andrew_gelman_stats andrew_gelman_stats-2013 andrew_gelman_stats-2013-1754 knowledge-graph by maker-knowledge-mining
Source: html
Introduction: Felipe Osorio made the above video to help people use the General Social Survey and R to answer research questions in social science. Go for it! Meanwhile, Tom Smith reports: The initial release of the General Social Survey (GSS), cumulative file for 1972-2012 is now on our website . Codebooks and copies of questionnaires will be posted shortly. Later additional files including the GSS reinterview panels and additional variables in the cumulative file will be added. P.S. R scripts are here .
sentIndex sentText sentNum sentScore
1 Felipe Osorio made the above video to help people use the General Social Survey and R to answer research questions in social science. [sent-1, score-0.815]
2 Meanwhile, Tom Smith reports: The initial release of the General Social Survey (GSS), cumulative file for 1972-2012 is now on our website . [sent-3, score-1.048]
3 Codebooks and copies of questionnaires will be posted shortly. [sent-4, score-0.489]
4 Later additional files including the GSS reinterview panels and additional variables in the cumulative file will be added. [sent-5, score-1.669]
wordName wordTfidf (topN-words)
[('gss', 0.382), ('cumulative', 0.358), ('file', 0.296), ('scripts', 0.247), ('felipe', 0.247), ('additional', 0.234), ('social', 0.212), ('panels', 0.209), ('questionnaires', 0.209), ('survey', 0.173), ('copies', 0.172), ('files', 0.17), ('video', 0.167), ('smith', 0.156), ('meanwhile', 0.145), ('tom', 0.144), ('initial', 0.14), ('release', 0.135), ('general', 0.127), ('website', 0.119), ('posted', 0.108), ('reports', 0.101), ('later', 0.095), ('variables', 0.09), ('questions', 0.083), ('help', 0.081), ('including', 0.078), ('answer', 0.078), ('made', 0.063), ('go', 0.056), ('research', 0.049), ('use', 0.048), ('people', 0.034)]
simIndex simValue blogId blogTitle
same-blog 1 1.0 1754 andrew gelman stats-2013-03-08-Cool GSS training video! And cumulative file 1972-2012!
Introduction: Felipe Osorio made the above video to help people use the General Social Survey and R to answer research questions in social science. Go for it! Meanwhile, Tom Smith reports: The initial release of the General Social Survey (GSS), cumulative file for 1972-2012 is now on our website . Codebooks and copies of questionnaires will be posted shortly. Later additional files including the GSS reinterview panels and additional variables in the cumulative file will be added. P.S. R scripts are here .
Introduction: A Brooks op-ed in the New York Times (circulation approximately 1.5 million): People at the extremes are happier than political moderates. . . . none, it seems, are happier than the Tea Partiers . . . Jay Livingston on his blog (circulation approximately 0 (rounding to the nearest million)), giving data from the 2009-2010 General Social Survey, which is the usual place people turn to for population data on happiness of Americans: The GSS does not offer “bitter” or “Tea Party” as choices, but extreme conservatives are nearly three times as likely as others to be “not too happy.” Livingston reports that the sample size for “Extremely Conservative” here is 80. Thus the standard error for that green bar on the right is approx sqrt(0.3*0.7/80)=0.05. So how could Brooks have made such a mistake? I can think of two possibilities: 1. Brooks has some other data source that directly addresses the happiness of supporters of the Tea Party movement. 2. Brooks looked a
3 0.13283406 761 andrew gelman stats-2011-06-13-A survey’s not a survey if they don’t tell you how they did it
Introduction: Since we’re on the topic of nonreplicable research . . . see here (link from here ) for a story of a survey that’s so bad that the people who did it won’t say how they did it. I know too many cases where people screwed up in a survey when they were actually trying to get the right answer, for me to trust any report of a survey that doesn’t say what they did. I’m reminded of this survey which may well have been based on a sample of size 6 (again, the people who did it refused to release any description of methodology).
