andrew_gelman_stats andrew_gelman_stats-2011 andrew_gelman_stats-2011-900 knowledge-graph by maker-knowledge-mining

900 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-11-Symptomatic innumeracy


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Introduction: I put it at the sister blog so the politics-haters among you could skip it. . . .


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1 I put it at the sister blog so the politics-haters among you could skip it. [sent-1, score-2.158]


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same-blog 1 0.99999994 900 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-11-Symptomatic innumeracy

Introduction: I put it at the sister blog so the politics-haters among you could skip it. . . .

2 0.57507735 905 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-14-5 books on essentialism!

Introduction: At the sister blog .

3 0.46919584 1937 andrew gelman stats-2013-07-13-Meritocracy rerun

Introduction: I’ve said it here so often, this time I put it on the sister blog. . . .

4 0.3526383 1629 andrew gelman stats-2012-12-18-It happened in Connecticut

Introduction: From the sister blog, some reasons why the political reaction might be different this time.

5 0.27610987 616 andrew gelman stats-2011-03-17-The sort of low-grade pissy blogging that degrades our public discourse and threatens to drown our more serious conversations in a sea of gossip

Introduction: I put it on the sister blog so you loyal readers here wouldn’t be distracted by it.

6 0.22588037 2344 andrew gelman stats-2014-05-23-The gremlins did it? Iffy statistics drive strong policy recommendations

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8 0.17964076 1647 andrew gelman stats-2013-01-01-Neoconservatism circa 1986

9 0.16472246 611 andrew gelman stats-2011-03-14-As the saying goes, when they argue that you’re taking over, that’s when you know you’ve won

10 0.1338073 1567 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-07-Election reports

11 0.10451853 856 andrew gelman stats-2011-08-16-Our new improved blog! Thanks to Cord Blomquist

12 0.09237805 1832 andrew gelman stats-2013-04-29-The blogroll

13 0.087499805 2015 andrew gelman stats-2013-09-10-The ethics of lying, cheating, and stealing with data: A case study

14 0.080561616 1494 andrew gelman stats-2012-09-13-Watching the sharks jump

15 0.067233779 771 andrew gelman stats-2011-06-16-30 days of statistics

16 0.065189525 665 andrew gelman stats-2011-04-17-Yes, your wish shall be granted (in 25 years)

17 0.062023595 2048 andrew gelman stats-2013-10-03-A comment on a post at the Monkey Cage

18 0.056940995 246 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-31-Somewhat Bayesian multilevel modeling

19 0.056469109 872 andrew gelman stats-2011-08-26-Blog on applied probability modeling

20 0.055990018 220 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-20-Why I blog?


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same-blog 1 0.99163407 900 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-11-Symptomatic innumeracy

Introduction: I put it at the sister blog so the politics-haters among you could skip it. . . .

2 0.98552942 616 andrew gelman stats-2011-03-17-The sort of low-grade pissy blogging that degrades our public discourse and threatens to drown our more serious conversations in a sea of gossip

Introduction: I put it on the sister blog so you loyal readers here wouldn’t be distracted by it.

3 0.98531204 905 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-14-5 books on essentialism!

Introduction: At the sister blog .

4 0.97159344 1647 andrew gelman stats-2013-01-01-Neoconservatism circa 1986

Introduction: Tutu forecast and religion and torture (from the sister blog). P.S. For partisan balance, don’t forget this projection from 1961.

5 0.96944875 2344 andrew gelman stats-2014-05-23-The gremlins did it? Iffy statistics drive strong policy recommendations

Introduction: Recently in the sister blog . Yet another chapter in the continuing saga, Don’t Trust Polynomials. P.S. More here .

6 0.93011796 1629 andrew gelman stats-2012-12-18-It happened in Connecticut

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11 0.59377939 1567 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-07-Election reports

12 0.59134555 2126 andrew gelman stats-2013-12-07-If I could’ve done it all over again

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15 0.51416659 1701 andrew gelman stats-2013-01-31-The name that fell off a cliff

16 0.48866785 871 andrew gelman stats-2011-08-26-Be careful what you control for . . . you just might get it!

17 0.48285666 611 andrew gelman stats-2011-03-14-As the saying goes, when they argue that you’re taking over, that’s when you know you’ve won

18 0.46663362 220 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-20-Why I blog?

