andrew_gelman_stats andrew_gelman_stats-2012 andrew_gelman_stats-2012-1255 knowledge-graph by maker-knowledge-mining
Source: html
Introduction: Couldn’t they at least let me buy my tickets from Amazon so I wouldn’t have to re-enter the credit card information each time? Yeah, yeah, I know it’s no big deal. It just seems so silly.
sentIndex sentText sentNum sentScore
1 Couldn’t they at least let me buy my tickets from Amazon so I wouldn’t have to re-enter the credit card information each time? [sent-1, score-1.59]
wordName wordTfidf (topN-words)
[('yeah', 0.536), ('amazon', 0.357), ('card', 0.347), ('tickets', 0.347), ('credit', 0.251), ('buy', 0.244), ('couldn', 0.223), ('silly', 0.221), ('wouldn', 0.172), ('let', 0.138), ('least', 0.134), ('big', 0.131), ('information', 0.129), ('seems', 0.101), ('time', 0.08), ('know', 0.079)]
simIndex simValue blogId blogTitle
same-blog 1 1.0000001 1255 andrew gelman stats-2012-04-10-Amtrak sucks
Introduction: Couldn’t they at least let me buy my tickets from Amazon so I wouldn’t have to re-enter the credit card information each time? Yeah, yeah, I know it’s no big deal. It just seems so silly.
2 0.30395132 1490 andrew gelman stats-2012-09-09-I’m still wondering . . .
Introduction: Why can’t I buy train and plane tickets through Amazon? That would be so much more convenient than the current system where I have to keep entering information into the damn forms over and over again.
3 0.19182178 2119 andrew gelman stats-2013-12-01-Separated by a common blah blah blah
Introduction: I love reading the kind of English that English people write. It’s the same language as American but just slightly different. I was thinking about this recently after coming across this footnote from “Yeah Yeah Yeah: The Story of Modern Pop,” by Bob Stanley: Mantovani’s atmospheric arrangement on ‘Care Mia’, I should add, is something else. Genuinely celestial. If anyone with a degree of subtlety was singing, it would be quite a record. It’s hard for me to pin down exactly what makes this passage specifically English, but there’s something about it . . . P.S. Mark Liberman reports that, in combination, several of the words and phrases in the above quote indeed supply strong evidence (“odds of better than 50 to 1 in favor of a British origin”).
4 0.18840894 1988 andrew gelman stats-2013-08-19-BDA3 still (I hope) at 40% off! (and a link to one of my favorite papers)
Introduction: Follow the Amazon link and check to see if it’s still on sale . P.S. I don’t make any money through this link. We do get some royalties from the book, but only a very small amount. I’m pushing the Amazon link right now because (a) I think the book is great, and I want as many people as possible to have it, and (b) 40% off is a pretty good deal and I don’t know how long this will last. P.P.S. Just so this post has some statistical content, here’s one of my favorite papers , Bayesian model-building by pure thought: some principles and examples. It’s from 1996, and here’s the abstract:
5 0.15373379 481 andrew gelman stats-2010-12-22-The Jumpstart financial literacy survey and the different purposes of tests
Introduction: Mark Palko comments on the (presumably) well-intentioned but silly Jumpstart test of financial literacy , which was given to 7000 high school seniors Given that, as we heard a few years back, most high school seniors can’t locate Miami on a map of the U.S., you won’t be surprised to hear that they flubbed item after item on this quiz. But, as Palko points out, the concept is better than the execution: With the complex, unstable economy, the shift away from traditional pensions and the constant flood of new financial products, financial literacy might be more important now than it has been for decades. You could even make the case for financial illiteracy being a major cause of the economic crisis. But if the supporters of financial literacy need a good measure of how well we’re doing, they’ll need to find a better instrument than the Jump$tart survey. The ‘test’ part of the survey consists of thirty-one questions. That’s not very long but that many questions should be su
6 0.14169137 1984 andrew gelman stats-2013-08-16-BDA at 40% off!
