andrew_gelman_stats andrew_gelman_stats-2012 andrew_gelman_stats-2012-1277 knowledge-graph by maker-knowledge-mining
Source: html
Introduction: This (by Frans Hofmeester) is excellent. What really makes it work, I think, is that it goes slowly enough. 2 minutes and 45 seconds is enough time for me, as a viewer, to feel like I’m living through each stage of development. If the video were sped up to go from 0 to 12 in only 30 seconds, that would be cool in its own way but would give up the sense of local stability that is characteristic of development.
sentIndex sentText sentNum sentScore
1 What really makes it work, I think, is that it goes slowly enough. [sent-2, score-0.519]
2 2 minutes and 45 seconds is enough time for me, as a viewer, to feel like I’m living through each stage of development. [sent-3, score-1.397]
3 If the video were sped up to go from 0 to 12 in only 30 seconds, that would be cool in its own way but would give up the sense of local stability that is characteristic of development. [sent-4, score-1.924]
wordName wordTfidf (topN-words)
[('seconds', 0.505), ('sped', 0.357), ('viewer', 0.276), ('characteristic', 0.259), ('stability', 0.252), ('video', 0.241), ('slowly', 0.232), ('stage', 0.224), ('minutes', 0.187), ('living', 0.186), ('cool', 0.17), ('development', 0.17), ('local', 0.17), ('goes', 0.136), ('feel', 0.11), ('give', 0.095), ('makes', 0.091), ('enough', 0.088), ('sense', 0.085), ('go', 0.081), ('would', 0.079), ('work', 0.061), ('really', 0.06), ('time', 0.058), ('way', 0.056), ('like', 0.039), ('think', 0.039)]
simIndex simValue blogId blogTitle
same-blog 1 1.0 1277 andrew gelman stats-2012-04-23-Infographic of the year
Introduction: This (by Frans Hofmeester) is excellent. What really makes it work, I think, is that it goes slowly enough. 2 minutes and 45 seconds is enough time for me, as a viewer, to feel like I’m living through each stage of development. If the video were sped up to go from 0 to 12 in only 30 seconds, that would be cool in its own way but would give up the sense of local stability that is characteristic of development.
2 0.17279597 396 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-05-Journalism in the age of data
Introduction: Journalism in the age of data is a video report including interviews with many visualization people. It’s also a great example of how citations, and further information appear alongside with the video – showing us the future of video content online.
3 0.13533388 1006 andrew gelman stats-2011-11-12-Val’s Number Scroll: Helping kids visualize math
Introduction: This looks cool.
4 0.097294353 1476 andrew gelman stats-2012-08-30-Stan is fast
Introduction: 10,000 iterations for 4 chains on the (precompiled) efficiently-parameterized 8-schools model: > date () [1] "Thu Aug 30 22:12:53 2012" > fit3 <- stan (fit=fit2, data = schools_dat, iter = 1e4, n_chains = 4) SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'anon_model' NOW (CHAIN 1). Iteration: 10000 / 10000 [100%] (Sampling) SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'anon_model' NOW (CHAIN 2). Iteration: 10000 / 10000 [100%] (Sampling) SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'anon_model' NOW (CHAIN 3). Iteration: 10000 / 10000 [100%] (Sampling) SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'anon_model' NOW (CHAIN 4). Iteration: 10000 / 10000 [100%] (Sampling) > date () [1] "Thu Aug 30 22:12:55 2012" > print (fit3) Inference for Stan model: anon_model. 4 chains: each with iter=10000; warmup=5000; thin=1; 10000 iterations saved. mean se_mean sd 2.5% 25% 50% 75% 97.5% n_eff Rhat mu 8.0 0.1 5.1 -2.0 4.7 8.0 11.3 18.4 4032 1 tau 6.7 0.1 5.6 0.3 2.5 5.4 9.3 21.2 2958 1 eta[1] 0.4 0.0 0.9 -1.5 -0
5 0.080975682 153 andrew gelman stats-2010-07-17-Tenure-track position at U. North Carolina in survey methods and social statistics
Introduction: See here . Cool–it looks like they’re doing interesting stuff, and it’s great to see this sort of support for applied research.
