andrew_gelman_stats andrew_gelman_stats-2014 andrew_gelman_stats-2014-2214 knowledge-graph by maker-knowledge-mining
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Introduction: Mon : The Washington Post reprints university press releases without editing them Tues : Florida backlash Wed : The replication and criticism movement is not about suppressing speculative research; rather, it’s all about enabling science’s fabled self-correcting nature Thurs : Do differences between biology and statistics explain some of our diverging attitudes regarding criticism and replication of scientific claims? Fri : The world’s most popular languages that the Mac documentation hasn’t been translated into
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same-blog 1 0.99999994 2214 andrew gelman stats-2014-02-17-On deck this week
Introduction: Mon : The Washington Post reprints university press releases without editing them Tues : Florida backlash Wed : The replication and criticism movement is not about suppressing speculative research; rather, it’s all about enabling science’s fabled self-correcting nature Thurs : Do differences between biology and statistics explain some of our diverging attitudes regarding criticism and replication of scientific claims? Fri : The world’s most popular languages that the Mac documentation hasn’t been translated into
2 0.17515181 2222 andrew gelman stats-2014-02-24-On deck this week
Introduction: Mon: “Edlin’s rule” for routinely scaling down published estimates Tues: Basketball Stats: Don’t model the probability of win, model the expected score differential Wed: A good comment on one of my papers Thurs: “What Can we Learn from the Many Labs Replication Project?” Fri: God/leaf/tree Sat: “We are moving from an era of private data and public analyses to one of public data and private analyses. Just as we have learned to be cautious about data that are missing, we may have to be cautious about missing analyses also.”
3 0.17146538 2206 andrew gelman stats-2014-02-10-On deck this week
Introduction: This blog has roughly a month’s worth of items waiting to be posted. I post about once a day, sometimes rescheduling posts to make room for something topical. Anyway, it struck me that I know what’s coming up, but you don’t. So, here’s what we have for you during the next few days: Mon: More on US health care overkill Tues: My talks in Bristol this Wed and London this Thurs Wed: How to think about “identifiability” in Bayesian inference? Thurs: Stopping rules and Bayesian analysis Fri: The popularity of certain baby names is falling off the clifffffffffffff Plus anything our cobloggers might choose to post during these days. And, if Woody Allen or Ed Wegman or anyone else newsworthy asks us to publish an op-ed for them, we’ll consider it. Enjoy.
4 0.17063642 2215 andrew gelman stats-2014-02-17-The Washington Post reprints university press releases without editing them
Introduction: Somebody points me to this horrifying exposé by Paul Raeburn on a new series by the Washington Post where they reprint press releases as if they are actual news. And the gimmick is, the reason why it’s appearing on this blog, is that these are university press releases on science stories . What could possibly go wrong there? After all, Steve Chaplin, a self-identified “science-writing PIO from an R1,” writes in a comment to Raeburn’s post: We write about peer-reviewed research accepted for publication or published by the world’s leading scientific journals after that research has been determined to be legitimate. Repeatability of new research is a publication requisite. I emphasized that last sentence myself because it was such a stunner. Do people really think that??? So I guess what he’s saying is, they don’t do press releases for articles from Psychological Science or the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology . But I wonder how the profs in the psych d
5 0.16985065 2290 andrew gelman stats-2014-04-14-On deck this week
Introduction: Mon : Transitioning to Stan Tues : When you believe in things that you don’t understand Wed : Looking for Bayesian expertise in India, for the purpose of analysis of sarcoma trials Thurs : If you get to the point of asking, just do it. But some difficulties do arise . . . Fri : One-tailed or two-tailed? Sat : Index or indicator variables Sun : Fooled by randomness
6 0.1684605 2366 andrew gelman stats-2014-06-09-On deck this week
7 0.16682142 2240 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-10-On deck this week: Things people sent me
8 0.15211643 2321 andrew gelman stats-2014-05-05-On deck this week
9 0.15135042 2348 andrew gelman stats-2014-05-26-On deck this week
10 0.14943403 2276 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-31-On deck this week
11 0.14841829 2331 andrew gelman stats-2014-05-12-On deck this week
12 0.1399373 2339 andrew gelman stats-2014-05-19-On deck this week
13 0.13422666 2216 andrew gelman stats-2014-02-18-Florida backlash