7 0.12043571 562 andrew gelman stats-2011-02-06-Statistician cracks Toronto lottery
8 0.11923714 439 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-30-Of psychology research and investment tips
9 0.10034253 641 andrew gelman stats-2011-04-01-So many topics, so little time
10 0.09912996 1993 andrew gelman stats-2013-08-22-Improvements to Kindle Version of BDA3
11 0.093582429 852 andrew gelman stats-2011-08-13-Checking your model using fake data
12 0.090304278 1154 andrew gelman stats-2012-02-04-“Turn a Boring Bar Graph into a 3D Masterpiece”
13 0.0868228 2076 andrew gelman stats-2013-10-24-Chasing the noise: W. Edwards Deming would be spinning in his grave
14 0.086606666 1521 andrew gelman stats-2012-10-04-Columbo does posterior predictive checks
15 0.083729431 1021 andrew gelman stats-2011-11-21-Don’t judge a book by its title
16 0.083463155 618 andrew gelman stats-2011-03-18-Prior information . . . about the likelihood
17 0.080882281 8 andrew gelman stats-2010-04-28-Advice to help the rich get richer
18 0.080113545 1464 andrew gelman stats-2012-08-20-Donald E. Westlake on George W. Bush
19 0.077534579 191 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-08-Angry about the soda tax
20 0.073178619 420 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-18-Prison terms for financial fraud?
topicId topicWeight
[(0, 0.063), (1, -0.031), (2, -0.012), (3, 0.029), (4, 0.0), (5, -0.009), (6, 0.053), (7, 0.002), (8, 0.015), (9, 0.005), (10, -0.007), (11, -0.015), (12, 0.032), (13, 0.002), (14, 0.006), (15, -0.026), (16, 0.02), (17, -0.024), (18, 0.045), (19, -0.01), (20, -0.016), (21, 0.016), (22, -0.007), (23, 0.026), (24, 0.004), (25, 0.011), (26, 0.007), (27, -0.024), (28, 0.002), (29, 0.014), (30, 0.007), (31, 0.013), (32, 0.044), (33, -0.034), (34, 0.041), (35, 0.01), (36, -0.019), (37, 0.01), (38, -0.037), (39, 0.025), (40, 0.023), (41, 0.008), (42, 0.0), (43, 0.014), (44, -0.022), (45, 0.011), (46, 0.017), (47, -0.037), (48, 0.008), (49, -0.006)]
simIndex simValue blogId blogTitle
same-blog 1 0.95922101 1255 andrew gelman stats-2012-04-10-Amtrak sucks
Introduction: Couldn’t they at least let me buy my tickets from Amazon so I wouldn’t have to re-enter the credit card information each time? Yeah, yeah, I know it’s no big deal. It just seems so silly.
2 0.74860519 1490 andrew gelman stats-2012-09-09-I’m still wondering . . .
Introduction: Why can’t I buy train and plane tickets through Amazon? That would be so much more convenient than the current system where I have to keep entering information into the damn forms over and over again.
3 0.68647462 1553 andrew gelman stats-2012-10-30-Real rothko, fake rothko
Introduction: Jay Livingston writes : I know that in art, quality and value are two very different things. Still, I had to stop and wonder when I read about Domenico and Eleanore De Sole, who in 2004 paid $8.3 million for a painting attributed to Mark Rothko that they now say is a worthless fake. One day a painting is worth $8.3 million; the next day, the same painting – same quality, same capacity to give aesthetic pleasure or do whatever it is that art does – is “worthless.”* Art forgery also makes me wonder about the buyer’s motive. If the buyer wanted only to have and to gaze upon something beautiful, something with artistic merit, then a fake Rothko is no different than a real Rothko. It seems more likely that what the buyer wants is to own something valuable – i.e., something that costs a lot. Displaying your brokerage account statements is just too crude and obvious. What the high-end art market offers is a kind of money laundering. Objects that are rare and therefore expensive
4 0.65330034 912 andrew gelman stats-2011-09-15-n = 2
Introduction: People in Chicago are nice. The conductor on the train came by and I asked if I could buy a ticket right there. He said yes, $2.50. While I was getting the money he asked if the ticket machine at the station had been broken. I said, I don’t know, I saw the train and ran up the stairs to catch it. He said, that’s not what you’re supposed to say. So I said, that’s right, the machine was broken. It’s just like on that radio show where Peter Sagal hems and haws to clue the contestant in that his guess is wrong so he can try again.
5 0.65020496 1190 andrew gelman stats-2012-02-29-Why “Why”?
Introduction: In old books (and occasionally new books), you see the word “Why” used to indicate a pause or emphasis in dialogue. For example, from 1952: “Why, how perfectly simple!” she said to herself. “The way to save Wilbur’s life is to play a trick on Zuckerman. “If I can fool a bug,” thought Charlotte, “I can surely fool a man. People are not as smart as bugs.” That line about people and bugs was cute, but what really jumped out at me was the “Why.” I don’t think I’ve ever ever heard anyone use “Why” in that way in conversation, but I see it all the time in books, and every time it’s jarring. What’s the deal? Is it that people used to talk that way? Or is a Wasp thing, some regional speech pattern that was captured in books because it was considered standard conversational speech? I suppose one way to learn more would be to watch a bunch of old movies. I could sort of imagine Jimmy Stewart beginning his sentences with “Why” all the time. Does anyone know more? P.S. I use
7 0.64211822 2197 andrew gelman stats-2014-02-04-Peabody here.
