outsider art ” done by schizophrenics, where an entire canvas is covered with tiny scribbles relating to the nature of the universe. [sent-45, score-0.289]

20 Whatever people think of William Blake’s scientific ideas now, he is admired as a poet and artist. [sent-51, score-0.334]


similar blogs computed by tfidf model

tfidf for this blog:

wordName wordTfidf (topN-words)

[('dyson', 0.51), ('velikovsky', 0.392), ('blake', 0.336), ('woit', 0.178), ('visions', 0.178), ('crackpot', 0.168), ('admired', 0.153), ('art', 0.117), ('theories', 0.109), ('profoundly', 0.102), ('william', 0.098), ('fantasies', 0.096), ('poet', 0.096), ('scientific', 0.085), ('silence', 0.082), ('imagination', 0.08), ('sympathy', 0.073), ('outsider', 0.071), ('observation', 0.066), ('physicist', 0.065), ('guy', 0.062), ('appeal', 0.062), ('peter', 0.057), ('partly', 0.054), ('friend', 0.053), ('man', 0.052), ('possessed', 0.051), ('poets', 0.051), ('schizophrenics', 0.051), ('bestsellers', 0.051), ('canvas', 0.051), ('chariots', 0.051), ('contemporaries', 0.051), ('courageous', 0.051), ('gods', 0.051), ('prophet', 0.051), ('reincarnation', 0.051), ('talents', 0.051), ('thomson', 0.051), ('recognize', 0.051), ('good', 0.05), ('disagree', 0.048), ('pretend', 0.048), ('poetic', 0.048), ('imaginative', 0.048), ('headed', 0.048), ('seventy', 0.048), ('virtuous', 0.048), ('stubborn', 0.048), ('nonfiction', 0.046)]

similar blogs list:

simIndex simValue blogId blogTitle

same-blog 1 1.0000001 1281 andrew gelman stats-2012-04-25-Dyson’s baffling love of crackpots

Introduction: Peter Woit reports on the sympathy that well-known physicist Freeman Dyson has with crackpot theorists. The interesting part is that Dyson has positive feelings for these cranks, even while believing that their theories are completely wrong : In my [Dyson's] career as a scientist, I twice had the good fortune to be a personal friend of a famous dissident. One dissident, Sir Arthur Eddington, was an insider like Thomson and Tait. The other, Immanuel Velikovsky, was an outsider like Carter. Both of them were tragic figures, intellectually brilliant and morally courageous, with the same fatal flaw as Carter. Both of them were possessed by fantasies that people with ordinary common sense could recognize as nonsense. I made it clear to both that I did not believe their fantasies, but I admired them as human beings and as imaginative artists. I admired them most of all for their stubborn refusal to remain silent. With the whole world against them, they remained true to their beliefs.

2 0.099031426 1785 andrew gelman stats-2013-04-02-So much artistic talent

Introduction: I saw this excellent art show the other day, and it reminded me how much artistic talent is out there. I really have no idea whassup with those all-black canvases and the other stuff you see at modern art museums, given that there’s so much interesting new stuff being created every year. I see a big difference between art made by people who feel they have something they want to say, compared to art being made by people who feel they are supposed to make art because they’re artists. And there’s also the internal logic of art responding to other art, as Tom Wolfe discussed in The Painted Word.

3 0.094784781 430 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-25-The von Neumann paradox

Introduction: I, like Steve Hsu , I too would love to read a definitive biography of John von Neumann (or, as we’d say in the U.S., “John Neumann”). I’ve read little things about him in various places such as Stanislaw Ulam’s classic autobiography, and two things I’ve repeatedly noticed are: 1. Neumann comes off as a obnoxious, self-satisfied jerk. He just seems like the kind of guy I wouldn’t like in real life. 2. All these great men seem to really have loved the guy. It’s hard for me to reconcile two impressions above. Of course, lots of people have a good side and a bad side, but what’s striking here is that my impressions of Neumann’s bad side come from the very stories that his friends use to demonstrate how lovable he was! So, yes, I’d like to see the biography–but only if it could resolve this paradox. Also, I don’t know how relevant this is, but Neumann shares one thing with the more-lovable Ulam and the less-lovable Mandelbrot: all had Jewish backgrounds but didn’t seem to