14 0.12976322 2253 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-17-On deck this week: Revisitings
15 0.12899046 2285 andrew gelman stats-2014-04-07-On deck this week
16 0.12875929 2298 andrew gelman stats-2014-04-21-On deck this week
17 0.12810536 2356 andrew gelman stats-2014-06-02-On deck this week
18 0.11030035 2310 andrew gelman stats-2014-04-28-On deck this week
19 0.10150185 2219 andrew gelman stats-2014-02-21-The world’s most popular languages that the Mac documentation hasn’t been translated into
20 0.099610038 2137 andrew gelman stats-2013-12-17-Replication backlash
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same-blog 1 0.96395963 2214 andrew gelman stats-2014-02-17-On deck this week
Introduction: Mon : The Washington Post reprints university press releases without editing them Tues : Florida backlash Wed : The replication and criticism movement is not about suppressing speculative research; rather, it’s all about enabling science’s fabled self-correcting nature Thurs : Do differences between biology and statistics explain some of our diverging attitudes regarding criticism and replication of scientific claims? Fri : The world’s most popular languages that the Mac documentation hasn’t been translated into
2 0.91107506 2276 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-31-On deck this week
Introduction: Mon : The most-cited statistics papers ever Tues : American Psychological Society announces a new journal Wed : Am I too negative? Thurs : As the boldest experiment in journalism history, you admit you made a mistake Fri : The Notorious N.H.S.T. presents: Mo P-values Mo Problems Sat : Bizarre academic spam Sun : An old discussion of food deserts
3 0.83736926 2240 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-10-On deck this week: Things people sent me
Introduction: Mon: Preregistration: what’s in it for you? Tues: What if I were to stop publishing in journals? Wed: Empirical implications of Empirical Implications of Theoretical Models Thurs: An Economist’s Guide to Visualizing Data Fri: The maximal information coefficient Sat: Problematic interpretations of confidence intervals Sun: The more you look, the more you find
4 0.83412802 2298 andrew gelman stats-2014-04-21-On deck this week
Introduction: Mon : Ticket to Baaaath Tues : Ticket to Baaaaarf Wed : Thinking of doing a list experiment? Here’s a list of reasons why you should think again Thurs : An open site for researchers to post and share papers Fri : Questions about “Too Good to Be True” Sat : Sleazy sock puppet can’t stop spamming our discussion of compressed sensing and promoting the work of Xiteng Liu Sun : White stripes and dead armadillos
5 0.81682205 2366 andrew gelman stats-2014-06-09-On deck this week
Introduction: Mon: I hate polynomials Tues: Spring forward, fall back, drop dead? Wed: Bayes in the research conversation Thurs: The health policy innovation center: how best to move from pilot studies to large-scale practice? Fri: Stroopy names Sat: He’s not so great in math but wants to do statistics and machine learning Sun: Comparing the full model to the partial model
6 0.79075813 2331 andrew gelman stats-2014-05-12-On deck this week
7 0.78868222 2290 andrew gelman stats-2014-04-14-On deck this week
8 0.7631852 2310 andrew gelman stats-2014-04-28-On deck this week
9 0.75554764 2356 andrew gelman stats-2014-06-02-On deck this week
10 0.7521342 2253 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-17-On deck this week: Revisitings
11 0.74418354 2348 andrew gelman stats-2014-05-26-On deck this week
12 0.70989895 2206 andrew gelman stats-2014-02-10-On deck this week
13 0.7068001 2285 andrew gelman stats-2014-04-07-On deck this week
14 0.69584823 2321 andrew gelman stats-2014-05-05-On deck this week
15 0.68819314 2339 andrew gelman stats-2014-05-19-On deck this week
16 0.66923833 2265 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-24-On deck this week
17 0.65729153 2222 andrew gelman stats-2014-02-24-On deck this week
18 0.63884574 165 andrew gelman stats-2010-07-27-Nothing is Linear, Nothing is Additive: Bayesian Models for Interactions in Social Science
19 0.59338057 2264 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-24-On deck this month
20 0.53559345 679 andrew gelman stats-2011-04-25-My talk at Stanford on Tuesday
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same-blog 1 0.92601895 2214 andrew gelman stats-2014-02-17-On deck this week
Introduction: Mon : The Washington Post reprints university press releases without editing them Tues : Florida backlash Wed : The replication and criticism movement is not about suppressing speculative research; rather, it’s all about enabling science’s fabled self-correcting nature Thurs : Do differences between biology and statistics explain some of our diverging attitudes regarding criticism and replication of scientific claims? Fri : The world’s most popular languages that the Mac documentation hasn’t been translated into
2 0.77603793 873 andrew gelman stats-2011-08-26-Luck or knowledge?
