andrew_gelman_stats andrew_gelman_stats-2011 andrew_gelman_stats-2011-528 knowledge-graph by maker-knowledge-mining
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Introduction: Tyler Cowen links a blog by Samuel Arbesman mocking people who are so lazy that they take the elevator from 1 to 2. This reminds me of my own annoyance about a guy who worked in my building and did not take the elevator. (For the full story, go here and search on “elevator.”)
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3 (For the full story, go here and search on “elevator. [sent-3, score-0.44]
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same-blog 1 1.0 528 andrew gelman stats-2011-01-21-Elevator shame is a two-way street
Introduction: Tyler Cowen links a blog by Samuel Arbesman mocking people who are so lazy that they take the elevator from 1 to 2. This reminds me of my own annoyance about a guy who worked in my building and did not take the elevator. (For the full story, go here and search on “elevator.”)
2 0.1855495 408 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-11-Incumbency advantage in 2010
Introduction: See here for the full story.
3 0.14245783 1994 andrew gelman stats-2013-08-22-“The comment section is open, but I’m not going to read them”
Introduction: That’s Tyler Cowen’s policy . I read almost all the comments here. I’m glad I read them, I think. Over the years, I’ve learned a lot of interesting things from the comments. Sometimes, though, I wish I hadn’t bothered. Cowen gets about 10 times as many comments as I do, so I think in his case it makes sense to just ignore them. If he read (or, even worse, responded to) them, he’d have no time for anything else.
4 0.13443321 926 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-26-NYC
Introduction: Our downstairs neighbor hates us. She looks away from us when we see them on the street, if we’re coming into the building at the same time she doesn’t hold open the door, and if we’re in the elevator when it stops on her floor, she refuses to get on. On the other hand, if you’re a sociology professor in Chicago, one of your colleagues might try to run you over in a parking lot. So I guess I’m getting off easy.
5 0.11850174 185 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-04-Why does anyone support private macroeconomic forecasts?
Introduction: Tyler Cowen asks the above question. I don’t have a full answer, but, in the Economics section of A Quantitative Tour of the Social Sciences , Richard Clarida discusses in detail the ways that researchers have tried to estimate the extent to which government or private forecasts supply additional information.
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same-blog 1 0.97695208 528 andrew gelman stats-2011-01-21-Elevator shame is a two-way street
Introduction: Tyler Cowen links a blog by Samuel Arbesman mocking people who are so lazy that they take the elevator from 1 to 2. This reminds me of my own annoyance about a guy who worked in my building and did not take the elevator. (For the full story, go here and search on “elevator.”)
2 0.66836548 232 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-25-Dodging the diplomats
Introduction: The usually-reasonable-even-if-you-disagree-with-him Tyler Cowen writes : Presumably diplomats either enjoy serving their country or they enjoy the ego rents of being a diplomat or both. It is a false feeling of power, borrowed power from one’s country of origin rather than from one’s personal achievements. Huh? I’d hardly think this needs to be explained, but here goes: 1. Diplomats may feel the duty to serve their country, which is not the same as “enjoying” it. Sometimes people take on jobs that are challenging and not well-paid because they feel that it is their duty to do their best at it. 2. Some diplomats are very accomplished individuals, and that is why they are chosen to represent their country. Consider an analogy: Yes, Tyler Cowen borrows some power from George Mason University. But it goes the other way too: GMU borrows power from TC. Beyond all this, and returning to more selfish goals, being a diplomat can be fun–you get to live in a foreign c
3 0.64882362 2080 andrew gelman stats-2013-10-28-Writing for free
Introduction: Max Read points to discussions by Cord Jefferson and Tim Krieger about people who write for free, thus depressing the wages of paid journalists. The topic interests me because I’m one of those people who writes for free, all the time. As a commenter wrote in response to Cord Jefferson’s article: It’s not just people who have inherited money, it’s also people who have “day jobs” to support themselves while they pursue dream jobs in fields like journalism, fiction writing, theater and music. In this case, I’m pursuing the dream job of blogging, but it’s the same basic idea. I actually enjoy doing this, which is more than can be said of Tim Kreider, who writes: I will freely admit that writing beats baling hay or going door-to-door for a living, but it’s still shockingly unenjoyable work. I’m lucky enough not to ever have had to bale hay or go door-to-door for a living, but I find writing to be enjoyable! So I can see how it can be hard for Kreider to compete wi