4 0.12836282 396 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-05-Journalism in the age of data
Introduction: Journalism in the age of data is a video report including interviews with many visualization people. It’s also a great example of how citations, and further information appear alongside with the video – showing us the future of video content online.
5 0.10580996 763 andrew gelman stats-2011-06-13-Inventor of Connect Four dies at 91
Introduction: Obit here . I think I have a cousin with the same last name as this guy, so maybe we’re related by marriage in some way. (By that standard we’re also related to Marge Simpson and, I seem to recall, the guy who wrote the scripts for Dark Shadows.)
6 0.10476758 486 andrew gelman stats-2010-12-26-Age and happiness: The pattern isn’t as clear as you might think
7 0.094600365 892 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-06-Info on patent trolls
8 0.09190587 132 andrew gelman stats-2010-07-07-Note to “Cigarettes”
9 0.086986817 202 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-12-Job openings in multilevel modeling in Bristol, England
10 0.08567372 907 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-14-Reproducibility in Practice
11 0.083802462 223 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-21-Statoverflow
12 0.082610205 185 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-04-Why does anyone support private macroeconomic forecasts?
13 0.082191907 958 andrew gelman stats-2011-10-14-The General Social Survey is a great resource
14 0.075488798 2152 andrew gelman stats-2013-12-28-Using randomized incentives as an instrument for survey nonresponse?
15 0.074405201 622 andrew gelman stats-2011-03-21-A possible resolution of the albedo mystery!
16 0.073123217 392 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-03-Taleb + 3.5 years
17 0.072648741 1430 andrew gelman stats-2012-07-26-Some thoughts on survey weighting
18 0.072270386 910 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-15-Google Refine
19 0.07011611 1633 andrew gelman stats-2012-12-21-Kahan on Pinker on politics
20 0.069333754 1371 andrew gelman stats-2012-06-07-Question 28 of my final exam for Design and Analysis of Sample Surveys
topicId topicWeight
[(0, 0.075), (1, -0.019), (2, 0.024), (3, -0.036), (4, 0.03), (5, 0.05), (6, -0.025), (7, -0.033), (8, -0.007), (9, 0.014), (10, 0.007), (11, -0.068), (12, 0.002), (13, 0.064), (14, -0.026), (15, 0.022), (16, 0.004), (17, -0.004), (18, 0.044), (19, -0.0), (20, -0.006), (21, -0.03), (22, -0.047), (23, 0.019), (24, -0.025), (25, 0.016), (26, 0.06), (27, -0.046), (28, 0.012), (29, -0.014), (30, 0.023), (31, 0.015), (32, 0.004), (33, -0.01), (34, -0.014), (35, -0.011), (36, 0.006), (37, 0.048), (38, -0.034), (39, 0.006), (40, 0.002), (41, 0.072), (42, 0.09), (43, -0.001), (44, -0.043), (45, 0.057), (46, 0.044), (47, -0.035), (48, -0.024), (49, 0.018)]
simIndex simValue blogId blogTitle
same-blog 1 0.98503751 1754 andrew gelman stats-2013-03-08-Cool GSS training video! And cumulative file 1972-2012!
Introduction: Felipe Osorio made the above video to help people use the General Social Survey and R to answer research questions in social science. Go for it! Meanwhile, Tom Smith reports: The initial release of the General Social Survey (GSS), cumulative file for 1972-2012 is now on our website . Codebooks and copies of questionnaires will be posted shortly. Later additional files including the GSS reinterview panels and additional variables in the cumulative file will be added. P.S. R scripts are here .
2 0.7425819 958 andrew gelman stats-2011-10-14-The General Social Survey is a great resource
Introduction: See, for example, this report by Deborah Carr on changing attitudes about marital infidelity: Two great things about the General Social Survey are: (1) the data are freely available online , and (2) the same questions have been asked since 1972 so you get a nice long series.