6 0.07320638 245 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-31-Predicting marathon times
8 0.065066196 2010 andrew gelman stats-2013-09-06-Would today’s captains of industry be happier in a 1950s-style world?
9 0.06479311 1698 andrew gelman stats-2013-01-30-The spam just gets weirder and weirder
10 0.064283825 2301 andrew gelman stats-2014-04-22-Ticket to Baaaaarf
11 0.062185317 1352 andrew gelman stats-2012-05-29-Question 19 of my final exam for Design and Analysis of Sample Surveys
12 0.061728992 595 andrew gelman stats-2011-02-28-What Zombies see in Scatterplots
13 0.060387697 2262 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-23-Win probabilities during a sporting event
14 0.060322441 508 andrew gelman stats-2011-01-08-More evidence of growing nationalization of congressional elections
15 0.060156118 2224 andrew gelman stats-2014-02-25-Basketball Stats: Don’t model the probability of win, model the expected score differential.
16 0.059538539 558 andrew gelman stats-2011-02-05-Fattening of the world and good use of the alpha channel
17 0.058191985 1464 andrew gelman stats-2012-08-20-Donald E. Westlake on George W. Bush
18 0.057423338 2251 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-17-In the best alternative histories, the real world is what’s ultimately real
19 0.057138227 1810 andrew gelman stats-2013-04-17-Subway series
20 0.056148402 1578 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-15-Outta control political incorrectness
topicId topicWeight
[(0, 0.072), (1, -0.027), (2, -0.013), (3, 0.027), (4, 0.028), (5, 0.004), (6, 0.019), (7, 0.01), (8, -0.003), (9, -0.011), (10, -0.018), (11, -0.015), (12, -0.004), (13, -0.008), (14, -0.029), (15, -0.016), (16, 0.022), (17, -0.017), (18, 0.018), (19, 0.01), (20, 0.002), (21, -0.004), (22, 0.002), (23, 0.016), (24, 0.002), (25, -0.008), (26, -0.001), (27, 0.007), (28, -0.012), (29, 0.015), (30, 0.003), (31, -0.027), (32, 0.008), (33, -0.025), (34, 0.013), (35, -0.034), (36, -0.013), (37, 0.009), (38, -0.02), (39, -0.0), (40, -0.005), (41, 0.037), (42, -0.028), (43, 0.003), (44, 0.0), (45, 0.019), (46, -0.016), (47, -0.042), (48, -0.0), (49, 0.036)]
simIndex simValue blogId blogTitle
same-blog 1 0.90225971 1277 andrew gelman stats-2012-04-23-Infographic of the year
Introduction: This (by Frans Hofmeester) is excellent. What really makes it work, I think, is that it goes slowly enough. 2 minutes and 45 seconds is enough time for me, as a viewer, to feel like I’m living through each stage of development. If the video were sped up to go from 0 to 12 in only 30 seconds, that would be cool in its own way but would give up the sense of local stability that is characteristic of development.
2 0.73892331 926 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-26-NYC
Introduction: Our downstairs neighbor hates us. She looks away from us when we see them on the street, if we’re coming into the building at the same time she doesn’t hold open the door, and if we’re in the elevator when it stops on her floor, she refuses to get on. On the other hand, if you’re a sociology professor in Chicago, one of your colleagues might try to run you over in a parking lot. So I guess I’m getting off easy.