Introduction: Via J. Robert Lennon , I discovered this amusing blog by Anis Shivani on “The 15 Most Overrated Contemporary American Writers.” Lennon found it so annoying that he refused to even link to it, but I actually enjoyed Shivani’s bit of performance art. The literary criticism I see is so focused on individual books that it’s refreshing to see someone take on an entire author’s career in a single paragraph. I agree with Lennon that Shivani’s blog doesn’t have much content –it’s full of terms such as “vacuity” and “pap,” compared to which “trendy” and “fashionable” are precision instruments–but Shivani covers a lot of ground and it’s fun to see this all in one place. My main complaint with Shivani, beyond his sloppy writing (but, hey, it’s just a blog; I’m sure he saves the good stuff for his paid gigs) is his implicit assumption that everyone should agree with him. I’m as big a Kazin fan as anyone, but I still think he completely undervalued Marquand . The other thing I noticed
5 0.64243084 2088 andrew gelman stats-2013-11-04-Recently in the sister blog
Introduction: This one’s probably the most important: Republicans on track to retain control of House in 2014 And I like this one for the headline: Impact factor 911 is a joke Here are the others: Press releases make for fishy statistics Why is the Motley Fool hyping Netflix? Our health-care system is like Coca Cola Obama takes big bucks from telecoms, ramps up national security state I have mixed feelings about the move of the Monkey Cage blog to the Washington Post. I’ve been told we get many more readers, but the the comments have declined in number and in quality. It used to be that posting at the Monkey Cage felt like “blogging”: I’d post something there and look at the comments. It was a political science community with many participants from outside the field. Posting at the new blog is more like writing for the newspaper: it’s a broadcast without real feedback. This all makes me realize how much I appreciate the commenters here. Just as I blog for free, out
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1 0.98511565 1014 andrew gelman stats-2011-11-16-Visualizations of NYPD stop-and-frisk data
Introduction: Cathy O’Neil organized this visualization project with NYPD stop-and-frisk data. It’s part of the Data Without Borders project. Unfortunately, because of legal restrictions I couldn’t send them the data Jeff, Alex, and I used in our project several years ago.
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Introduction: Tyler Cowen links a blog by Samuel Arbesman mocking people who are so lazy that they take the elevator from 1 to 2. This reminds me of my own annoyance about a guy who worked in my building and did not take the elevator. (For the full story, go here and search on “elevator.”)
3 0.9764387 1026 andrew gelman stats-2011-11-25-Bayes wikipedia update
Introduction: I checked and somebody went in and screwed up my fixes to the wikipedia page on Bayesian inference. I give up.
4 0.97613692 572 andrew gelman stats-2011-02-14-Desecration of valuable real estate
Introduction: Malecki asks: Is this the worst infographic ever to appear in NYT? USA Today is not something to aspire to. To connect to some of our recent themes , I agree this is a pretty horrible data display. But it’s not bad as a series of images. Considering the competition to be a cartoon or series of photos, these images aren’t so bad. One issue, I think, is that designers get credit for creativity and originality (unusual color combinations! Histogram bars shaped like mosques!) , which is often the opposite of what we want in a clear graph. It’s Martin Amis vs. George Orwell all over again.
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Introduction: Jonathan Cantor points to this poll estimating rifle-armed QB Tim Tebow as America’s favorite pro athlete: In an ESPN survey of 1,502 Americans age 12 or older, three percent identified Tebow as their favorite professional athlete. Tebow finished in front of Kobe Bryant (2 percent), Aaron Rodgers (1.9 percent), Peyton Manning (1.8 percent), and Tom Brady (1.5 percent). Amusing. What this survey says to me is that there are no super-popular athletes who are active in America today. Which actually sounds about right. No Tiger Woods, no Magic Johnson, Muhammed Ali, John Elway, Pete Rose, Billie Jean King, etc etc. Tebow is an amusing choice, people might as well pick him now while he’s still on top. As a sports celeb, he’s like Bill Lee or the Refrigerator: colorful and a solid pro athlete, but no superstar. When you think about all the colorful superstar athletes of times gone by, it’s perhaps surprising that there’s nobody out there right now to play the role. I supp
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