3 0.68816322 385 andrew gelman stats-2010-10-31-Wacky surveys where they don’t tell you the questions they asked
Introduction: Maria Wolters writes: The parenting club Bounty, which distributes their packs through midwives, hospitals, and large UK supermarket and pharmacy chains, commissioned a fun little survey for Halloween from the company OnePoll . Theme: Mothers as tricksters – tricking men into fathering their babies. You can find a full smackdown courtesy of UK-based sex educator and University College London psychologist Petra Boynton here . (One does wonder how a parenting club with such close links to the UK National Health Service thought a survey on this topic was at all appropriate, but that’s another rant.) So far, so awful, but what I [Wolters] thought might grab your attention was the excuse OnePoll offered for their work in their email to Petra. (Petra is very well known in the UK, and so was able to get a statement from the polling company.) Here it is in its full glory, taken from Petra’s post: As the agency which commissioned this research and distributed the resulting new
4 0.66688234 761 andrew gelman stats-2011-06-13-A survey’s not a survey if they don’t tell you how they did it
Introduction: Since we’re on the topic of nonreplicable research . . . see here (link from here ) for a story of a survey that’s so bad that the people who did it won’t say how they did it. I know too many cases where people screwed up in a survey when they were actually trying to get the right answer, for me to trust any report of a survey that doesn’t say what they did. I’m reminded of this survey which may well have been based on a sample of size 6 (again, the people who did it refused to release any description of methodology).
5 0.66600013 705 andrew gelman stats-2011-05-10-Some interesting unpublished ideas on survey weighting
Introduction: A couple years ago we had an amazing all-star session at the Joint Statistical Meetings. The topic was new approaches to survey weighting (which is a mess , as I’m sure you’ve heard). Xiao-Li Meng recommended shrinking weights by taking them to a fractional power (such as square root) instead of trimming the extremes. Rod Little combined design-based and model-based survey inference. Michael Elliott used mixture models for complex survey design. And here’s my introduction to the session.
6 0.65466571 1371 andrew gelman stats-2012-06-07-Question 28 of my final exam for Design and Analysis of Sample Surveys
7 0.63071001 1430 andrew gelman stats-2012-07-26-Some thoughts on survey weighting
8 0.62910312 1437 andrew gelman stats-2012-07-31-Paying survey respondents
10 0.61466652 725 andrew gelman stats-2011-05-21-People kept emailing me this one so I think I have to blog something
11 0.60834968 1828 andrew gelman stats-2013-04-27-Time-Sharing Experiments for the Social Sciences
12 0.60574645 381 andrew gelman stats-2010-10-30-Sorry, Senator DeMint: Most Americans Don’t Want to Ban Gays from the Classroom
13 0.59349322 892 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-06-Info on patent trolls
14 0.59330595 2152 andrew gelman stats-2013-12-28-Using randomized incentives as an instrument for survey nonresponse?
15 0.58931708 1455 andrew gelman stats-2012-08-12-Probabilistic screening to get an approximate self-weighted sample
16 0.58557457 1940 andrew gelman stats-2013-07-16-A poll that throws away data???
17 0.58306336 1288 andrew gelman stats-2012-04-29-Clueless Americans think they’ll never get sick
18 0.58186865 1900 andrew gelman stats-2013-06-15-Exploratory multilevel analysis when group-level variables are of importance
19 0.56800997 784 andrew gelman stats-2011-07-01-Weighting and prediction in sample surveys
20 0.5527184 2167 andrew gelman stats-2014-01-10-Do you believe that “humans and other living things have evolved over time”?
topicId topicWeight
[(21, 0.021), (24, 0.081), (43, 0.409), (65, 0.029), (68, 0.036), (86, 0.03), (95, 0.025), (99, 0.214)]
simIndex simValue blogId blogTitle
same-blog 1 0.92629993 1754 andrew gelman stats-2013-03-08-Cool GSS training video! And cumulative file 1972-2012!
