andrew_gelman_stats andrew_gelman_stats-2012 andrew_gelman_stats-2012-1585 knowledge-graph by maker-knowledge-mining

1585 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-20-“I know you aren’t the plagiarism police, but . . .”


meta infos for this blog

Source: html

Introduction: Someone I don’t know writes in: I have followed your thoughts on plagiarism rather closely, and I ran across something in the Economics literature that I felt might interest you (and if you were to share this, I’d rather remain anonymous as a junior faculty not looking to step on toes anywhere). I know you aren’t the plagiarism police, but figured you would have some input. I’ve been reading up on some literature regarding all-pay auctions for some research I have been working on and came across an interesting paper in J. Political Economy (1998) with the following intro: “Many economic allocations are decided by competition for a prize on the basis of costly activities. For example, monopoly licenses may be awarded to the person (or group) that lobbies the hardest (Tullock, 1967), or tickets may be given to those who wait in line the longest (Holt and Sherman 1982). In such contests, losers’ efforts are costly and are generally not compensated. These situations, which are esp


Summary: the most important sentenses genereted by tfidf model

sentIndex sentText sentNum sentScore

1 I’ve been reading up on some literature regarding all-pay auctions for some research I have been working on and came across an interesting paper in J. [sent-3, score-0.373]

2 Political Economy (1998) with the following intro: “Many economic allocations are decided by competition for a prize on the basis of costly activities. [sent-4, score-0.996]

3 For example, monopoly licenses may be awarded to the person (or group) that lobbies the hardest (Tullock, 1967), or tickets may be given to those who wait in line the longest (Holt and Sherman 1982). [sent-5, score-0.304]

4 In such contests, losers’ efforts are costly and are generally not compensated. [sent-6, score-0.309]

5 These situations, which are especially common in nonmarket allocations, are of concern to economists precisely because competition involves the expenditure of real resources, or ‘‘rent-seeking’’ behavior. [sent-7, score-0.54]

6 Krueger (1974) estimated the annual welfare costs of rent seeking induced by price and quantity controls to be 7 percent of gross national product in India and somewhat higher in Turkey. [sent-8, score-0.865]

7 Economic Behavior & Organization (2006, 8 years later) by different authors, with the following introductory passage: “Many economic allocations are decided by competition for a prize on the basis of costly activities. [sent-10, score-0.996]

8 Some well-known examples for such competitions are research and development (R&D;) races, political campaigns, awarding of monopoly licenses, selling franchises, and so on. [sent-11, score-0.286]

9 In such contests, participants’ efforts are quite costly, and losers are not compensated for these efforts. [sent-12, score-0.21]

10 To model such situations, in which competition involves real expenditures, or ‘rent seeking’ behavior, researchers find the all-pay auction quite appealing”………………”It turns out that in a variety of cases where rent-seeking behavior is exercised, total efforts exceed the value of the prize. [sent-13, score-0.731]

11 Krueger (1974), for example, estimates that annual welfare costs induced by price and quantity controls in India are approximately 7% of gross national product. [sent-14, score-0.676]

12 ” We see similar patterns in the conclusion sections (same order as above): (1) “The all-pay auction has been widely studied because it is an allocation mechanism in which competition for a prize involves the expenditure of real resources, for example, lobbying. [sent-16, score-1.25]

13 ” (2) “The all-pay auction has been widely studied because it is often used as an allocation mechanism in competitions for a prize where players’ effort involves the expenditure of resources. [sent-17, score-1.222]

14 Examples of such competitions are lobbying,…” I thought I had accidentally downloaded the same paper twice until looking at the title again. [sent-18, score-0.331]

15 The second article does cite the first, but does not give credit specifically to the introduction. [sent-22, score-0.19]

16 It cites that it is comparing results with that paper, and ultimately the meat of the paper is slightly different. [sent-23, score-0.164]

17 My reply: I don’t know anything about this area of research, but it does seem a bit tacky to quote someone else without the use of quotation marks. [sent-25, score-0.21]

18 I heard from Uri Gneezy, the author of the 2006 article, who writes: Just want to set things right: our [Gneezy and Smorodinsky's] paper is an experimental test of the [earlier] JPE modeling paper. [sent-29, score-0.164]