4 0.084657699 1892 andrew gelman stats-2013-06-10-I don’t think we get much out of framing politics as the Tragic Vision vs. the Utopian Vision

Introduction: Ole Rogeberg writes: Recently read your  blogpost on Pinker’s views regarding red and blue states . This might help you see where he’s coming from: The “conflict of visions” thing that Pinker repeats to likely refers to Thomas Sowell’s work in the books “Conflict of Visions” and “Visions of the anointed.” The “Conflict of visions” book is on  his top-5 favorite book list  and in a  Q&A; interview  he explains it as follows: Q: What is the Tragic Vision vs. the Utopian Vision? A: They are the different visions of human nature that underlie left-wing and right-wing ideologies. The distinction comes from the economist Thomas Sowell in his wonderful book “A Conflict of Visions.” According to the Tragic Vision, humans are inherently limited in virtue, wisdom, and knowledge, and social arrangements must acknowledge those limits. According to the Utopian vision, these limits are “products†of our social arrangements, and we should strive to overcome them in a better society of the f

5 0.084625378 1390 andrew gelman stats-2012-06-23-Traditionalist claims that modern art could just as well be replaced by a “paint-throwing chimp”

Introduction: Jed Dougherty points me to this opinion piece by Jacqueline Stevens, a professor of art at Northwestern University, who writes: Artists are defensive these days because in May the House passed an amendment to a bill eliminating the National Endowment for the Arts. Colleagues, especially those who have received N.E.A. grants, will loathe me for saying this, but just this once I’m sympathetic with the anti-intellectual Republicans behind this amendment. Why? The bill incited a national conversation about a subject that has troubled me for decades: the government — disproportionately — supports art that I do not like. Actually, just about nobody likes modern art. All those soup cans—what’s that all about? The stuff they have in museums nowadays, my 4-year-old could do better than that. Two-thirds of so-called modern artists are drunk and two-thirds are frauds. And, no, I didn’t get my math wrong—there’s just a lot of overlap among these categories! It’s an open secret in my

6 0.081205837 1419 andrew gelman stats-2012-07-17-“Faith means belief in something concerning which doubt is theoretically possible.” — William James

7 0.079476565 102 andrew gelman stats-2010-06-21-Why modern art is all in the mind

8 0.06376455 1844 andrew gelman stats-2013-05-06-Against optimism about social science

9 0.058785245 2269 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-27-Beyond the Valley of the Trolls

10 0.056998596 1784 andrew gelman stats-2013-04-01-Wolfram on Mandelbrot

11 0.05412779 719 andrew gelman stats-2011-05-19-Everything is Obvious (once you know the answer)

12 0.053842809 1553 andrew gelman stats-2012-10-30-Real rothko, fake rothko

13 0.050004296 2245 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-12-More on publishing in journals

14 0.049114916 1861 andrew gelman stats-2013-05-17-Where do theories come from?

15 0.049100645 1779 andrew gelman stats-2013-03-27-“Two Dogmas of Strong Objective Bayesianism”

16 0.048552409 2006 andrew gelman stats-2013-09-03-Evaluating evidence from published research

17 0.047082759 1833 andrew gelman stats-2013-04-30-“Tragedy of the science-communication commons”

18 0.047026116 970 andrew gelman stats-2011-10-24-Bell Labs

19 0.046793394 1631 andrew gelman stats-2012-12-19-Steven Pinker is a psychologist who writes on politics. His theories are interesting but are framed too universally to be valid

20 0.04564539 2172 andrew gelman stats-2014-01-14-Advice on writing research articles


similar blogs computed by lsi model

lsi for this blog:

topicId topicWeight

[(0, 0.103), (1, -0.046), (2, -0.028), (3, 0.008), (4, -0.033), (5, -0.017), (6, 0.032), (7, 0.008), (8, 0.03), (9, 0.011), (10, -0.027), (11, -0.007), (12, -0.016), (13, -0.0), (14, 0.003), (15, -0.006), (16, -0.004), (17, -0.004), (18, 0.029), (19, -0.014), (20, -0.02), (21, -0.009), (22, -0.026), (23, 0.003), (24, -0.009), (25, 0.011), (26, 0.009), (27, 0.024), (28, -0.024), (29, 0.001), (30, 0.018), (31, 0.008), (32, -0.002), (33, -0.016), (34, 0.003), (35, -0.013), (36, -0.009), (37, 0.02), (38, 0.005), (39, -0.025), (40, 0.011), (41, -0.011), (42, -0.001), (43, 0.013), (44, 0.009), (45, 0.001), (46, -0.009), (47, -0.014), (48, 0.023), (49, 0.009)]

similar blogs list:

simIndex simValue blogId blogTitle

same-blog 1 0.96165156 1281 andrew gelman stats-2012-04-25-Dyson’s baffling love of crackpots