19 0.46411511 104 andrew gelman stats-2010-06-22-Seeking balance

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1 0.98368543 1232 andrew gelman stats-2012-03-27-Banned in NYC school tests

Introduction: The list includes “hunting” but not “fishing,” so that’s cool. I wonder how they’d feel about a question involving different cuts of meat. In any case, I’m happy to see that “Bayes” is not on the banned list. P.S. Russell explains .

2 0.90715677 672 andrew gelman stats-2011-04-20-The R code for those time-use graphs

Introduction: By popular demand, here’s my R script for the time-use graphs : # The data a1 <- c(4.2,3.2,11.1,1.3,2.2,2.0) a2 <- c(3.9,3.2,10.0,0.8,3.1,3.1) a3 <- c(6.3,2.5,9.8,0.9,2.2,2.4) a4 <- c(4.4,3.1,9.8,0.8,3.3,2.7) a5 <- c(4.8,3.0,9.9,0.7,3.3,2.4) a6 <- c(4.0,3.4,10.5,0.7,3.3,2.1) a <- rbind(a1,a2,a3,a4,a5,a6) avg <- colMeans (a) avg.array <- t (array (avg, rev(dim(a)))) diff <- a - avg.array country.name <- c("France", "Germany", "Japan", "Britain", "USA", "Turkey") # The line plots par (mfrow=c(2,3), mar=c(4,4,2,.5), mgp=c(2,.7,0), tck=-.02, oma=c(3,0,4,0), bg="gray96", fg="gray30") for (i in 1:6){ plot (c(1,6), c(-1,1.7), xlab="", ylab="", xaxt="n", yaxt="n", bty="l", type="n") lines (1:6, diff[i,], col="blue") points (1:6, diff[i,], pch=19, col="black") if (i>3){ axis (1, c(1,3,5), c ("Work,\nstudy", "Eat,\nsleep", "Leisure"), mgp=c(2,1.5,0), tck=0, cex.axis=1.2) axis (1, c(2,4,6), c ("Unpaid\nwork", "Personal\nCare", "Other"), mgp=c(2,1.5,0),

3 0.89923412 2298 andrew gelman stats-2014-04-21-On deck this week

Introduction: Mon : Ticket to Baaaath Tues : Ticket to Baaaaarf Wed : Thinking of doing a list experiment? Here’s a list of reasons why you should think again Thurs : An open site for researchers to post and share papers Fri : Questions about “Too Good to Be True” Sat : Sleazy sock puppet can’t stop spamming our discussion of compressed sensing and promoting the work of Xiteng Liu Sun : White stripes and dead armadillos

4 0.89519322 151 andrew gelman stats-2010-07-16-Wanted: Probability distributions for rank orderings

Introduction: Dietrich Stoyan writes: I asked the IMS people for an expert in statistics of voting/elections and they wrote me your name. I am a statistician, but never worked in the field voting/elections. It was my son-in-law who asked me for statistical theories in that field. He posed in particular the following problem: The aim of the voting is to come to a ranking of c candidates. Every vote is a permutation of these c candidates. The problem is to have probability distributions in the set of all permutations of c elements. Are there theories for such distributions? I should be very grateful for a fast answer with hints to literature. (I confess that I do not know your books.) My reply: Rather than trying to model the ranks directly, I’d recommend modeling a latent continuous outcome which then implies a distribution on ranks, if the ranks are of interest. There are lots of distributions of c-dimensional continuous outcomes. In political science, the usual way to start is

5 0.83886272 432 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-27-Neumann update

Introduction: Steve Hsu, who started off this discussion, had some comments on my speculations on the personality of John von Neumann and others. Steve writes: I [Hsu] actually knew Feynman a bit when I was an undergrad, and found him to be very nice to students. Since then I have heard quite a few stories from people in theoretical physics which emphasize his nastier side, and I think in the end he was quite a complicated person like everyone else. There are a couple of pseudo-biographies of vN, but none as high quality as, e.g., Gleick’s book on Feynman or Hodges book about Turing. (Gleick studied physics as an undergrad at Harvard, and Hodges is a PhD in mathematical physics — pretty rare backgrounds for biographers!) For example, as mentioned on the comment thread to your post, Steve Heims wrote a book about both vN and Wiener (!), and Norman Macrae wrote a biography of vN. Both books are worth reading, but I think neither really do him justice. The breadth of vN’s work is just too m

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same-blog 18 0.74886101 900 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-11-Symptomatic innumeracy

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