19 It is based on that paper; we cite the JPE paper 8 (! [sent-30, score-0.287]

20 As we clearly state in the paper, the motivating economic issue and literature are the same. [sent-33, score-0.17]


similar blogs computed by tfidf model

tfidf for this blog:

wordName wordTfidf (topN-words)

[('jpe', 0.329), ('costly', 0.203), ('allocations', 0.197), ('expenditure', 0.197), ('auction', 0.197), ('competition', 0.195), ('prize', 0.172), ('competitions', 0.167), ('paper', 0.164), ('involves', 0.148), ('krueger', 0.132), ('gneezy', 0.132), ('cite', 0.123), ('licenses', 0.119), ('monopoly', 0.119), ('allocation', 0.119), ('contests', 0.119), ('efforts', 0.106), ('rent', 0.106), ('quotation', 0.106), ('induced', 0.104), ('tacky', 0.104), ('losers', 0.104), ('india', 0.098), ('economic', 0.097), ('gross', 0.093), ('welfare', 0.089), ('controls', 0.085), ('behavior', 0.085), ('annual', 0.083), ('seeking', 0.083), ('quantity', 0.082), ('mechanism', 0.081), ('plagiarism', 0.078), ('situations', 0.075), ('resources', 0.074), ('literature', 0.073), ('studied', 0.071), ('costs', 0.071), ('widely', 0.07), ('ran', 0.07), ('across', 0.07), ('price', 0.069), ('credit', 0.067), ('basis', 0.067), ('auctions', 0.066), ('lobbies', 0.066), ('sherman', 0.066), ('toes', 0.066), ('decided', 0.065)]

similar blogs list:

simIndex simValue blogId blogTitle

same-blog 1 0.99999982 1585 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-20-“I know you aren’t the plagiarism police, but . . .”

Introduction: Someone I don’t know writes in: I have followed your thoughts on plagiarism rather closely, and I ran across something in the Economics literature that I felt might interest you (and if you were to share this, I’d rather remain anonymous as a junior faculty not looking to step on toes anywhere). I know you aren’t the plagiarism police, but figured you would have some input. I’ve been reading up on some literature regarding all-pay auctions for some research I have been working on and came across an interesting paper in J. Political Economy (1998) with the following intro: “Many economic allocations are decided by competition for a prize on the basis of costly activities. For example, monopoly licenses may be awarded to the person (or group) that lobbies the hardest (Tullock, 1967), or tickets may be given to those who wait in line the longest (Holt and Sherman 1982). In such contests, losers’ efforts are costly and are generally not compensated. These situations, which are esp

2 0.24466851 1588 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-23-No one knows what it’s like to be the bad man

Introduction: Part 1. The ideal policy Basbøll, as always, gets right to the point: Andrew Gelman is not the plagiarism police because there is no such thing as the plagiarism police. But, he continues: There is, at any self-respecting university and any self-respecting academic journal, a plagiarism policy, and there sure as hell is a “morality” of writing in the world of scholarship. The cardinal rule is: don’t use other people’s words or ideas without attributing those words or ideas to the people you got them from. What to do when the plagiarism (or, perhaps, sloppy quotation, to use a less loaded word) comes to light? Everyone makes mistakes, but if you make one you have to correct it. Don’t explain why your mistake isn’t very serious or “set things right” by pointing to the “obvious” signs of your good intentions. . . . Don’t say you’ve cleared it with the original author. The real victim of your crime is not the other writer; it’s your reader. That’s whose trust you’ve be

3 0.11513633 1435 andrew gelman stats-2012-07-30-Retracted articles and unethical behavior in economics journals?

Introduction: Stan Liebowitz writes: Have you ever heard of an article being retracted in economics? I know you have only been doing this for a few years but I suspect that the answer is that none or very few are retracted. No economist would ever deceive another. There is virtually no interest in detecting cheating. And what good would that do if there is no form of punishment? I say this because I think I have found a case in one of our top journals but the editor allowed the authors of the original article to write an anonymous referee report defending themselves and used this report to reject my comment even though an independent referee recommended publication. My reply: I wonder how this sort of thing will change in the future as journals become less important. My impression is that, on one side, researchers are increasingly citing NBER reports, Arxiv preprints, and the like; while, from the other direction, journals such as Science and Nature are developing the reputations of being “t

4 0.10643768 901 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-12-Some thoughts on academic cheating, inspired by Frey, Wegman, Fischer, Hauser, Stapel

