andrew_gelman_stats andrew_gelman_stats-2012 andrew_gelman_stats-2012-1168 knowledge-graph by maker-knowledge-mining
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Introduction: See comments #2,3,4 here . I guess that’s why Science and Nature are known as “the tabloids.” As the commenter writes, “you can’t have people look at too many images of maggot-infested wounds.”
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same-blog 1 1.0 1168 andrew gelman stats-2012-02-14-The tabloids strike again
Introduction: See comments #2,3,4 here . I guess that’s why Science and Nature are known as “the tabloids.” As the commenter writes, “you can’t have people look at too many images of maggot-infested wounds.”
2 0.20572615 619 andrew gelman stats-2011-03-19-If a comment is flagged as spam, it will disappear forever
Introduction: A commenter wrote (by email): I’ve noticed that you’ve quit approving my comments on your blog. I hope I didn’t anger you in some way or write something you felt was inappropriate. My reply: I have not been unapproving any comments. If you have comments that have not appeared, they have probably been going into the spam filter. I get literally thousands of spam comments a day and so anything that hits the spam filter is gone forever. I think there is a way to register as a commenter; that could help.
3 0.12410688 1050 andrew gelman stats-2011-12-10-Presenting at the econ seminar
Introduction: Jim Savage saw this and pointed me to this video. I didn’t actually look at it, but given that it is labeled, “For new econ Ph.D.’s about to look for a job . . . what you might expect when you give your first talk presenting your research,” I can pretty much guess what it’ll look like.
Introduction: From a commenter on the web, 21 May 2010: Tampa Bay: Playing .732 ball in the toughest division in baseball, wiped their feet on NY twice. If they sweep Houston, which seems pretty likely, they will be at .750, which I [the commenter] have never heard of. At the time of that posting, the Rays were 30-11. Quick calculation: if a team is good enough to be expected to win 100 games, that is, Pr(win) = 100/162 = .617, then there’s a 5% chance that they’ll have won at least 30 of their first 41 games. That’s a calculation based on simple probability theory of independent events, which isn’t quite right here but will get you close and is a good way to train one’s intuition , I think. Having a .732 record after 41 games is not unheard-of. The Detroit Tigers won 35 of their first 40 games in 1984: that’s .875. (I happen to remember that fast start, having been an Orioles fan at the time.) Now on to the key ideas The passage quoted above illustrates three statistical fa
5 0.11770181 1878 andrew gelman stats-2013-05-31-How to fix the tabloids? Toward replicable social science research
Introduction: This seems to be the topic of the week. Yesterday I posted on the sister blog some further thoughts on those “Psychological Science” papers on menstrual cycles, biceps size, and political attitudes, tied to a horrible press release from the journal Psychological Science hyping the biceps and politics study. Then I was pointed to these suggestions from Richard Lucas and M. Brent Donnellan have on improving the replicability and reproducibility of research published in the Journal of Research in Personality: It goes without saying that editors of scientific journals strive to publish research that is not only theoretically interesting but also methodologically rigorous. The goal is to select papers that advance the field. Accordingly, editors want to publish findings that can be reproduced and replicated by other scientists. Unfortunately, there has been a recent “crisis in confidence” among psychologists about the quality of psychological research (Pashler & Wagenmakers, 2012)
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11 0.10311969 436 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-29-Quality control problems at the New York Times
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13 0.093713365 741 andrew gelman stats-2011-06-02-At least he didn’t prove a false theorem
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19 0.083025604 2270 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-28-Creating a Lenin-style democracy
20 0.082679942 572 andrew gelman stats-2011-02-14-Desecration of valuable real estate
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same-blog 1 0.94890934 1168 andrew gelman stats-2012-02-14-The tabloids strike again
Introduction: See comments #2,3,4 here . I guess that’s why Science and Nature are known as “the tabloids.” As the commenter writes, “you can’t have people look at too many images of maggot-infested wounds.”
2 0.76860791 1709 andrew gelman stats-2013-02-06-The fractal nature of scientific revolutions
Introduction: Phil Earnhardt writes: I stumbled across your blog entry after googling on those terms. If I could comment on the closed entry [We had to shut off comments on old blog entries for reasons of spam --- ed.], I’d note: scientific revolutions are fractal; they’re also chaotic in their dynamics. Predictability when a particular scientific revolution will take hold—or be rejected—is problematic. I find myself wishing that Chaos Theory had been established when Kuhn wrote his essay.