Introduction: Peter Woit reports on the sympathy that well-known physicist Freeman Dyson has with crackpot theorists. The interesting part is that Dyson has positive feelings for these cranks, even while believing that their theories are completely wrong : In my [Dyson's] career as a scientist, I twice had the good fortune to be a personal friend of a famous dissident. One dissident, Sir Arthur Eddington, was an insider like Thomson and Tait. The other, Immanuel Velikovsky, was an outsider like Carter. Both of them were tragic figures, intellectually brilliant and morally courageous, with the same fatal flaw as Carter. Both of them were possessed by fantasies that people with ordinary common sense could recognize as nonsense. I made it clear to both that I did not believe their fantasies, but I admired them as human beings and as imaginative artists. I admired them most of all for their stubborn refusal to remain silent. With the whole world against them, they remained true to their beliefs.

2 0.83602351 189 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-06-Proposal for a moratorium on the use of the words “fashionable” and “trendy”

Introduction: Tyler Cowen links to an interesting article by Terry Teachout on David Mamet’s political conservatism. I don’t think of playwrights as gurus, but I do find it interesting to consider the political orientations of authors and celebrities . I have only one problem with Teachout’s thought-provoking article. He writes: As early as 2002 . . . Arguing that “the Western press [had] embraced antisemitism as the new black,” Mamet drew a sharp contrast between that trendy distaste for Jews and the harsh realities of daily life in Israel . . . In 2006, Mamet published a collection of essays called The Wicked Son: Anti-Semitism, Jewish Self-Hatred and the Jews that made the point even more bluntly. “The Jewish State,” he wrote, “has offered the Arab world peace since 1948; it has received war, and slaughter, and the rhetoric of annihilation.” He went on to argue that secularized Jews who “reject their birthright of ‘connection to the Divine’” succumb in time to a self-hatred tha

3 0.82215446 2058 andrew gelman stats-2013-10-11-Gladwell and Chabris, David and Goliath, and science writing as stone soup

Introduction: The only thing is, I’m not sure who’s David here and who is Goliath. From the standpoint of book sales, Gladwell is Goliath for sure. On the other hand, Gladwell’s credibility has been weakened over the years by fights with bigshots such as Steven Pinker. Maybe the best analogy is a boxing match where Gladwell stands in the ring and fighter after fighter is sent in to bang him up. At some point the heavyweight gets a little bit tired. (Recently Gladwell had a New Yorker column defending dopers such as Lance Armstrong, so I suspect he’ll have Kaiser Fung coming after him again , once the current lucha with Chabris is over.) Chabris took his swing at Gladwell a few days ago, as I reported here . Yesterday was Gladwell’s turn . I have a lot of sympathy for the Blink-man here: he writes these bestsellers and puts himself out there, so he’s a target. If Gladwell’s books were generic business-bestseller pap of the be-yourself-and-be-tough variety, he wouldn’t get hassled. It

4 0.81845123 2251 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-17-In the best alternative histories, the real world is what’s ultimately real

Introduction: This amusing-yet-so-true video directed by Eléonore Pourriat shows a sex-role-reversed world where women are in charge and men don’t get taken seriously. It’s convincing and affecting, but the twist that interests me comes at the end, when the real world returns. It’s really creepy. And this in turn reminds me of something we discussed here several years ago, the idea that alternative histories are made particularly compelling when they are grounded in the fact that the alternate world is not the real world. Pourriat’s video would have been excellent even without its final scene, but that scene drives the point home in a way that I don’t think would’ve been possible had the video stayed entirely within its artificial world. The point here is that the real world is indeed what is real. This alternative sex-role-reversed world is not actually possible, and what makes it interesting to think about is the contrast to what really is. If you set up an alternative history but you do