Introduction: Joan Ginther has won the Texas lottery four times. First, she won $5.4 million, then a decade later, she won $2million, then two years later $3million and in the summer of 2010, she hit a $10million jackpot. The odds of this has been calculated at one in eighteen septillion and luck like this could only come once every quadrillion years. According to Forbes, the residents of Bishop, Texas, seem to believe God was behind it all. The Texas Lottery Commission told Mr Rich that Ms Ginther must have been ‘born under a lucky star’, and that they don’t suspect foul play. Harper’s reporter Nathanial Rich recently wrote an article about Ms Ginther, which calls the the validity of her ‘luck’ into question. First, he points out, Ms Ginther is a former math professor with a PhD from Stanford University specialising in statistics. More at Daily Mail. [Edited Saturday] In comments, C Ryan King points to the original article at Harper’s and Bill Jefferys to Wired .
3 0.76692975 558 andrew gelman stats-2011-02-05-Fattening of the world and good use of the alpha channel
Introduction: In the spirit of Gapminder , Washington Post created an interactive scatterplot viewer that’s using alpha channel to tell apart overlapping fat dots better than sorting-by-circle-size Gapminder is using: Good news: the rate of fattening of the USA appears to be slowing down. Maybe because of high gas prices? But what’s happening with Oceania?
4 0.74413627 1427 andrew gelman stats-2012-07-24-More from the sister blog
Introduction: Anthropologist Bruce Mannheim reports that a recent well-publicized study on the genetics of native Americans, which used genetic analysis to find “at least three streams of Asian gene flow,” is in fact a confirmation of a long-known fact. Mannheim writes: This three-way distinction was known linguistically since the 1920s (for example, Sapir 1921). Basically, it’s a division among the Eskimo-Aleut languages, which straddle the Bering Straits even today, the Athabaskan languages (which were discovered to be related to a small Siberian language family only within the last few years, not by Greenberg as Wade suggested), and everything else. This is not to say that the results from genetics are unimportant, but it’s good to see how it fits with other aspects of our understanding.
5 0.7335785 185 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-04-Why does anyone support private macroeconomic forecasts?
Introduction: Tyler Cowen asks the above question. I don’t have a full answer, but, in the Economics section of A Quantitative Tour of the Social Sciences , Richard Clarida discusses in detail the ways that researchers have tried to estimate the extent to which government or private forecasts supply additional information.
6 0.73165178 1530 andrew gelman stats-2012-10-11-Migrating your blog from Movable Type to WordPress
7 0.72342539 253 andrew gelman stats-2010-09-03-Gladwell vs Pinker
8 0.72048408 904 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-13-My wikipedia edit
9 0.71459401 1718 andrew gelman stats-2013-02-11-Toward a framework for automatic model building
10 0.70983064 76 andrew gelman stats-2010-06-09-Both R and Stata
11 0.69692832 1547 andrew gelman stats-2012-10-25-College football, voting, and the law of large numbers
12 0.68107122 2219 andrew gelman stats-2014-02-21-The world’s most popular languages that the Mac documentation hasn’t been translated into
13 0.67487478 1586 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-21-Readings for a two-week segment on Bayesian modeling?
14 0.66406643 380 andrew gelman stats-2010-10-29-“Bluntly put . . .”
15 0.66379786 1777 andrew gelman stats-2013-03-26-Data Science for Social Good summer fellowship program
16 0.66367841 2082 andrew gelman stats-2013-10-30-Berri Gladwell Loken football update
17 0.66254067 869 andrew gelman stats-2011-08-24-Mister P in Stata
18 0.66176414 2366 andrew gelman stats-2014-06-09-On deck this week
19 0.65946305 445 andrew gelman stats-2010-12-03-Getting a job in pro sports… as a statistician
20 0.6572125 2352 andrew gelman stats-2014-05-29-When you believe in things that you don’t understand