andrew_gelman_stats andrew_gelman_stats-2010 andrew_gelman_stats-2010-297 knowledge-graph by maker-knowledge-mining
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Introduction: Just in case you didn’t notice it on the blogroll.
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same-blog 1 0.99999994 297 andrew gelman stats-2010-09-27-An interesting education and statistics blog
Introduction: Just in case you didn’t notice it on the blogroll.
2 0.32863253 612 andrew gelman stats-2011-03-14-Uh-oh
Introduction: I don’t know for sure, but I’ve long assumed that we get most of our hits from the link on the Marginal Revolution page. The bad news is that in their new design , they seem to have removed the blogroll!
3 0.27356914 1193 andrew gelman stats-2012-03-03-“Do you guys pay your bills?”
Introduction: I’ve had Love the Liberry on the blogroll forever. I hadn’t checked the site for awhile and was impressed to see that they’re still at it. Great stuff—don’t ever quit! P.S. It seems that there are other librarian blogs. Pretty scary, actually! One’s enough for me.
4 0.091295205 693 andrew gelman stats-2011-05-04-Don’t any statisticians work for the IRS?
Introduction: A friend asks the above question and writes: This article left me thinking – how could the IRS not notice that this guy didn’t file taxes for several years? Don’t they run checks and notice if you miss a year? If I write a check our of order, there’s an asterisk next to the check number in my next bank statement showing that there was a gap in the sequence. If you ran the IRS, wouldn’t you do this: SSNs are issued sequentially. Once a SSN reaches 18, expect it to file a return. If it doesn’t, mail out a postage paid letter asking why not with check boxes such as Student, Unemployed, etc. Follow up at reasonable intervals. Eventually every SSN should be filing a return, or have an international address. Yes this is intrusive, but my goal is only to maximize tax revenue. Surely people who do this for a living could come up with something more elegant. My response: I dunno, maybe some confidentiality rules? The other thing is that I’m guessing that IRS gets lots of pushback w
5 0.082560591 1916 andrew gelman stats-2013-06-27-The weirdest thing about the AJPH story
Introduction: Earlier today I posted a weird email that began with “You are receiving this notice because you have published a paper with the American Journal of Public Health within the last few years” and continued with a sleazy attempt to squeeze $1000 out of me so that an article that I sent them for free could be available to the public. $1000 might seem like a lot, but they assured me that “we are extending this limited time offer of open access at a steeply discounted rate.” Sort of like a Vegematic but without that set of Ginsu knives thrown in for free. But then when I was responding to comments, I realized that . . . I didn’t actually remember ever publishing anything in that journal. It’s not on my list of 100+ journals. I did a search on my published papers page and couldn’t find anything closer than the Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health (and that was not within the last few years). I checked Google Scholar. And then I went straight to the AJPH webpage and sea
6 0.082335323 20 andrew gelman stats-2010-05-07-Bayesian hierarchical model for the prediction of soccer results
7 0.081948496 1177 andrew gelman stats-2012-02-20-Joshua Clover update
8 0.076850414 2203 andrew gelman stats-2014-02-08-“Guys who do more housework get less sex”
10 0.070271976 1871 andrew gelman stats-2013-05-27-Annals of spam
11 0.066492818 311 andrew gelman stats-2010-10-02-Where do our taxes go?
12 0.063561693 233 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-25-Lauryn Hill update
15 0.050737277 1078 andrew gelman stats-2011-12-22-Tables as graphs: The Ramanujan principle
16 0.047723353 1219 andrew gelman stats-2012-03-18-Tips on “great design” from . . . Microsoft!
17 0.04635217 2121 andrew gelman stats-2013-12-02-Should personal genetic testing be regulated? Battle of the blogroll
18 0.046325881 574 andrew gelman stats-2011-02-14-“The best data visualizations should stand on their own”? I don’t think so.