5 0.81761903 335 andrew gelman stats-2010-10-11-How to think about Lou Dobbs

Introduction: I was unsurprised to read that Lou Dobbs, the former CNN host who crusaded against illegal immigrants, had actually hired a bunch of them himself to maintain his large house and his horse farm. (OK, I have to admit I was surprised by the part about the horse farm.) But I think most of the reactions to this story missed the point. Isabel Macdonald’s article that broke the story was entitled, “Lou Dobbs, American Hypocrite,” and most of the discussion went from there, with some commenters piling on Dobbs and others defending him by saying that Dobbs hired his laborers through contractors and may not have known they were in the country illegally. To me, though, the key issue is slightly different. And Macdonald’s story is relevant whether or not Dobbs knew he was hiring illegals. My point is not that Dobbs is a bad guy, or a hypocrite, or whatever. My point is that, in his setting, it would take an extraordinary effort to not hire illegal immigrants to take care of his house

6 0.8131178 2053 andrew gelman stats-2013-10-06-Ideas that spread fast and slow

7 0.81307381 564 andrew gelman stats-2011-02-08-Different attitudes about parenting, possibly deriving from different attitudes about self

8 0.80030066 139 andrew gelman stats-2010-07-10-Life in New York, Then and Now

9 0.79897803 1616 andrew gelman stats-2012-12-10-John McAfee is a Heinlein hero

10 0.79663301 197 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-10-The last great essayist?

11 0.79601401 174 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-01-Literature and life

12 0.79511362 889 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-04-The acupuncture paradox

13 0.7948193 949 andrew gelman stats-2011-10-10-Grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

14 0.7920953 715 andrew gelman stats-2011-05-16-“It doesn’t matter if you believe in God. What matters is if God believes in you.”

15 0.78884846 1553 andrew gelman stats-2012-10-30-Real rothko, fake rothko

16 0.788288 168 andrew gelman stats-2010-07-28-Colorless green, and clueless

17 0.78646141 719 andrew gelman stats-2011-05-19-Everything is Obvious (once you know the answer)

18 0.78419828 1031 andrew gelman stats-2011-11-27-Richard Stallman and John McCarthy

19 0.78221703 430 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-25-The von Neumann paradox

20 0.77617991 1930 andrew gelman stats-2013-07-09-Symposium Magazine


similar blogs computed by lda model

lda for this blog:

topicId topicWeight

[(15, 0.023), (16, 0.063), (24, 0.082), (30, 0.016), (31, 0.012), (42, 0.013), (45, 0.014), (53, 0.02), (63, 0.02), (65, 0.01), (76, 0.024), (77, 0.019), (81, 0.011), (89, 0.018), (93, 0.29), (99, 0.178)]

similar blogs list:

simIndex simValue blogId blogTitle

1 0.84550035 1210 andrew gelman stats-2012-03-12-Plagiarists are in the habit of lying

Introduction: Amy Hundley writes in the New Yorker about a notorious recent case of unacknowledged literary quilting : I [Hundley] was the editor at Grove/Atlantic to whom Quentin Rowan’s novel “Appearance and the Park” was submitted (“The Plagiarist’s Tale,” by Lizzie Widdicombe, February 13th & 20th). Widdicombe writes that the editor in question thought that “its plot was too close to that of another of the house’s books, ‘My Idea of Fun,’ by Will Self,” and I can only assume that this explanation came from Rowan. In fact, Rowan had lifted a passage nearly verbatim from Will Self’s novella “The Sweet Smell of Psychosis.” It was an especially delicious one, in which Self describes the media denizens of a particular bar. I recognized it immediately and informed his agent that he’d plagiarized it. Writing a plot similar to a successful novelist’s—something that can arise innocently—is very different from plagiarizing. Appropriating and remixing someone else’s work while acknowledging sources is

2 0.84525025 1569 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-08-30-30-40 Nation

Introduction: Barack Obama’s win has a potentially huge effect on policy. The current budget negotiations will affect the level and direction of government spending and on the mix of taxes paid by different groups of Americans. We can guess that a President Romney would have fought hard against upper-income tax increases. Other areas of long-term impact include the government’s stance on global warming, foreign policy, and the likelihood that Obama will nominate new Supreme Court justices who will uphold the right to abortion announced in Roe v. Wade. When it comes to public opinion, the story is different. The Democrats may well benefit in 2014 and 2016 from the anticipated slow but steady recovery of the economy over the next few years—but, as of November 6, 2012, the parties are essentially tied, with Barack Obama receiving 51% of the two-party vote, compared to Mitt Romney’s 49%, a split comparable to Al Gore’s narrow victory in 2000, Richard Nixon’s in 1968, and John Kennedy’s in 1960.

