andrew_gelman_stats andrew_gelman_stats-2011 andrew_gelman_stats-2011-710 knowledge-graph by maker-knowledge-mining
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Introduction: The revised paper plot13.pdf Slightly improved figures figure13.pdf And just the history part from my thesis – that some find interesting. (And to provide a selfish wiki meta-analysis entry pointer) JustHistory.pdf I have had about a dozen friends read this or earlier versions – they split into finding it interesting (and pragmatic) versus incomprehensible. The reason for that may or may not point to ways to make it clearer. K?
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same-blog 1 1.0 710 andrew gelman stats-2011-05-14-Missed Friday the 13th Zombie Plot Update
Introduction: The revised paper plot13.pdf Slightly improved figures figure13.pdf And just the history part from my thesis – that some find interesting. (And to provide a selfish wiki meta-analysis entry pointer) JustHistory.pdf I have had about a dozen friends read this or earlier versions – they split into finding it interesting (and pragmatic) versus incomprehensible. The reason for that may or may not point to ways to make it clearer. K?
2 0.13866298 986 andrew gelman stats-2011-11-01-MacKay update: where 12 comes from
Introduction: In reply to my question , David MacKay writes: You said that can imagine rounding up 9 to 10 – which would be elegant if we worked in base 10. But in the UK we haven’t switched to base 10 yet, we still work in dozens and grosses. (One gross = 12^2 = 144.) So I was taught (by John Skilling, probably) “a dozen samples are plenty”. Probably in an earlier draft of the book in 2001 I said “a dozen”, rather than “12″. Then some feedbacker may have written and said “I don’t know what a dozen is”; so then I sacrificed elegant language and replaced “dozen” by “12″, which leads to your mystification. PS – please send the winner of your competition a free copy of my other book ( sewtha ) too, from me. PPS I see that Mikkel Schmidt [in your comments] has diligently found the correct answer, which I guessed above. I suggest you award the prizes to him. OK, we’re just giving away books here! P.S. See here for my review of MacKay’s book on sustainable energy.
3 0.13135582 2237 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-08-Disagreeing to disagree
Introduction: I was going to post yet one more discussion of our discussion of the discussion of the discussion of some paper that I don’t really care about, but then I was like, aaaahh, what’s the point? So instead here’s a pointer to the first paper I ever published. It’s the very last one on this list . The backstory is here , and here’s a poorly labeled graph for you to laugh at: Enjoy.
4 0.11738949 2111 andrew gelman stats-2013-11-23-Tables > figures yet again
Introduction: I received the following email from someone who would like to remain anonymous: A journal editor made me change all my figures into tables. I complied, but I sent along one of your papers on the topic of figures versus tables. I got the following email in response which I thought you’d find funny: Yes, statisticians prefer figures over tables. However, you are not writing this manuscript for statisticians. Your audience will be clinicians, nurses, epidemiologists and public health professionals. The funny thing is, I think of biomedical journals (Jama, etc) as being pretty good about using graphs to convey their main results. They’re not as good as physicists, but they’re often better than statisticians!
5 0.092362553 571 andrew gelman stats-2011-02-13-A departmental wiki page?
Introduction: I was recently struggling with the Columbia University philophy department’s webpage (to see who might be interested in this stuff ). The faculty webpage was horrible: it’s just a list of names and links with no information on research interests. So I did some searching on the web and found a wonderful wikipedia page which had exactly what I wanted. Then I checked my own department’s page , and it’s even worse than what they have in philosophy! (We also have this page, which is even worse in that it omits many of our faculty and has a bunch of ridiculously technical links for some of the faculty who are included.) I don’t know about the philosophy department, but the statistics department’s webpage is an overengineered mess, designed from the outset to look pretty rather than to be easily updated. Maybe we could replace it entirely with a wiki? In the meantime, if anybody feels like setting up a wikipedia entry for the research of Columbia’s statistics faculty, that
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same-blog 1 0.9735828 710 andrew gelman stats-2011-05-14-Missed Friday the 13th Zombie Plot Update
Introduction: The revised paper plot13.pdf Slightly improved figures figure13.pdf And just the history part from my thesis – that some find interesting. (And to provide a selfish wiki meta-analysis entry pointer) JustHistory.pdf I have had about a dozen friends read this or earlier versions – they split into finding it interesting (and pragmatic) versus incomprehensible. The reason for that may or may not point to ways to make it clearer. K?
2 0.74834722 631 andrew gelman stats-2011-03-28-Explaining that plot.
Introduction: With some upgrades from a previous post . And with a hopefully clear 40+ page draft paper (see page 16). Drawing Inference – Literally and by Individual Contribution.pdf Comments are welcome, though my reponses may be delayed. (Working on how to best render the graphs.) K? p.s. Plot was modified so that it might be better interpreted without reading any of the paper – though I would not suggest that – reading at least pages 1 to 17 is recomended.