3 0.72261721 2089 andrew gelman stats-2013-11-04-Shlemiel the Software Developer and Unknown Unknowns
Introduction: The Stan meeting today reminded me of Joel Spolsky’s recasting of the Yiddish joke about Shlemiel the Painter. Joel retold it on his blog, Joel on Software , in the post Back to Basics : Shlemiel gets a job as a street painter, painting the dotted lines down the middle of the road. On the first day he takes a can of paint out to the road and finishes 300 yards of the road. “That’s pretty good!” says his boss, “you’re a fast worker!” and pays him a kopeck. The next day Shlemiel only gets 150 yards done. “Well, that’s not nearly as good as yesterday, but you’re still a fast worker. 150 yards is respectable,” and pays him a kopeck. The next day Shlemiel paints 30 yards of the road. “Only 30!” shouts his boss. “That’s unacceptable! On the first day you did ten times that much work! What’s going on?” “I can’t help it,” says Shlemiel. “Every day I get farther and farther away from the paint can!” Joel used it as an example of the kind of string processing naive programmers ar
4 0.70836931 1261 andrew gelman stats-2012-04-12-The Naval Research Lab
Introduction: I worked at the U.S. Naval Research Laboratory for four summers during high school and college. I spent much of my time writing a computer program to do thermal analysis for an experiment that we put on the space shuttle. The facility I developed with the finite-element method came in handy in my job at Bell Labs the following summers. I was working for C. H. Tsao and Jim Adams in the Laboratory for Cosmic Ray Physics. We were estimating the distribution of isotopes in cosmic rays using a pile of track detectors. To get accurate measurements, you want these plastic disks to be as close as possible to a constant temperature, so we designed an elaborate wrapping of thermal blankets. My program computed the temperature of the detectors during the year that the Long Duration Exposure Facility (including our experiment and a bunch of others) was scheduled to be in orbit. The input is the heat from solar radiation (easy enough to compute given the trajectory). On the computer I tr
5 0.69889945 2197 andrew gelman stats-2014-02-04-Peabody here.
Introduction: I saw the trailer for the new Mr. Peabody movie and it looked terrible. They used that weird animation where everything looks round, also the voice had none of the intonations of the “real” Peabody (for some reason, the trailer had the original English voices, maybe they didn’t get their act together to make a dubbed trailer in time for the release here), also the scenes looked pretty stupid. I went back home and checked out Peabody on wikipedia and it turns out that they made 91 episodes! I had no idea. Anyway, here’s my real question: Why bother making a Mr. Peabody movie if you’re not going to do it well? I understand that lots of moviemakers are hacks and there will always be a huge audience for crap in any case, so I’m certainly not demanding that all movies be “good” (in whatever sense that means, from my perceptions). But there are lots and lots of opportunities to make crap movies, there are a million toys and video games and comic book characters and fairy tales and br
6 0.69772357 1995 andrew gelman stats-2013-08-23-“I mean, what exact buttons do I have to hit?”
7 0.69335943 835 andrew gelman stats-2011-08-02-“The sky is the limit” isn’t such a good thing
9 0.6896019 1245 andrew gelman stats-2012-04-03-Redundancy and efficiency: In praise of Penn Station
10 0.68513757 420 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-18-Prison terms for financial fraud?
11 0.68083906 266 andrew gelman stats-2010-09-09-The future of R
12 0.67255169 592 andrew gelman stats-2011-02-26-“Do you need ideal conditions to do great work?”
13 0.67205518 737 andrew gelman stats-2011-05-30-Memorial Day question
14 0.66985989 1010 andrew gelman stats-2011-11-14-“Free energy” and economic resources
15 0.66843224 970 andrew gelman stats-2011-10-24-Bell Labs
16 0.66784471 1536 andrew gelman stats-2012-10-16-Using economics to reduce bike theft
17 0.66767234 2287 andrew gelman stats-2014-04-09-Advice: positive-sum, zero-sum, or negative-sum
18 0.66303927 641 andrew gelman stats-2011-04-01-So many topics, so little time
19 0.65958804 1831 andrew gelman stats-2013-04-29-The Great Race
20 0.65346116 278 andrew gelman stats-2010-09-15-Advice that might make sense for individuals but is negative-sum overall
topicId topicWeight
[(17, 0.051), (24, 0.102), (40, 0.215), (65, 0.047), (86, 0.072), (99, 0.336)]
simIndex simValue blogId blogTitle
same-blog 1 0.94612539 1277 andrew gelman stats-2012-04-23-Infographic of the year
Introduction: This (by Frans Hofmeester) is excellent. What really makes it work, I think, is that it goes slowly enough. 2 minutes and 45 seconds is enough time for me, as a viewer, to feel like I’m living through each stage of development. If the video were sped up to go from 0 to 12 in only 30 seconds, that would be cool in its own way but would give up the sense of local stability that is characteristic of development.
