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350 andrew gelman stats-2010-10-18-Subtle statistical issues to be debated on TV.


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Introduction: There is live debate that will available this week for those that might be interested. The topic: Can early stopped trials result in misleading results of systematic reviews? It’s sponsored by the Cochrane Collaboration and although the level of discussion is often not very technical, it does in my opinion provide a nice window into clinical research and as Tukey might put it “the real uncertainties involved”. (As a disclaimer – I once assigned some reading from this group to my graduate students and they were embarrassed and annoyed at the awkward handling of even minor technical issues – but the statistical research community is not their target audience.) I have a favourite in this debate, and a quick search on co-authors (not me) would likely tip that off to most members of this blog. Here’s the directions kindly supplied by Jonathan Sterne, who will be in the chair. Dear SMG Members, By means of follow up to previous advertisements; the Discussion Meeting:”Can


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1 There is live debate that will available this week for those that might be interested. [sent-1, score-0.26]

2 The topic: Can early stopped trials result in misleading results of systematic reviews? [sent-2, score-1.337]

3 It’s sponsored by the Cochrane Collaboration and although the level of discussion is often not very technical, it does in my opinion provide a nice window into clinical research and as Tukey might put it “the real uncertainties involved”. [sent-3, score-0.247]

4 (As a disclaimer – I once assigned some reading from this group to my graduate students and they were embarrassed and annoyed at the awkward handling of even minor technical issues – but the statistical research community is not their target audience. [sent-4, score-0.345]

5 ) I have a favourite in this debate, and a quick search on co-authors (not me) would likely tip that off to most members of this blog. [sent-5, score-0.246]

6 Here’s the directions kindly supplied by Jonathan Sterne, who will be in the chair. [sent-6, score-0.078]

7 Dear SMG Members, By means of follow up to previous advertisements; the Discussion Meeting:”Can early stopped trials result in misleading results of systematic reviews? [sent-7, score-1.407]

8 ” will be broadcast live online (please see attached for further meeting details). [sent-8, score-0.411]

9 00 AM Denver Time (MDT) (US East Coast +2 hours, UK +7, Central European Time plus 8) To watch the meeting live, simply visit: www. [sent-11, score-0.217]

10 Should you have any queries or comments, before or after the meeting please do not hesitate to get in touch. [sent-14, score-0.446]

11 Jonathan Sterne ———————- Jonathan Sterne School of Social and Community Medicine University of Bristol Abstract Can early stopped trials result in misleading results of systematic reviews? [sent-15, score-1.337]

12 The Cochrane Bias Methods Group and Statistical Methods Group are delighted that two leading experts have agreed to present their views and lead a discussion on how review authors should address this issue. [sent-19, score-0.081]

13 Stopping early for benefit: is there a problem, and if so, what is it? [sent-20, score-0.232]


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