20 0.045413919 1641 andrew gelman stats-2012-12-27-The Möbius strip, or, marketing that is impervious to criticism
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same-blog 1 0.952604 297 andrew gelman stats-2010-09-27-An interesting education and statistics blog
Introduction: Just in case you didn’t notice it on the blogroll.
2 0.61174148 1938 andrew gelman stats-2013-07-14-Learning how to speak
Introduction: I’ve been trying to reduce my American accent when speaking French. I tried taping my voice and playing it back, but that didn’t help. I couldn’t actually tell that I had a strong accent by listening to myself. My own voice is just too familiar to me. Then Malecki told me about the international phonetic alphabet, which is just great. And there’s even a convenient website that translates. For example, le loup est revenu -> lə lu ε ʀəvny I stared at Malecki’s mouth while he said the phrase, and I finally understood the difference between the two different “oo” sounds. That evening at home I tried it out on the local expert and he laughed at my attempts but grudgingly admitted I was getting better. On about the 10th try, after watching him say it over and over and staring at his mouth, I was finally able to do it! I know this is going to sound stupid to all you linguistics experts out there, but I had no idea that you could figure out how to speak better by staring at s
3 0.59983701 1755 andrew gelman stats-2013-03-09-Plaig
Introduction: This , from Jeremy Duns (previously encountered here ), resonates with me: When I asked Thayer why he hadn’t cited Zeigler, he told me very forcefully that he had cited everything , and accused me of libelling him: this means, presumably, that he accused me of libel without checking his article and seeing the ‘citations’ weren’t there. And when he did finally spot that, why did he not tell me I was right, apologize, get them added and explain to me, on his site, below the article or anywhere else that his editor had accidentally missed out his attributions? It’s so frustrating. The kind of people who cheat also seem to be the kind of people who lie when caught at it, and the kind of people who never ever apologize .
4 0.5845387 233 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-25-Lauryn Hill update
Introduction: Juli thought this might answer some of my questions . To me, though, it seemed a bit of a softball interview, didn’t really go into the theory that the reason she’s stopped recording is that she didn’t really write most of the material herself.
5 0.58326054 1324 andrew gelman stats-2012-05-16-Wikipedia author confronts Ed Wegman
Introduction: Wegman: “It’s not reprinted 100 percent like you had it.” Wikipedia guy: “No, you added another paragraph at the end and you changed the headline. . . . You even copied the typos that I’ve corrected on my website. It was taken verbatim and reprinted in your paper.” The original author got a check for $500 but, unfortunately, no free subscription to “Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Computational Statistics” (a $1400-$2800 value ). P.S. To those who think I’m being mean to Wegman: I haven’t yet heard that he’s apologized to the people whose work he copied without attribution, or to the people who spent their time tracking all this down, or to the U.S. Congress for misrepresenting his expertise in his official report. Everyone makes mistakes, and just about everyone has ethical lapses at times. But when you get caught you’re supposed to make apology and restitution.
6 0.58116573 981 andrew gelman stats-2011-10-30-rms2
7 0.5671261 912 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-15-n = 2
8 0.56546873 497 andrew gelman stats-2011-01-02-Hipmunk update
9 0.56236893 1073 andrew gelman stats-2011-12-20-Not quite getting the point
10 0.55307156 129 andrew gelman stats-2010-07-05-Unrelated to all else
11 0.55096364 532 andrew gelman stats-2011-01-23-My Wall Street Journal story
12 0.54671979 512 andrew gelman stats-2011-01-12-Picking pennies in front of a steamroller: A parable comes to life
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14 0.53515577 2238 andrew gelman stats-2014-03-09-Hipmunk worked
15 0.53273398 1354 andrew gelman stats-2012-05-30-“I didn’t marry a horn, I married a man”
16 0.53034955 438 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-30-I just skyped in from Kentucky, and boy are my arms tired
17 0.52724791 2300 andrew gelman stats-2014-04-21-Ticket to Baaaath
18 0.52643824 745 andrew gelman stats-2011-06-04-High-level intellectual discussions in the Columbia statistics department
19 0.52491051 970 andrew gelman stats-2011-10-24-Bell Labs
20 0.52337939 701 andrew gelman stats-2011-05-07-Bechdel wasn’t kidding
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same-blog 1 0.80599523 297 andrew gelman stats-2010-09-27-An interesting education and statistics blog
Introduction: Just in case you didn’t notice it on the blogroll.