Introduction: As regular readers of this blog are aware, I am fascinated by academic and scientific cheating and the excuses people give for it. Bruno Frey and colleagues published a single article (with only minor variants) in five different major journals, and these articles did not cite each other. And there have been several other cases of his self-plagiarism (see this review from Olaf Storbeck). I do not mind the general practice of repeating oneself for different audiences—in the social sciences, we call this Arrow’s Theorem —but in this case Frey seems to have gone a bit too far. Blogger Economic Logic has looked into this and concluded that this sort of common practice is standard in “the context of the German(-speaking) academic environment,” and what sets Frey apart is not his self-plagiarism or even his brazenness but rather his practice of doing it in high-visibility journals. Economic Logic writes that “[Frey's] contribution is pedagogical, he found a good and interesting

5 0.10257537 2245 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-12-More on publishing in journals

Introduction: I’m postponing today’s scheduled post (“Empirical implications of Empirical Implications of Theoretical Models”) to continue the lively discussion from yesterday, What if I were to stop publishing in journals? . An example: my papers with Basbøll Thomas Basbøll and I got into a long discussion on our blogs about business school professor Karl Weick and other cases of plagiarism copying text without attribution. We felt it useful to take our ideas to the next level and write them up as a manuscript, which ended up being logical to split into two papers. At that point I put some effort into getting these papers published, which I eventually did: To throw away data: Plagiarism as a statistical crime went into American Scientist and When do stories work? Evidence and illustration in the social sciences will appear in Sociological Methods and Research. The second paper, in particular, took some effort to place; I got some advice from colleagues in sociology as to where

6 0.09780591 728 andrew gelman stats-2011-05-24-A (not quite) grand unified theory of plagiarism, as applied to the Wegman case

7 0.096806519 751 andrew gelman stats-2011-06-08-Another Wegman plagiarism

8 0.096781783 32 andrew gelman stats-2010-05-14-Causal inference in economics

9 0.095361359 1928 andrew gelman stats-2013-07-06-How to think about papers published in low-grade journals?

10 0.095053107 1008 andrew gelman stats-2011-11-13-Student project competition

11 0.094828419 402 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-09-Kaggle: forecasting competitions in the classroom

12 0.091622204 216 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-18-More forecasting competitions

13 0.090674825 1865 andrew gelman stats-2013-05-20-What happened that the journal Psychological Science published a paper with no identifiable strengths?

14 0.083109289 196 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-10-The U.S. as welfare state

15 0.083092421 1952 andrew gelman stats-2013-07-23-Christakis response to my comment on his comments on social science (or just skip to the P.P.P.S. at the end)

16 0.081974722 1949 andrew gelman stats-2013-07-21-Defensive political science responds defensively to an attack on social science

17 0.080868028 1139 andrew gelman stats-2012-01-26-Suggested resolution of the Bem paradox

18 0.080778666 1867 andrew gelman stats-2013-05-22-To Throw Away Data: Plagiarism as a Statistical Crime

19 0.080277853 1876 andrew gelman stats-2013-05-29-Another one of those “Psychological Science” papers (this time on biceps size and political attitudes among college students)

20 0.079365656 472 andrew gelman stats-2010-12-17-So-called fixed and random effects


similar blogs computed by lsi model

lsi for this blog:

topicId topicWeight

[(0, 0.185), (1, -0.046), (2, 0.0), (3, -0.058), (4, -0.039), (5, -0.015), (6, 0.015), (7, -0.057), (8, -0.013), (9, 0.048), (10, 0.036), (11, 0.002), (12, -0.017), (13, -0.01), (14, -0.0), (15, -0.01), (16, 0.019), (17, -0.003), (18, 0.02), (19, -0.014), (20, 0.012), (21, -0.001), (22, 0.007), (23, -0.018), (24, 0.005), (25, -0.019), (26, 0.006), (27, -0.008), (28, 0.021), (29, 0.034), (30, 0.055), (31, 0.031), (32, 0.011), (33, 0.009), (34, 0.013), (35, 0.018), (36, 0.028), (37, 0.013), (38, 0.02), (39, 0.052), (40, -0.023), (41, -0.015), (42, 0.008), (43, -0.025), (44, -0.04), (45, -0.029), (46, 0.033), (47, -0.016), (48, 0.011), (49, -0.022)]

similar blogs list:

simIndex simValue blogId blogTitle

same-blog 1 0.96288407 1585 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-20-“I know you aren’t the plagiarism police, but . . .”