3 0.84521163 1397 andrew gelman stats-2012-06-27-Stand Your Ground laws and homicides

Introduction: Jeff points me to a paper by Chandler McClellan and Erdal Tekin which begins as follows: The controversies surrounding Stand Your Ground laws have recently captured the nation’s attention. Since 2005, eighteen states have passed laws extending the right to self-defense with no duty to retreat to any place a person has a legal right to be, and several additional states are debating the adoption of similar legislation. Despite the implications that these laws may have for public safety, there has been little empirical investigation of their impact on crime and victimization. In this paper, we use monthly data from the U.S. Vital Statistics to examine how Stand Your Ground laws affect homicides. We identify the impact of these laws by exploiting variation in the effective date of these laws across states. Our results indicate that Stand Your Ground laws are associated with a significant increase in the number of homicides among whites, especially white males. According to our estimat

4 0.83593249 616 andrew gelman stats-2011-03-17-The sort of low-grade pissy blogging that degrades our public discourse and threatens to drown our more serious conversations in a sea of gossip

Introduction: I put it on the sister blog so you loyal readers here wouldn’t be distracted by it.

same-blog 5 0.82937634 1281 andrew gelman stats-2012-04-25-Dyson’s baffling love of crackpots

Introduction: Peter Woit reports on the sympathy that well-known physicist Freeman Dyson has with crackpot theorists. The interesting part is that Dyson has positive feelings for these cranks, even while believing that their theories are completely wrong : In my [Dyson's] career as a scientist, I twice had the good fortune to be a personal friend of a famous dissident. One dissident, Sir Arthur Eddington, was an insider like Thomson and Tait. The other, Immanuel Velikovsky, was an outsider like Carter. Both of them were tragic figures, intellectually brilliant and morally courageous, with the same fatal flaw as Carter. Both of them were possessed by fantasies that people with ordinary common sense could recognize as nonsense. I made it clear to both that I did not believe their fantasies, but I admired them as human beings and as imaginative artists. I admired them most of all for their stubborn refusal to remain silent. With the whole world against them, they remained true to their beliefs.

6 0.82137132 1503 andrew gelman stats-2012-09-19-“Poor Smokers in New York State Spend 25% of Income on Cigarettes, Study Finds”

7 0.81151366 1123 andrew gelman stats-2012-01-17-Big corporations are more popular than you might realize

8 0.81015956 1432 andrew gelman stats-2012-07-27-“Get off my lawn”-blogging

9 0.7964133 683 andrew gelman stats-2011-04-28-Asymmetry in Political Bias

10 0.77948976 1116 andrew gelman stats-2012-01-13-Infographic on the economy

11 0.76155066 1711 andrew gelman stats-2013-02-07-How Open Should Academic Papers Be?

12 0.71652937 1959 andrew gelman stats-2013-07-28-50 shades of gray: A research story

13 0.71537638 1619 andrew gelman stats-2012-12-11-There are four ways to get fired from Caesars: (1) theft, (2) sexual harassment, (3) running an experiment without a control group, and (4) keeping a gambling addict away from the casino

14 0.7009939 1693 andrew gelman stats-2013-01-25-Subsidized driving

15 0.65719187 1583 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-19-I can’t read this interview with me

16 0.65701562 1328 andrew gelman stats-2012-05-18-Question 8 of my final exam for Design and Analysis of Sample Surveys

17 0.63658375 585 andrew gelman stats-2011-02-22-“How has your thinking changed over the past three years?”

18 0.63494384 1182 andrew gelman stats-2012-02-24-Untangling the Jeffreys-Lindley paradox

19 0.63091981 1326 andrew gelman stats-2012-05-17-Question 7 of my final exam for Design and Analysis of Sample Surveys

20 0.630898 1574 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-12-How to Lie With Statistics example number 12,498,122