2 0.93305373 243 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-30-Computer models of the oil spill
Introduction: Chris Wilson points me to this visualizatio n of three physical models of the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. Cool (and scary) stuff. Wilson writes: One of the major advantages is that the models are 3D and show the plumes and tails beneath the surface. One of the major disadvantages is that they’re still just models.
3 0.93298483 1505 andrew gelman stats-2012-09-20-“Joseph Anton”
Introduction: I only read the review , not the book. What puzzled me was not any lack of self-awareness but rather this bit: The title of Mr. Rushdie’s new memoir . . . comes from the alias he assumed when British police told him back in 1989 that he needed a pseudonym: the Joseph comes from Joseph Conrad, the Anton from Anton Chekhov. The protection officers issued to him by the British government soon took to calling him “Joe,” an abbreviation he says he detested. The thing that I don’t understand is why he detested the nickname. If I were in a comparable situation, I think I’d appreciate if my security detail gave me a friendly nickname. Then again, with the stress that Rushdie’s been under, I can imagine all sorts of personality transformations.
4 0.92622256 1796 andrew gelman stats-2013-04-09-The guy behind me on line for the train . . .
Introduction: . . . sounded exactly like a David Mamet character. I mean, exactly. Or like Eric Bogosian doing a David Mamet character. I only wish I had a good ear for dialogue and could get it down for you. OK, we don’t use the word fuck on this blog but I could substitute something like f*** and you’d get the point. He was on his cell phone and seemed to be talking with his wife or girlfriend, explaining why they should get back together. It was a bit of a cross between Alec Baldwin and Jack Lemmon.
5 0.90684652 1245 andrew gelman stats-2012-04-03-Redundancy and efficiency: In praise of Penn Station
Introduction: In reaction to this news article by Michael Kimmelman, I’d like to repost this from four years ago: Walking through Penn Station in New York, I remembered how much I love its open structure. By “open,” I don’t mean bright and airy. I mean “open” in a topological sense. The station has three below-ground levels–the uppermost has ticket counters (and, what is more relevant nowadays, ticket machines), some crappy stores and restaurants, and a crappy waiting area. The middle level has Long Island Rail Road ticket counters, some more crappy stores and restaurants, and entrances to the 7th and 8th Avenue subway lines. The lower level has train tracks and platforms. There are stairs, escalators, and elevators going everywhere. As a result, it’s easy to get around, there are lots of shortcuts, and the train loads fast–some people come down the escalators and elevators from the top level, others take the stairs from the middle level. The powers-that-be keep threatening to spend a coupl
6 0.9019137 1198 andrew gelman stats-2012-03-05-A cloud with a silver lining
8 0.89745134 1153 andrew gelman stats-2012-02-04-More on the economic benefits of universities
9 0.89349115 1581 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-17-Horrible but harmless?
10 0.89015704 1803 andrew gelman stats-2013-04-14-Why girls do better in school
11 0.88297176 149 andrew gelman stats-2010-07-16-Demographics: what variable best predicts a financial crisis?
12 0.87681448 871 andrew gelman stats-2011-08-26-Be careful what you control for . . . you just might get it!
13 0.86958271 962 andrew gelman stats-2011-10-17-Death!
14 0.86668545 932 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-30-Articles on the philosophy of Bayesian statistics by Cox, Mayo, Senn, and others!
15 0.86484504 1445 andrew gelman stats-2012-08-06-Slow progress
16 0.8602162 2212 andrew gelman stats-2014-02-15-Mary, Mary, why ya buggin
17 0.85988808 1671 andrew gelman stats-2013-01-13-Preregistration of Studies and Mock Reports
19 0.84749132 653 andrew gelman stats-2011-04-08-Multilevel regression with shrinkage for “fixed” effects
20 0.8459962 585 andrew gelman stats-2011-02-22-“How has your thinking changed over the past three years?”