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Introduction: Econometrician and statistician Dale Poirier writes: 24 years ago (1988, Journal of Economics Perspectives) I [Poirier] noted cognitive dissonance among some economists who treat the agents in their theoretical framework as Bayesians, but then analyze the data (even in the same paper!) as a frequentist. Recently, I have found similar cases in cognitive science. I suspect other disciplines exhibit such behavior. Do you know of any examples in political science? My reply: I don’t know of any such examples in political science. Game theoretic models are popular in poli sci, but I haven’t seen much in the way of models of Bayesian decision making. Here are two references (not in political science) that might be helpful. 1. I have argued that the utility model (popular in economics and political science as a way of providing “microfoundations” for analyses of aggregate behavior) is actually more of a bit of folk-psychology that should not be taken seriously. To me, it is si


Summary: the most important sentenses genereted by tfidf model

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1 Econometrician and statistician Dale Poirier writes: 24 years ago (1988, Journal of Economics Perspectives) I [Poirier] noted cognitive dissonance among some economists who treat the agents in their theoretical framework as Bayesians, but then analyze the data (even in the same paper! [sent-1, score-1.079]

2 Recently, I have found similar cases in cognitive science. [sent-3, score-0.273]

3 Do you know of any examples in political science? [sent-5, score-0.255]

4 My reply: I don’t know of any such examples in political science. [sent-6, score-0.255]

5 Game theoretic models are popular in poli sci, but I haven’t seen much in the way of models of Bayesian decision making. [sent-7, score-0.751]

6 Here are two references (not in political science) that might be helpful. [sent-8, score-0.237]

7 I have argued that the utility model (popular in economics and political science as a way of providing “microfoundations” for analyses of aggregate behavior) is actually more of a bit of folk-psychology that should not be taken seriously. [sent-10, score-0.807]

8 To me, it is silly that many economists and political scientists give this model such prominence. [sent-11, score-0.472]

9 Utility theory can be a helpful normative model in many situations, but I don’t think it should be anything close to foundational as 2. [sent-12, score-0.445]

10 Are you familiar with the work of Josh Tenenbaum? [sent-13, score-0.061]

11 He is a cognitive scientist at MIT who has been working on Bayesian models for human reasoning and also Bayesian methods for fitting such models given data from psychological experiments. [sent-14, score-0.648]

12 It seems that many economists believe both a and b, so I don’t necessarily see any cognitive dissonance in using non-Bayesian statistical inference while modeling behavior as Bayesian. [sent-17, score-1.22]

13 The funny thing is, I believe not-A and not-B, so my preference would be to use Bayesian inference for non-Bayesian models of behavior. [sent-18, score-0.576]


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