andrew_gelman_stats andrew_gelman_stats-2013 andrew_gelman_stats-2013-1755 knowledge-graph by maker-knowledge-mining
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Introduction: This , from Jeremy Duns (previously encountered here ), resonates with me: When I asked Thayer why he hadn’t cited Zeigler, he told me very forcefully that he had cited everything , and accused me of libelling him: this means, presumably, that he accused me of libel without checking his article and seeing the ‘citations’ weren’t there. And when he did finally spot that, why did he not tell me I was right, apologize, get them added and explain to me, on his site, below the article or anywhere else that his editor had accidentally missed out his attributions? It’s so frustrating. The kind of people who cheat also seem to be the kind of people who lie when caught at it, and the kind of people who never ever apologize .
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2 The kind of people who cheat also seem to be the kind of people who lie when caught at it, and the kind of people who never ever apologize . [sent-4, score-2.151]
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same-blog 1 1.0 1755 andrew gelman stats-2013-03-09-Plaig
Introduction: This , from Jeremy Duns (previously encountered here ), resonates with me: When I asked Thayer why he hadn’t cited Zeigler, he told me very forcefully that he had cited everything , and accused me of libelling him: this means, presumably, that he accused me of libel without checking his article and seeing the ‘citations’ weren’t there. And when he did finally spot that, why did he not tell me I was right, apologize, get them added and explain to me, on his site, below the article or anywhere else that his editor had accidentally missed out his attributions? It’s so frustrating. The kind of people who cheat also seem to be the kind of people who lie when caught at it, and the kind of people who never ever apologize .
2 0.096675992 539 andrew gelman stats-2011-01-26-Lies, Damn Lies…that’s pretty much it.
Introduction: This post is by Phil Price. We’re all used to distortions and misleading statements in political discourse — the use of these methods one thing on which politicians are fairly nonpartisan. But I think it’s rare to see an outright lie, especially about a really major issue. We had a doozy yesterday, when Congresswoman Michelle Bachmann presented a graphic that attributed the 2009 federal budget to the Obama administration. Oddly, most of the other facts and figures she presented were correct, although some of them seem calculatedly misleading. If you’re going to lie about something really big, why not just lie about everything?
3 0.096006148 919 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-21-Least surprising headline of the year
Introduction: “ Poker Web Site Cheated Users, U.S. Suit Says “ Shocking. Who’d have thought the developers of an online poker site would cheat??
4 0.085885242 1033 andrew gelman stats-2011-11-28-Greece to head statistician: Tell the truth, go to jail
Introduction: Kjetil Halvorsen writes: This should be of interest for the blog: The leader of the Greece national statistics faces prison charges for telling the truth! I followed the link, and my initial reaction was: Interesting–but I don’t think something appearing at that “Zero Hedge” site can be trusted! Did they ever apologize for this bit of misinformation ? Halvorsen replied: I don’t know! But we do not need to trust zerohedge, here is financial times, also with more details. Unfortunately the FT article has some sort of registration barrier, but I take exception to Tyler Durden’s snide remarks about “Banana Republics.”
Introduction: Adam Marcus at Retraction Watch reports on a physicist at the University of Toronto who had this unfortunate thing happen to him: This article has been retracted at the request of the Editor-in-Chief and first and corresponding author. The article was largely a duplication of a paper that had already appeared in ACS Nano, 4 (2010) 3374–3380, http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/nn100335g. The first and the corresponding authors (Kramer and Sargent) would like to apologize for this administrative error on their part . . . “Administrative error” . . . I love that! Is that what the robber says when he knocks over a liquor store and gets caught? As Marcus points out, the two papers have different titles and a different order of authors, which makes it less plausible that this was an administrative mistake (as could happen, for example, if a secretary was given a list of journals to submit the paper to, and accidentally submitted it to the second journal on the list without realizing it
6 0.082424909 1725 andrew gelman stats-2013-02-17-“1.7%” ha ha ha
7 0.07927683 1193 andrew gelman stats-2012-03-03-“Do you guys pay your bills?”
8 0.074766889 532 andrew gelman stats-2011-01-23-My Wall Street Journal story
9 0.073178403 81 andrew gelman stats-2010-06-12-Reputational Capital and Incentives in Organizations
10 0.072256565 1283 andrew gelman stats-2012-04-26-Let’s play “Guess the smoother”!
11 0.067658029 321 andrew gelman stats-2010-10-05-Racism!
12 0.067606516 2092 andrew gelman stats-2013-11-07-Data visualizations gone beautifully wrong
13 0.067529403 1600 andrew gelman stats-2012-12-01-$241,364.83 – $13,000 = $228,364.83
14 0.061773967 2055 andrew gelman stats-2013-10-08-A Bayesian approach for peer-review panels? and a speculation about Bruno Frey
16 0.06072282 1588 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-23-No one knows what it’s like to be the bad man
17 0.060679495 1590 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-26-I need a title for my book on ethics and statistics!!
