andrew_gelman_stats andrew_gelman_stats-2010 andrew_gelman_stats-2010-140 knowledge-graph by maker-knowledge-mining
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Introduction: From Ira Stoll , a link to this cool data site , courtesy of the Manhattan Institute, with all sorts of state budget information including the salaries of all city and state employees.
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1 From Ira Stoll , a link to this cool data site , courtesy of the Manhattan Institute, with all sorts of state budget information including the salaries of all city and state employees. [sent-1, score-2.51]
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same-blog 1 1.0 140 andrew gelman stats-2010-07-10-SeeThroughNY
Introduction: From Ira Stoll , a link to this cool data site , courtesy of the Manhattan Institute, with all sorts of state budget information including the salaries of all city and state employees.
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Introduction: Answer here (courtesy of Kaiser Fung).
3 0.17039654 31 andrew gelman stats-2010-05-13-Visualization in 1939
Introduction: Willard Cope Brinton’s second book Graphic Presentation (1939) surprised me with the quality of its graphics. Prof. Michael Stoll has some scans at Flickr . For example: The whole book can be downloaded (in a worse resolution) from Archive.Org .
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Introduction: This looks cool.
5 0.12524013 584 andrew gelman stats-2011-02-22-“Are Wisconsin Public Employees Underpaid?”
Introduction: Amy Cohen points me to this blog by Jim Manzi, who writes: Ezra Klein and a variety of other thoughtful liberal bloggers have been pointing to an Economic Policy Institute analysis that they claim demonstrates that Wisconsin’s public employees, even after adjusting for benefits and hours worked, face a ” compensation penalty of 5% for choosing to work in the public sector.” Unfortunately, when you get under the hood, the study shows no such thing. . . . reading the actual paper by Jeffrey H. Keefe is instructive. Keefe took a representative sample of Wisconsin workers, and built a regression model that relates “fundamental personal characteristics and labor market skills” to compensation, and then compared public to private sector employees, after “controlling” for these factors. As far as I can see, the factors adjusted for were: years of education; years of experience; gender; race; ethnicity; disability; size of organization where the employee works; and, hours worked per
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same-blog 1 0.9513678 140 andrew gelman stats-2010-07-10-SeeThroughNY
Introduction: From Ira Stoll , a link to this cool data site , courtesy of the Manhattan Institute, with all sorts of state budget information including the salaries of all city and state employees.
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Introduction: Abby points us to a spare but cool visualization . I don’t like the curvy connect-the-dots line, but my main suggested improvement would be a closer link to the map . Showing median income on census tracts along subway lines is cool, but ultimately it’s a clever gimmick that pulls me in and makes me curious about what the map looks like. (And, thanks to google, the map was easy to find.)
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Introduction: This looks cool.
4 0.54359585 1298 andrew gelman stats-2012-05-03-News from the sister blog!
Introduction: US National Academy of Sciences elects 84 new members (Please click through and read the whole thing.)
5 0.53075802 536 andrew gelman stats-2011-01-24-Trends in partisanship by state
Introduction: Matthew Yglesias discusses how West Virginia used to be a Democratic state but is now solidly Republican. I thought it would be helpful to expand this to look at trends since 1948 (rather than just 1988) and all 50 states (rather than just one). This would represent a bit of work, except that I already did it a couple years ago, so here it is (right-click on the image to see the whole thing): I cheated a bit to get reasonable-looking groupings, for example putting Indiana in the Border South rather than Midwest, and putting Alaska in Mountain West and Hawaii in West Coast. Also, it would help to distinguish states by color (to be able to disentangle New Jersey and Delaware, for example) but we didn’t do this because the book is mostly black and white. In any case, the picture makes it clear that there have been strong regional trends all over during the past sixty years. P.S. My graph comes from Red State Blue State so no 2008 data, but 2008 was pretty much a shift
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Introduction: From Ira Stoll , a link to this cool data site , courtesy of the Manhattan Institute, with all sorts of state budget information including the salaries of all city and state employees.
Introduction: Greg Mankiw writes (link from Tyler Cowen ): Without any taxes, accepting that editor’s assignment would have yielded my children an extra $10,000. With taxes, it yields only $1,000. In effect, once the entire tax system is taken into account, my family’s marginal tax rate is about 90 percent. Is it any wonder that I [Mankiw] turn down most of the money-making opportunities I am offered? By contrast, without the tax increases advocated by the Obama administration, the numbers would look quite different. I would face a lower income tax rate, a lower Medicare tax rate, and no deduction phaseout or estate tax. Taking that writing assignment would yield my kids about $2,000. I would have twice the incentive to keep working. First, the good news Obama’s tax rates are much lower than Mankiw had anticipated! According to the above quote, his marginal tax rate is currently 80% but threatens to rise to 90%. But, in October 2008, Mankiw calculated that Obama’s would tax his m
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Introduction: From 2010 : Greg Mankiw writes (link from Tyler Cowen ): Without any taxes, accepting that editor’s assignment would have yielded my children an extra $10,000. With taxes, it yields only $1,000. In effect, once the entire tax system is taken into account, my family’s marginal tax rate is about 90 percent. Is it any wonder that I [Mankiw] turn down most of the money-making opportunities I am offered? By contrast, without the tax increases advocated by the Obama administration, the numbers would look quite different. I would face a lower income tax rate, a lower Medicare tax rate, and no deduction phaseout or estate tax. Taking that writing assignment would yield my kids about $2,000. I would have twice the incentive to keep working. First, the good news Obama’s tax rates are much lower than Mankiw had anticipated! According to the above quote, his marginal tax rate is currently 80% but threatens to rise to 90%. But, in October 2008, Mankiw calculated that Obama’s
4 0.7898044 1085 andrew gelman stats-2011-12-27-Laws as expressive
Introduction: June Carbone points out sometimes people want laws to express a sentiment. This isn’t just about Congress passing National Smoked Meats Week or San Francisco establishing itself as a nuclear-free zone, it also includes things such as laws against gay marriage, where, as Carbone writes, “we ‘care too much,’ when in fact we can do so little.” I don’t have anything to add here, and I expect many of you are familiar with this idea, but it’s new to me. I’d always been puzzled by people who want to use the law to express a sentiment, but perhaps it makes sense to be open-minded and to consider this as one of the purposes of the legislative process.
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Introduction: I was reading a book of Alfred Kazin’s letters—I don’t know if they’d be so interesting to someone who hadn’t already read a bunch of his stuff , but I found them pretty interesting—and came across this amazing bit, dated August 11, 1957: No, really, Al. Tell us what you really feel. This was in his private diary, so I can’t really criticize him for it. And all of us have private thoughts, sometimes publicly expressed, that are unworthy of our better self. For example, once I was crossing a street and a taxi driver came dangerously close, and I screamed at him, “Go back to your own country, you #&@#%*^&.” So I’m not claiming that I’m any better than Kazin. I just thought that quote was pretty amazing. I guess that’s how (some) people thought, back in the fifties. Also interesting that he wrote “ass-hole” in that context. The hyphen surprised me, also I don’t think people would use that word in this way anymore. Nowadays I think of an asshole as a person, not a place.
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