3 0.76769549 619 andrew gelman stats-2011-03-19-If a comment is flagged as spam, it will disappear forever
Introduction: A commenter wrote (by email): I’ve noticed that you’ve quit approving my comments on your blog. I hope I didn’t anger you in some way or write something you felt was inappropriate. My reply: I have not been unapproving any comments. If you have comments that have not appeared, they have probably been going into the spam filter. I get literally thousands of spam comments a day and so anything that hits the spam filter is gone forever. I think there is a way to register as a commenter; that could help.
4 0.76383942 523 andrew gelman stats-2011-01-18-Spam is out of control
Introduction: I just took a look at the spam folder . . . 600 messages in the past hour ! Seems pretty ridiculous to me.
5 0.74166405 817 andrew gelman stats-2011-07-23-New blog home
Introduction: Hi all. We’ve moved the blog and are still working out some bugs. For example, we delete spam comments but sometimes they remain on the blog. A few other things. We should be cleaning it up more in the next few days.
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8 0.70402497 876 andrew gelman stats-2011-08-28-Vaguely related to the coke-dumping story
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11 0.67211723 425 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-21-If your comment didn’t get through . . .
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15 0.63836324 1170 andrew gelman stats-2012-02-16-A previous discussion with Charles Murray about liberals, conservatives, and social class
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1 0.99901187 1014 andrew gelman stats-2011-11-16-Visualizations of NYPD stop-and-frisk data
Introduction: Cathy O’Neil organized this visualization project with NYPD stop-and-frisk data. It’s part of the Data Without Borders project. Unfortunately, because of legal restrictions I couldn’t send them the data Jeff, Alex, and I used in our project several years ago.
2 0.99010873 528 andrew gelman stats-2011-01-21-Elevator shame is a two-way street
Introduction: Tyler Cowen links a blog by Samuel Arbesman mocking people who are so lazy that they take the elevator from 1 to 2. This reminds me of my own annoyance about a guy who worked in my building and did not take the elevator. (For the full story, go here and search on “elevator.”)
3 0.98910034 1115 andrew gelman stats-2012-01-12-Where are the larger-than-life athletes?
Introduction: Jonathan Cantor points to this poll estimating rifle-armed QB Tim Tebow as America’s favorite pro athlete: In an ESPN survey of 1,502 Americans age 12 or older, three percent identified Tebow as their favorite professional athlete. Tebow finished in front of Kobe Bryant (2 percent), Aaron Rodgers (1.9 percent), Peyton Manning (1.8 percent), and Tom Brady (1.5 percent). Amusing. What this survey says to me is that there are no super-popular athletes who are active in America today. Which actually sounds about right. No Tiger Woods, no Magic Johnson, Muhammed Ali, John Elway, Pete Rose, Billie Jean King, etc etc. Tebow is an amusing choice, people might as well pick him now while he’s still on top. As a sports celeb, he’s like Bill Lee or the Refrigerator: colorful and a solid pro athlete, but no superstar. When you think about all the colorful superstar athletes of times gone by, it’s perhaps surprising that there’s nobody out there right now to play the role. I supp
4 0.98666894 572 andrew gelman stats-2011-02-14-Desecration of valuable real estate
Introduction: Malecki asks: Is this the worst infographic ever to appear in NYT? USA Today is not something to aspire to. To connect to some of our recent themes , I agree this is a pretty horrible data display. But it’s not bad as a series of images. Considering the competition to be a cartoon or series of photos, these images aren’t so bad. One issue, I think, is that designers get credit for creativity and originality (unusual color combinations! Histogram bars shaped like mosques!) , which is often the opposite of what we want in a clear graph. It’s Martin Amis vs. George Orwell all over again.
5 0.98029518 1659 andrew gelman stats-2013-01-07-Some silly things you (didn’t) miss by not reading the sister blog
Introduction: 1. I have the least stressful job in America (duh) 2. B-school prof in a parody of short-term thinking 3. The academic clock 4. I guessed wrong 5. 2012 Conceptual Development Lab Newsletter
6 0.97334945 1304 andrew gelman stats-2012-05-06-Picking on Stephen Wolfram
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