18 0.058092609 1440 andrew gelman stats-2012-08-02-“A Christmas Carol” as applied to plagiarism
19 0.057448559 883 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-01-Arrow’s theorem update
20 0.057445839 2007 andrew gelman stats-2013-09-03-Popper and Jaynes
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same-blog 1 0.95244575 1755 andrew gelman stats-2013-03-09-Plaig
Introduction: This , from Jeremy Duns (previously encountered here ), resonates with me: When I asked Thayer why he hadn’t cited Zeigler, he told me very forcefully that he had cited everything , and accused me of libelling him: this means, presumably, that he accused me of libel without checking his article and seeing the ‘citations’ weren’t there. And when he did finally spot that, why did he not tell me I was right, apologize, get them added and explain to me, on his site, below the article or anywhere else that his editor had accidentally missed out his attributions? It’s so frustrating. The kind of people who cheat also seem to be the kind of people who lie when caught at it, and the kind of people who never ever apologize .
2 0.76868004 1324 andrew gelman stats-2012-05-16-Wikipedia author confronts Ed Wegman
Introduction: Wegman: “It’s not reprinted 100 percent like you had it.” Wikipedia guy: “No, you added another paragraph at the end and you changed the headline. . . . You even copied the typos that I’ve corrected on my website. It was taken verbatim and reprinted in your paper.” The original author got a check for $500 but, unfortunately, no free subscription to “Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Computational Statistics” (a $1400-$2800 value ). P.S. To those who think I’m being mean to Wegman: I haven’t yet heard that he’s apologized to the people whose work he copied without attribution, or to the people who spent their time tracking all this down, or to the U.S. Congress for misrepresenting his expertise in his official report. Everyone makes mistakes, and just about everyone has ethical lapses at times. But when you get caught you’re supposed to make apology and restitution.
3 0.76811457 532 andrew gelman stats-2011-01-23-My Wall Street Journal story
Introduction: I was talking with someone the other day about the book by that Yale law professor who called her kids “garbage” and didn’t let them go to the bathroom when they were studying piano . . . apparently it wasn’t so bad as all that, she was misrepresented by the Wall Street Journal excerpt: “I was very surprised,” she says. “The Journal basically strung together the most controversial sections of the book. And I had no idea they’d put that kind of a title on it. . . . “And while it’s ultimately my responsibility — my strict Chinese mom told me ‘never blame other people for your problems!’ — the one-sided nature of the excerpt has really led to some major misconceptions about what the book says, and about what I really believe.” I don’t completely follow her reasoning here: just because, many years ago, her mother told her a slogan about not blaming other people, therefore she can say, “it’s ultimately my responsibility”? You can see the illogic of this by flipping it around. Wha
Introduction: Dan Kahan writes on what seems to be the topic of the week : In reflecting on Lehrer , I [Kahan] have to wonder why the sanction is so much more severe — basically career “death penalty” subject to parole [I think he means "life imprisonment" --- ed.], I suppose, if he manages decades of “good behavior” — for this science journalist when scholars who stick plagiarized material in their “popular science” writing don’t even get slap on wrist — more like shrug of the shoulders. I do think the behavior is comparable; if anything, it’s probably “less wrong” to make up innocuous filler quotes (the Dylan one is, for sure), then to stick paragraphs of someone else’s writing into a book. But the cause is the same: laziness. (The plagarism I’m talking about is not the sort done by Wegman; its sort done by scholars who use factory production techniques to write popular press books — teams of research assistants who write memos, which the “author” then knits together & passes off as learne
5 0.73348594 1639 andrew gelman stats-2012-12-26-Impersonators
Introduction: This story of a Cindy Sherman impersonator reminded me of some graffiti I saw in a bathroom of the Whitney Museum many years ago. My friend Kenny and I had gone there for the Biennial which had an exhibit featuring Keith Haring and others of the neo-taggers (or whatever they were called). The bathroom walls were all painted over by Kenny Scharf [no relation to my friend] in his characteristically irritating doodle style. On top of the ugly stylized graffiti was a Sharpie’d scrawl: “Kenny Scharf is a pretentious asshole.” I suspected this last bit was added by someone else, but maybe it was Scharf himself? Ira Glass is a bigshot and can get Cindy Sherman on the phone, but I was just some guy, all I could do was write Scharf a letter, c/o the Whitney Museum. I described the situation and asked if he was the one who had written, “Kenny Scharf is a pretentious asshole.” He did not reply.
6 0.73054594 1568 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-07-That last satisfaction at the end of the career
7 0.730223 1457 andrew gelman stats-2012-08-13-Retro ethnic slurs
8 0.72777969 1588 andrew gelman stats-2012-11-23-No one knows what it’s like to be the bad man
9 0.72647315 197 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-10-The last great essayist?