Introduction: Someone I don’t know writes in: I have followed your thoughts on plagiarism rather closely, and I ran across something in the Economics literature that I felt might interest you (and if you were to share this, I’d rather remain anonymous as a junior faculty not looking to step on toes anywhere). I know you aren’t the plagiarism police, but figured you would have some input. I’ve been reading up on some literature regarding all-pay auctions for some research I have been working on and came across an interesting paper in J. Political Economy (1998) with the following intro: “Many economic allocations are decided by competition for a prize on the basis of costly activities. For example, monopoly licenses may be awarded to the person (or group) that lobbies the hardest (Tullock, 1967), or tickets may be given to those who wait in line the longest (Holt and Sherman 1982). In such contests, losers’ efforts are costly and are generally not compensated. These situations, which are esp

2 0.83364224 901 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-12-Some thoughts on academic cheating, inspired by Frey, Wegman, Fischer, Hauser, Stapel

Introduction: As regular readers of this blog are aware, I am fascinated by academic and scientific cheating and the excuses people give for it. Bruno Frey and colleagues published a single article (with only minor variants) in five different major journals, and these articles did not cite each other. And there have been several other cases of his self-plagiarism (see this review from Olaf Storbeck). I do not mind the general practice of repeating oneself for different audiences—in the social sciences, we call this Arrow’s Theorem —but in this case Frey seems to have gone a bit too far. Blogger Economic Logic has looked into this and concluded that this sort of common practice is standard in “the context of the German(-speaking) academic environment,” and what sets Frey apart is not his self-plagiarism or even his brazenness but rather his practice of doing it in high-visibility journals. Economic Logic writes that “[Frey's] contribution is pedagogical, he found a good and interesting

3 0.81688821 1435 andrew gelman stats-2012-07-30-Retracted articles and unethical behavior in economics journals?

Introduction: Stan Liebowitz writes: Have you ever heard of an article being retracted in economics? I know you have only been doing this for a few years but I suspect that the answer is that none or very few are retracted. No economist would ever deceive another. There is virtually no interest in detecting cheating. And what good would that do if there is no form of punishment? I say this because I think I have found a case in one of our top journals but the editor allowed the authors of the original article to write an anonymous referee report defending themselves and used this report to reject my comment even though an independent referee recommended publication. My reply: I wonder how this sort of thing will change in the future as journals become less important. My impression is that, on one side, researchers are increasingly citing NBER reports, Arxiv preprints, and the like; while, from the other direction, journals such as Science and Nature are developing the reputations of being “t

4 0.81204754 989 andrew gelman stats-2011-11-03-This post does not mention Wegman

Introduction: A correspondent writes: Since you have commented on scientific fraud a lot. I wanted to give you an update on the Diederik Stapel case. I’d rather not see my name on the blog if you would elaborate on this any further. It is long but worth the read I guess. I’ll first give you the horrible details which will fill you with a mixture of horror and stupefied amazement at Stapel’s behavior. Then I’ll share Stapel’s abject apology, which might make you feel sorry for the guy. First the amazing story of how he perpetrated the fraud: There has been an interim report delivered to the rector of Tilburg University. Tilburg University is cooperating with the university of Amsterdam and of Groningen in this case. The results are pretty severe, I provide here a quick and literal translation of some comments by the chairman of the investigation committee. This report is publicly available on the university webpage (along with some other things of interest) but in Dutch: What

5 0.80110419 1588 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-23-No one knows what it’s like to be the bad man

Introduction: Part 1. The ideal policy Basbøll, as always, gets right to the point: Andrew Gelman is not the plagiarism police because there is no such thing as the plagiarism police. But, he continues: There is, at any self-respecting university and any self-respecting academic journal, a plagiarism policy, and there sure as hell is a “morality” of writing in the world of scholarship. The cardinal rule is: don’t use other people’s words or ideas without attributing those words or ideas to the people you got them from. What to do when the plagiarism (or, perhaps, sloppy quotation, to use a less loaded word) comes to light? Everyone makes mistakes, but if you make one you have to correct it. Don’t explain why your mistake isn’t very serious or “set things right” by pointing to the “obvious” signs of your good intentions. . . . Don’t say you’ve cleared it with the original author. The real victim of your crime is not the other writer; it’s your reader. That’s whose trust you’ve be

