andrew_gelman_stats andrew_gelman_stats-2013 andrew_gelman_stats-2013-1659 knowledge-graph by maker-knowledge-mining
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Introduction: 1. I have the least stressful job in America (duh) 2. B-school prof in a parody of short-term thinking 3. The academic clock 4. I guessed wrong 5. 2012 Conceptual Development Lab Newsletter
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same-blog 1 1.0 1659 andrew gelman stats-2013-01-07-Some silly things you (didn’t) miss by not reading the sister blog
Introduction: 1. I have the least stressful job in America (duh) 2. B-school prof in a parody of short-term thinking 3. The academic clock 4. I guessed wrong 5. 2012 Conceptual Development Lab Newsletter
2 0.16874683 1553 andrew gelman stats-2012-10-30-Real rothko, fake rothko
Introduction: Jay Livingston writes : I know that in art, quality and value are two very different things. Still, I had to stop and wonder when I read about Domenico and Eleanore De Sole, who in 2004 paid $8.3 million for a painting attributed to Mark Rothko that they now say is a worthless fake. One day a painting is worth $8.3 million; the next day, the same painting – same quality, same capacity to give aesthetic pleasure or do whatever it is that art does – is “worthless.”* Art forgery also makes me wonder about the buyer’s motive. If the buyer wanted only to have and to gaze upon something beautiful, something with artistic merit, then a fake Rothko is no different than a real Rothko. It seems more likely that what the buyer wants is to own something valuable – i.e., something that costs a lot. Displaying your brokerage account statements is just too crude and obvious. What the high-end art market offers is a kind of money laundering. Objects that are rare and therefore expensive
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Introduction: Diederik Stapel gives a Ted talk . Sometimes, reality truly is a parody of reality.
4 0.12754834 1514 andrew gelman stats-2012-09-28-AdviseStat 47% Campaign Ad
Introduction: Lee Wilkinson sends me this amusing ad for his new software, AdviseStat: The ad is a parody, but the software is real !
5 0.12113912 836 andrew gelman stats-2011-08-03-Another plagiarism mystery
Introduction: Nick Cox comments : I heard of a leading U.S. statistician who delegates some of his book reviews to smart graduate students. The (very grateful) ex-student who told me said, in effect, it’s just his way of working. He makes the deal evident beforehand and makes it up to you in other ways by superb mentoring. I don’t understand this at all! If the student wrote the review, he or she should be sole author, no? The thing that puzzles me about this story is that if you’re a “leading statistician,” you don’t really get any credit for reviewing. If anything, people probably think you’re writing reviews as a way to avoid doing real work. If there’s some concern that the journal won’t publish a review under the sole authorship of obscure student X, they could always compromise and include the senior prof as a second author on the review (in which case the prof should at least read the review and vet it, but that can’t take much time). I guess what I’m saying is that it makes pe
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Introduction: 1. I have the least stressful job in America (duh) 2. B-school prof in a parody of short-term thinking 3. The academic clock 4. I guessed wrong 5. 2012 Conceptual Development Lab Newsletter
2 0.54633468 1467 andrew gelman stats-2012-08-23-The pinch-hitter syndrome again
Introduction: Here . (Background here .) P.S. Just a thought: is it possible that one reason for the effectiveness of relief pitchers is that, by the end of the game, the starting players (that is, the hitters who have been playing all game) are getting tired? I’m pretty sure that lots of baseball-statistics experts will know the answer to this.
3 0.54312527 1578 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-15-Outta control political incorrectness
Introduction: Tyler Cowen points to an interview with economists Ronald Coase and Ning Wang: We are now working with the University of Chicago Press to launch a new journal, Man and the Economy. We chose our title carefully to signal the mission of the new journal, which is to restore economics to a study of man as he is and of the economy as it actually exists. “We chose our title carefully,” indeed. I’m reminded of a bizarrely-retro remark from a couple years ago by Colin (“at age 22″) Camerer. In response to the question, “Any free riding in your household?”, Camerer said: No. Here’s why: I am one of the world’s leading experts on psychology, the brain and strategic game theory. But my wife is a woman. So it’s a tie. One thing about being an economist, it gives you the ability to describe yourself as “one of the world’s leading experts on psychology.” What’s with these guys? My guess is that their social circle has a bit of a country-club locker-room feel, and they find it a
4 0.54119343 1731 andrew gelman stats-2013-02-21-If a lottery is encouraging addictive gambling, don’t expand it!