2 0.75518858 273 andrew gelman stats-2010-09-13-Update on marathon statistics
Introduction: Frank Hansen updates his story and writes: Here is a link to the new stuff. The update is a little less than half way down the page. 1. used display() instead of summary() 2. include a proxy for [non] newbies — whether I can find their name in a previous Chicago Marathon. 3. graph actual pace vs. fitted pace (color code newbie proxy) 4. estimate the model separately for newbies and non-newbies. some incidental discussion of sd of errors. There are a few things unfinished but I have to get to bed, I’m running the 2010 Chicago Half tomorrow morning, and they moved the start up from 7:30 to 7:00 because it’s the day of the Bears home opener too.
3 0.40562212 1386 andrew gelman stats-2012-06-21-Belief in hell is associated with lower crime rates
Introduction: I remember attending a talk a few years ago by my political science colleague John Huber in which he discussed cross-national comparisons of religious attitudes. One thing I remember is that the U.S. is highly religious, another thing I remembered is that lots more Americans believe in heaven than believe in hell. Some of this went into Red State Blue State—not the heaven/hell thing, but the graph of religiosity vs. GDP: and the corresponding graph of religious attendance vs. GDP for U.S. states: Also we learned that, at the individual level, the correlation of religious attendance with income is zero (according to survey reports, rich Americans are neither more nor less likely than poor Americans to go to church regularly): while the correlation of prayer with income is strongly negative (poor Americans are much more likely than rich Americans to regularly pray): Anyway, with all this, I was primed to be interested in a recent study by psychologist
4 0.40211272 1799 andrew gelman stats-2013-04-12-Stan 1.3.0 and RStan 1.3.0 Ready for Action
Introduction: The Stan Development Team is happy to announce that Stan 1.3.0 and RStan 1.3.0 are available for download. Follow the links on: Stan home page: http://mc-stan.org/ Please let us know if you have problems updating. Here’s the full set of release notes. v1.3.0 (12 April 2013) ====================================================================== Enhancements ---------------------------------- Modeling Language * forward sampling (random draws from distributions) in generated quantities * better error messages in parser * new distributions: + exp_mod_normal + gumbel + skew_normal * new special functions: + owenst * new broadcast (repetition) functions for vectors, arrays, matrices + rep_arrray + rep_matrix + rep_row_vector + rep_vector Command-Line * added option to display autocorrelations in the command-line program to print output * changed default point estimation routine from the command line to
Introduction: Since we’re talking about the scaled inverse Wishart . . . here’s a recent message from Chris Chatham: I have been reading your book on Bayesian Hierarchical/Multilevel Modeling but have been struggling a bit with deciding whether to model my multivariate normal distribution using the scaled inverse Wishart approach you advocate given the arguments at this blog post [entitled "Why an inverse-Wishart prior may not be such a good idea"]. My reply: We discuss this in our book. We know the inverse-Wishart has problems, that’s why we recommend the scaled inverse-Wishart, which is a more general class of models. Here ‘s an old blog post on the topic. And also of course there’s the description in our book. Chris pointed me to the following comment by Simon Barthelmé: Using the scaled inverse Wishart doesn’t change anything, the standard deviations of the invidual coefficients and their covariance are still dependent. My answer would be to use a prior that models the stan
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16 0.31042352 1474 andrew gelman stats-2012-08-29-More on scaled-inverse Wishart and prior independence
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20 0.30731398 1610 andrew gelman stats-2012-12-06-Yes, checking calibration of probability forecasts is part of Bayesian statistics