6 0.80081964 675 andrew gelman stats-2011-04-22-Arrow’s other theorem

7 0.79551905 902 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-12-The importance of style in academic writing

8 0.78893727 601 andrew gelman stats-2011-03-05-Against double-blind reviewing: Political science and statistics are not like biology and physics

9 0.78784549 2269 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-27-Beyond the Valley of the Trolls

10 0.77808791 2055 andrew gelman stats-2013-10-08-A Bayesian approach for peer-review panels? and a speculation about Bruno Frey

11 0.77477801 1917 andrew gelman stats-2013-06-28-Econ coauthorship update

12 0.76891685 2137 andrew gelman stats-2013-12-17-Replication backlash

13 0.76777458 2218 andrew gelman stats-2014-02-20-Do differences between biology and statistics explain some of our diverging attitudes regarding criticism and replication of scientific claims?

14 0.76767343 728 andrew gelman stats-2011-05-24-A (not quite) grand unified theory of plagiarism, as applied to the Wegman case

15 0.76443708 1599 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-30-“The scientific literature must be cleansed of everything that is fraudulent, especially if it involves the work of a leading academic”

16 0.76383919 1914 andrew gelman stats-2013-06-25-Is there too much coauthorship in economics (and science more generally)? Or too little?

17 0.7531898 1756 andrew gelman stats-2013-03-10-He said he was sorry

18 0.75020099 490 andrew gelman stats-2010-12-29-Brain Structure and the Big Five

19 0.7495721 2004 andrew gelman stats-2013-09-01-Post-publication peer review: How it (sometimes) really works

20 0.74859691 883 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-01-Arrow’s theorem update


similar blogs computed by lda model

lda for this blog:

topicId topicWeight

[(13, 0.011), (16, 0.056), (18, 0.01), (24, 0.096), (53, 0.02), (98, 0.019), (99, 0.645)]

similar blogs list:

simIndex simValue blogId blogTitle

same-blog 1 0.99835742 1585 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-20-“I know you aren’t the plagiarism police, but . . .”

Introduction: Someone I don’t know writes in: I have followed your thoughts on plagiarism rather closely, and I ran across something in the Economics literature that I felt might interest you (and if you were to share this, I’d rather remain anonymous as a junior faculty not looking to step on toes anywhere). I know you aren’t the plagiarism police, but figured you would have some input. I’ve been reading up on some literature regarding all-pay auctions for some research I have been working on and came across an interesting paper in J. Political Economy (1998) with the following intro: “Many economic allocations are decided by competition for a prize on the basis of costly activities. For example, monopoly licenses may be awarded to the person (or group) that lobbies the hardest (Tullock, 1967), or tickets may be given to those who wait in line the longest (Holt and Sherman 1982). In such contests, losers’ efforts are costly and are generally not compensated. These situations, which are esp

2 0.99801695 507 andrew gelman stats-2011-01-07-Small world: MIT, asymptotic behavior of differential-difference equations, Susan Assmann, subgroup analysis, multilevel modeling

Introduction: A colleague recently sent me a copy of some articles on the estimation of treatment interactions (a topic that’s interested me for awhile). One of the articles, which appeared in the Lancet in 2000, was called “ Subgroup analysis and other (mis)uses of baseline data in clinical trials ,” by Susan F. Assmann, Stuart J. Pocock, Laura E. Enos, and Linda E. Kasten. . . . Hey, wait a minute–I know Susan Assmann! Well, I sort of know her. When I was a freshman in college, I asked my adviser, who was an applied math prof, if I could do some research. He connected me to Susan, who was one of his Ph.D. students, and she gave me a tiny part of her thesis to work on. The problem went as follows. You have a function f(x), for x going from 0 to infinity, that is defined as follows. Between 0 and 1, f(x)=x. Then, for x higher than 1, f’(x) = f(x) – f(x-1). The goal is to figure out what f(x) does. I think I’m getting this right here, but I might be getting confused on some of the detai

3 0.99769121 809 andrew gelman stats-2011-07-19-“One of the easiest ways to differentiate an economist from almost anyone else in society”