Introduction: This story from Vivian Yee seems just horrible to me. First the background: Pronto Lotto’s real business takes place in the carpeted, hushed area where its most devoted customers watch video screens from a scattering of tall silver tables, hour after hour, day after day. The players — mostly men, about a dozen at any given time — come on their lunch breaks or after work to study the screens, which are programmed with the Quick Draw lottery game, and flash a new set of winning numbers every four minutes. They have helped make Pronto Lotto the top Quick Draw vendor in the state, selling $3.3 million worth of tickets last year, more than $1 million more than the second busiest location, a World Books shop in Penn Station. Some stay for just a few minutes. Others play for the length of a workday, repeatedly traversing the few yards between their seats and the cash register as they hand the next wager to a clerk with a dollar bill or two, and return to wait. “It’s like my job, 24
5 0.54013687 370 andrew gelman stats-2010-10-25-Who gets wedding announcements in the Times?
Introduction: I was flipping through the paper yesterday and noticed something which I think is a bit of innumeracy–although I don’t have all the facts at my disposal so I can’t be sure. It came in an item by Robert Woletz, society editor of the New York Times, in response to the following letter from Max Sarinsky ( click here and scroll down): The heavy majority of couples typically featured in the Sunday wedding announcements either attended elite universities, hold corporate management positions or have parents with corporate management positions. It’s nice to learn about the nuptials of the privileged, but Times readers would benefit from learning about a more representative sampling of weddings in our diverse city. I [Sarinksy] am curious as to how editors select which announcements to publish, and why editors don’t make a sustained effort to include different types of couples. Woletz replied: The Weddings/Celebrations pages are truly open to everyone, and The Times persistentl
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1 0.9843713 1026 andrew gelman stats-2011-11-25-Bayes wikipedia update
Introduction: I checked and somebody went in and screwed up my fixes to the wikipedia page on Bayesian inference. I give up.
2 0.9769361 1014 andrew gelman stats-2011-11-16-Visualizations of NYPD stop-and-frisk data
Introduction: Cathy O’Neil organized this visualization project with NYPD stop-and-frisk data. It’s part of the Data Without Borders project. Unfortunately, because of legal restrictions I couldn’t send them the data Jeff, Alex, and I used in our project several years ago.
3 0.97063679 572 andrew gelman stats-2011-02-14-Desecration of valuable real estate
Introduction: Malecki asks: Is this the worst infographic ever to appear in NYT? USA Today is not something to aspire to. To connect to some of our recent themes , I agree this is a pretty horrible data display. But it’s not bad as a series of images. Considering the competition to be a cartoon or series of photos, these images aren’t so bad. One issue, I think, is that designers get credit for creativity and originality (unusual color combinations! Histogram bars shaped like mosques!) , which is often the opposite of what we want in a clear graph. It’s Martin Amis vs. George Orwell all over again.
4 0.96027029 1115 andrew gelman stats-2012-01-12-Where are the larger-than-life athletes?
Introduction: Jonathan Cantor points to this poll estimating rifle-armed QB Tim Tebow as America’s favorite pro athlete: In an ESPN survey of 1,502 Americans age 12 or older, three percent identified Tebow as their favorite professional athlete. Tebow finished in front of Kobe Bryant (2 percent), Aaron Rodgers (1.9 percent), Peyton Manning (1.8 percent), and Tom Brady (1.5 percent). Amusing. What this survey says to me is that there are no super-popular athletes who are active in America today. Which actually sounds about right. No Tiger Woods, no Magic Johnson, Muhammed Ali, John Elway, Pete Rose, Billie Jean King, etc etc. Tebow is an amusing choice, people might as well pick him now while he’s still on top. As a sports celeb, he’s like Bill Lee or the Refrigerator: colorful and a solid pro athlete, but no superstar. When you think about all the colorful superstar athletes of times gone by, it’s perhaps surprising that there’s nobody out there right now to play the role. I supp
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Introduction: Tyler Cowen links a blog by Samuel Arbesman mocking people who are so lazy that they take the elevator from 1 to 2. This reminds me of my own annoyance about a guy who worked in my building and did not take the elevator. (For the full story, go here and search on “elevator.”)
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