10 0.7209928 2334 andrew gelman stats-2014-05-14-“The subtle funk of just a little poultry offal”
11 0.71834093 1446 andrew gelman stats-2012-08-06-“And will pardon Paul Claudel, Pardons him for writing well”
12 0.71651959 400 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-08-Poli sci plagiarism update, and a note about the benefits of not caring
13 0.71520466 430 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-25-The von Neumann paradox
14 0.70568049 505 andrew gelman stats-2011-01-05-Wacky interview questions: An exploration into the nature of evidence on the internet
15 0.70460671 2080 andrew gelman stats-2013-10-28-Writing for free
16 0.69943112 1600 andrew gelman stats-2012-12-01-$241,364.83 – $13,000 = $228,364.83
17 0.69698596 1707 andrew gelman stats-2013-02-05-Glenn Hubbard and I were on opposite sides of a court case and I didn’t even know it!
18 0.69623113 2300 andrew gelman stats-2014-04-21-Ticket to Baaaath
19 0.69605672 766 andrew gelman stats-2011-06-14-Last Wegman post (for now)
20 0.69131172 2323 andrew gelman stats-2014-05-07-Cause he thinks he’s so-phisticated
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same-blog 1 0.90770185 1755 andrew gelman stats-2013-03-09-Plaig
Introduction: This , from Jeremy Duns (previously encountered here ), resonates with me: When I asked Thayer why he hadn’t cited Zeigler, he told me very forcefully that he had cited everything , and accused me of libelling him: this means, presumably, that he accused me of libel without checking his article and seeing the ‘citations’ weren’t there. And when he did finally spot that, why did he not tell me I was right, apologize, get them added and explain to me, on his site, below the article or anywhere else that his editor had accidentally missed out his attributions? It’s so frustrating. The kind of people who cheat also seem to be the kind of people who lie when caught at it, and the kind of people who never ever apologize .
2 0.86314893 40 andrew gelman stats-2010-05-18-What visualization is best?
Introduction: Jeff Heer and Mike Bostock provided Mechanical Turk workers with a problem they had to answer using different types of charts. The lower error the workers got, the better the visualization. Here are some results from their paper Crowdsourcing Graphical Perception: Using Mechanical Turk to Assess Visualization Design : They also looked at various settings, like density, aspect ratio, spacing, etc. Visualization has become empirical science, no longer just art.
3 0.85314643 177 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-02-Reintegrating rebels into civilian life: Quasi-experimental evidence from Burundi
Introduction: Michael Gilligan, Eric Mvukiyehe, and Cyrus Samii write : We [Gilligan, Mvukiyehe, and Samii] use original survey data, collected in Burundi in the summer of 2007, to show that a World Bank ex-combatant reintegration program implemented after Burundi’s civil war caused significant economic reintegration for its beneficiaries but that this economic reintegration did not translate into greater political and social reintegration. Previous studies of reintegration programs have found them to be ineffective, but these studies have suffered from selection bias: only ex-combatants who self selected into those programs were studied. We avoid such bias with a quasi-experimental research design made possible by an exogenous bureaucratic failure in the implementation of program. One of the World Bank’s implementing partners delayed implementation by almost a year due to an unforeseen contract dispute. As a result, roughly a third of ex-combatants had their program benefits withheld for reas
4 0.84510094 2 andrew gelman stats-2010-04-23-Modeling heterogenous treatment effects
Introduction: Don Green and Holger Kern write on one of my favorite topics , treatment interactions (see also here ): We [Green and Kern] present a methodology that largely automates the search for systematic treatment effect heterogeneity in large-scale experiments. We introduce a nonparametric estimator developed in statistical learning, Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART), to model treatment effects that vary as a function of covariates. BART has several advantages over commonly employed parametric modeling strategies, in particular its ability to automatically detect and model relevant treatment-covariate interactions in a flexible manner. To increase the reliability and credibility of the resulting conditional treatment effect estimates, we suggest the use of a split sample design. The data are randomly divided into two equally-sized parts, with the first part used to explore treatment effect heterogeneity and the second part used to confirm the results. This approach permits a re
5 0.84392953 411 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-13-Ethical concerns in medical trials
Introduction: I just read this article on the treatment of medical volunteers, written by doctor and bioethicist Carl Ellliott. As a statistician who has done a small amount of consulting for pharmaceutical companies, I have a slightly different perspective. As a doctor, Elliott focuses on individual patients, whereas, as a statistician, I’ve been trained to focus on the goal of accurately estimate treatment effects. I’ll go through Elliott’s article and give my reactions. Elliott: In Miami, investigative reporters for Bloomberg Markets magazine discovered that a contract research organisation called SFBC International was testing drugs on undocumented immigrants in a rundown motel; since that report, the motel has been demolished for fire and safety violations. . . . SFBC had recently been named one of the best small businesses in America by Forbes magazine. The Holiday Inn testing facility was the largest in North America, and had been operating for nearly ten years before inspecto
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18 0.8119626 1156 andrew gelman stats-2012-02-06-Bayesian model-building by pure thought: Some principles and examples
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