Introduction: I think I’m starting to resolve a puzzle that’s been bugging me for awhile. Pop economists (or, at least, pop micro-economists) are often making one of two arguments: 1. People are rational and respond to incentives. Behavior that looks irrational is actually completely rational once you think like an economist. 2. People are irrational and they need economists, with their open minds, to show them how to be rational and efficient. Argument 1 is associated with “why do they do that?” sorts of puzzles. Why do they charge so much for candy at the movie theater, why are airline ticket prices such a mess, why are people drug addicts, etc. The usual answer is that there’s some rational reason for what seems like silly or self-destructive behavior. Argument 2 is associated with “we can do better” claims such as why we should fire 80% of public-schools teachers or Moneyball-style stories about how some clever entrepreneur has made a zillion dollars by exploiting some inefficienc

4 0.9975943 638 andrew gelman stats-2011-03-30-More on the correlation between statistical and political ideology

Introduction: This is a chance for me to combine two of my interests–politics and statistics–and probably to irritate both halves of the readership of this blog. Anyway… I recently wrote about the apparent correlation between Bayes/non-Bayes statistical ideology and liberal/conservative political ideology: The Bayes/non-Bayes fissure had a bit of a political dimension–with anti-Bayesians being the old-line conservatives (for example, Ronald Fisher) and Bayesians having a more of a left-wing flavor (for example, Dennis Lindley). Lots of counterexamples at an individual level, but my impression is that on average the old curmudgeonly, get-off-my-lawn types were (with some notable exceptions) more likely to be anti-Bayesian. This was somewhat based on my experiences at Berkeley. Actually, some of the cranky anti-Bayesians were probably Democrats as well, but when they were being anti-Bayesian they seemed pretty conservative. Recently I received an interesting item from Gerald Cliff, a pro

5 0.99704534 756 andrew gelman stats-2011-06-10-Christakis-Fowler update

Introduction: After I posted on Russ Lyons’s criticisms of the work of Nicholas Christakis and James Fowler’s work on social networks, several people emailed in with links to related articles. (Nobody wants to comment on the blog anymore; all I get is emails.) Here they are: Political scientists Hans Noel and Brendan Nyhan wrote a paper called “The ‘Unfriending’ Problem: The Consequences of Homophily in Friendship Retention for Causal Estimates of Social Influence” in which they argue that the Christakis-Fowler results are subject to bias because of patterns in the time course of friendships. Statisticians Cosma Shalizi and AT wrote a paper called “Homophily and Contagion Are Generically Confounded in Observational Social Network Studies” arguing that analyses such as those of Christakis and Fowler cannot hope to disentangle different sorts of network effects. And Christakis and Fowler reply to Noel and Nyhan, Shalizi and Thomas, Lyons, and others in an article that begins: H

6 0.99692464 1431 andrew gelman stats-2012-07-27-Overfitting

7 0.99689823 1952 andrew gelman stats-2013-07-23-Christakis response to my comment on his comments on social science (or just skip to the P.P.P.S. at the end)

8 0.99689722 1425 andrew gelman stats-2012-07-23-Examples of the use of hierarchical modeling to generalize to new settings

9 0.99678409 740 andrew gelman stats-2011-06-01-The “cushy life” of a University of Illinois sociology professor

10 0.99666899 589 andrew gelman stats-2011-02-24-On summarizing a noisy scatterplot with a single comparison of two points

11 0.99634826 521 andrew gelman stats-2011-01-17-“the Tea Party’s ire, directed at Democrats and Republicans alike”

12 0.99590087 180 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-03-Climate Change News

13 0.99532783 726 andrew gelman stats-2011-05-22-Handling multiple versions of an outcome variable

14 0.99513894 1949 andrew gelman stats-2013-07-21-Defensive political science responds defensively to an attack on social science

15 0.99489582 1670 andrew gelman stats-2013-01-13-More Bell Labs happy talk

16 0.99479496 709 andrew gelman stats-2011-05-13-D. Kahneman serves up a wacky counterfactual

17 0.99479222 1315 andrew gelman stats-2012-05-12-Question 2 of my final exam for Design and Analysis of Sample Surveys

18 0.99474376 1096 andrew gelman stats-2012-01-02-Graphical communication for legal scholarship

19 0.99472606 772 andrew gelman stats-2011-06-17-Graphical tools for understanding multilevel models

20 0.99444014 1536 andrew gelman stats-2012-10-16-Using economics to reduce bike theft