Introduction: Felipe Osorio made the above video to help people use the General Social Survey and R to answer research questions in social science. Go for it! Meanwhile, Tom Smith reports: The initial release of the General Social Survey (GSS), cumulative file for 1972-2012 is now on our website . Codebooks and copies of questionnaires will be posted shortly. Later additional files including the GSS reinterview panels and additional variables in the cumulative file will be added. P.S. R scripts are here .
2 0.89652765 679 andrew gelman stats-2011-04-25-My talk at Stanford on Tuesday
Introduction: Of Beauty, Sex, and Power: Statistical Challenges in Estimating Small Effects. Tues 26 Apr, 12-1 in the Graham Stuart Lounge, 4th Floor, Encina West.
Introduction: Neil Malhotra writes: I just wanted to alert to this completely misinformed Politico article by Roger Simon, equating sampling theory with “magic.” Normally, I wouldn’t send you this, but I sent him a helpful email and he was a complete jerk about it. Wow—this is really bad. It’s so bad I refuse to link to it. I don’t know who this dude is, but it’s pitiful. Andy Rooney could do better. And I don’t mean Andy Rooney in his prime, I mean Andy Rooney right now. The piece appears to be an attempt at jocularity, but it’s about 10 million times worse than whatever the worst thing is that Dave Barry has ever written. My question to Neil Malhotra is . . . what made you click on this in the first place? P.S. John Sides piles on with some Gallup quotes.
4 0.87509322 531 andrew gelman stats-2011-01-22-Third-party Dream Ticket
Introduction: Who are the only major politicians who are viewed more positively than negatively by the American public? (See page 3 of this report .)
5 0.80239558 314 andrew gelman stats-2010-10-03-Disconnect between drug and medical device approval
Introduction: Sanjay Kaul wrotes: By statute (“the least burdensome” pathway), the approval standard for devices by the US FDA is lower than for drugs. Before a new drug can be marketed, the sponsor must show “substantial evidence of effectiveness” as based on two or more well-controlled clinical studies (which literally means 2 trials, each with a p value of <0.05, or 1 large trial with a robust p value <0.00125). In contrast, the sponsor of a new device, especially those that are designated as high-risk (Class III) device, need only demonstrate "substantial equivalence" to an FDA-approved device via the 510(k) exemption or a "reasonable assurance of safety and effectiveness", evaluated through a pre-market approval and typically based on a single study. What does “reasonable assurance” or “substantial equivalence” imply to you as a Bayesian? These are obviously qualitative constructs, but if one were to quantify them, how would you go about addressing it? The regulatory definitions for
6 0.76152682 857 andrew gelman stats-2011-08-17-Bayes pays
9 0.6868242 1347 andrew gelman stats-2012-05-27-Macromuddle
10 0.64525634 1253 andrew gelman stats-2012-04-08-Technology speedup graph
11 0.63204849 70 andrew gelman stats-2010-06-07-Mister P goes on a date
12 0.62694061 75 andrew gelman stats-2010-06-08-“Is the cyber mob a threat to freedom?”
13 0.61689341 538 andrew gelman stats-2011-01-25-Postdoc Position #2: Hierarchical Modeling and Statistical Graphics
14 0.60765779 806 andrew gelman stats-2011-07-17-6 links
15 0.6025421 1920 andrew gelman stats-2013-06-30-“Non-statistical” statistics tools
16 0.59788001 1882 andrew gelman stats-2013-06-03-The statistical properties of smart chains (and referral chains more generally)
17 0.59356833 2330 andrew gelman stats-2014-05-12-Historical Arc of Universities
18 0.58090943 202 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-12-Job openings in multilevel modeling in Bristol, England
19 0.57771343 1860 andrew gelman stats-2013-05-17-How can statisticians help psychologists do their research better?
20 0.57589185 1815 andrew gelman stats-2013-04-20-Displaying inferences from complex models