3 0.63837647 1854 andrew gelman stats-2013-05-13-A Structural Comparison of Conspicuous Consumption in China and the United States
Introduction: David Jinkins writes : The objective of this paper is to measure the relative importance of conspicous consumption to Americans and Chinese. To this end, I estimate the parameters of a utility function borrowed from recent theoretical work using American and Chinese data. The main parameter of interest governs the amount that individuals care about peer group beliefs regarding their welfare. Using survey data on the visibility of different good categories along with household budget surveys, I find that Chinese consumers care twice as much as American consumers about the beliefs of their peer group. I came across this draft research manuscript by following the links back after Jinkins commented on our blog. The framing of the paper is a bit more foundation-y and a bit less statistic-y than I’d prefer, but I guess that’s just the way they do things in economics, compared to statistics or (some) political science. In any case, I wanted to point you to this paper, partly to let y
4 0.6127609 1120 andrew gelman stats-2012-01-15-Fun fight over the Grover search algorithm
Introduction: Joshua Vogelstein points me to this blog entry by Robert Tucci, diplomatically titled “Unethical or Really Dumb (or both) Scientists from University of Adelaide ‘Rediscover’ My Version of Grover’s Algorithm”: The Chappell et al. paper has 24 references but does not refer to my paper, even though their paper and mine are eerily similar. Compare them yourself. With the excellent Google and ArXiv search engines, I [Tucci] would say there is zero probability that none of its five authors knew about my paper before they wrote theirs. Chappell responds in the comments: Your paper is timestamped 2010; however the results of our paper was initially presented at the Cairns CQIQC conference in July 2008. . . . The intention of our paper is not a research article. It is a tutorial paper. . . . We had not seen your paper before. Our paper is based on the standard Grover search, not a fixed point search. Hence, your paper did not come to our attention, as we were not concerned with
5 0.60260272 1031 andrew gelman stats-2011-11-27-Richard Stallman and John McCarthy
Introduction: After blogging on quirky software pioneer Richard Stallman , I thought it appropriate to write something about recently deceased quirky software pioneer John McCarthy, who, with the exception of being bearded, seems like he was the personal and political opposite of Stallman. Here’s a page I found of Stallman McCarthy quotes (compiled by Neil Craig). It’s a mixture of the reasonable and the unreasonable (ok, I suppose the same could be said of this blog!). I wonder if he and Stallman ever met and, if so, whether they had an extended conversation. It would be like matter and anti-matter! P.S. I flipped through McCarthy’s pages and found one of my pet peeves. See item 3 here , which sounds so plausible but is in fact not true (at least, not according to the National Election Study). As McCarthy’s Stanford colleague Mo Fiorina can tell you, otherwise well-informed people believe all sorts of things about polarization that aren’t so. Labeling groups of Americans as “
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1 0.94802666 26 andrew gelman stats-2010-05-11-Update on religious affiliations of Supreme Court justices
Introduction: When Sonia Sotomayor was nominated for the Supreme Court, and there was some discussion of having 6 Roman Catholics on the court at the same time, I posted the following historical graph: It’s time for an update: It’s still gonna take awhile for the Catholics to catch up. . . . And this one might be relevant too: It looks as if Jews and men have been overrepresented, also Episcopalians (which, as I noted earlier, are not necessarily considered Protestant in terms of religious doctrine but which I counted as such for the ethnic categorization). Religion is an interesting political variable because it’s nominally about religious belief but typically seems to be more about ethnicity.
2 0.94083869 208 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-15-When Does a Name Become Androgynous?
Introduction: Good stuff , as always, from Laura Wattenberg.
3 0.91654932 1249 andrew gelman stats-2012-04-06-Thinking seriously about social science research
Introduction: I haven’t linked to the Baby Name Wizard in awhile. . . . Laura Wattenberg takes a look at the question , “Does a hard-to-pronounce baby name hurt you?” Critical thinking without “debunking”—this is the way to go.
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Introduction: The revised paper plot13.pdf Slightly improved figures figure13.pdf And just the history part from my thesis – that some find interesting. (And to provide a selfish wiki meta-analysis entry pointer) JustHistory.pdf I have had about a dozen friends read this or earlier versions – they split into finding it interesting (and pragmatic) versus incomprehensible. The reason for that may or may not point to ways to make it clearer. K?
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Introduction: My Columbia colleague Irv Garfinkel recently came out with a book (with coauthors Lee Rainwater and Timothy Smeeding), “Mythbusters: The U.S. Social Welfare State,” where they argue: The United States is a capitalist nation that has eschewed Scandinavian-style socialist policies in favor of capitalism and economic growth, right? Wrong. The U.S. is not only one of the largest welfare states in the world, but it is strong economically precisely because of its adoption of some socialist policies–with public education as the primary driver. The American welfare state faces large challenges. Restoring its historical lead in education is the most important but requires investing large sums in education–beginning with universal pre-school–and in complementary programs–including selected cash benefits for families with children–that aid children’s development. The American health insurance system is by far the most costly in the rich world, yet fails to insure one sixth of its population
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