8 0.63857973 1694 andrew gelman stats-2013-01-26-Reflections on ethicsblogging
9 0.63270384 701 andrew gelman stats-2011-05-07-Bechdel wasn’t kidding
10 0.62681627 1003 andrew gelman stats-2011-11-11-$
11 0.61661422 594 andrew gelman stats-2011-02-28-Behavioral economics doesn’t seem to have much to say about marriage
12 0.61544168 392 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-03-Taleb + 3.5 years
13 0.61451721 1938 andrew gelman stats-2013-07-14-Learning how to speak
14 0.61039871 420 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-18-Prison terms for financial fraud?
15 0.61031348 1342 andrew gelman stats-2012-05-24-The Used TV Price is Too Damn High
16 0.60934269 620 andrew gelman stats-2011-03-19-Online James?
17 0.60843503 1874 andrew gelman stats-2013-05-28-Nostalgia
18 0.60267001 416 andrew gelman stats-2010-11-16-Is parenting a form of addiction?
19 0.60202813 1995 andrew gelman stats-2013-08-23-“I mean, what exact buttons do I have to hit?”
20 0.6002627 221 andrew gelman stats-2010-08-21-Busted!
topicId topicWeight
[(16, 0.108), (24, 0.035), (27, 0.219), (28, 0.122), (42, 0.052), (99, 0.255)]
simIndex simValue blogId blogTitle
same-blog 1 0.94309431 1255 andrew gelman stats-2012-04-10-Amtrak sucks
Introduction: Couldn’t they at least let me buy my tickets from Amazon so I wouldn’t have to re-enter the credit card information each time? Yeah, yeah, I know it’s no big deal. It just seems so silly.
2 0.90503204 1490 andrew gelman stats-2012-09-09-I’m still wondering . . .
Introduction: Why can’t I buy train and plane tickets through Amazon? That would be so much more convenient than the current system where I have to keep entering information into the damn forms over and over again.
3 0.89787972 1727 andrew gelman stats-2013-02-19-Beef with data
Introduction: Louis Mittel writes: Do you know why David Brooks has such a beef with data? My reply: I have no idea, but I’m happy that we’re now considered the establishment that he has to rebel against!
4 0.89549214 802 andrew gelman stats-2011-07-13-Super Sam Fuld Needs Your Help (with Foul Ball stats)
Introduction: I was pleasantly surprised to have my recreational reading about baseball in the New Yorker interrupted by a digression on statistics. Sam Fuld of the Tampa Bay Rays, was the subjet of a Ben McGrath profile in the 4 July 2011 issue of the New Yorker , in an article titled Super Sam . After quoting a minor-league trainer who described Fuld as “a bit of a geek” (who isn’t these days?), McGrath gets into that lovely New Yorker detail: One could have pointed out the more persuasive and telling examples, such as the fact that in 2005, after his first pro season, with the Class-A Peoria Chiefs, Fuld applied for a fall internship with Stats, Inc., the research firm that supplies broadcasters with much of the data anad analysis that you hear in sports telecasts. After a description of what they had him doing, reviewing footage of games and cataloguing, he said “I thought, They have a stat for everything, but they don’t have any stats regarding foul balls.” Fuld’s
Introduction: Someone passed on to a message from his university library announcing that the journal “Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Computational Statistics” is no longer free. Librarians have to decide what to do, so I thought I’d offer the following consumer guide: Wiley Computational Statistics journal Wikipedia Frequency 6 issues per year Continuously updated Includes articles from Wikipedia? Yes Yes Cites the Wikipedia sources it uses? No Yes Edited by recipient of ASA Founders Award? Yes No Articles are subject to rigorous review? No Yes Errors, when discovered, get fixed? No Yes Number of vertices in n-dimensional hypercube? 2n 2 n Easy access to Brady Bunch trivia? No Yes Cost (North America) $1400-$2800 $0 Cost (UK) £986-£1972 £0 Cost (Europe) €1213-€2426 €0 The choice seems pretty clear to me! It’s funny for the Wiley journal to start charging now
6 0.85671604 173 andrew gelman stats-2010-07-31-Editing and clutch hitting
7 0.84267926 347 andrew gelman stats-2010-10-17-Getting arm and lme4 running on the Mac
8 0.84111011 134 andrew gelman stats-2010-07-08-“What do you think about curved lines connecting discrete data-points?”
9 0.81864941 708 andrew gelman stats-2011-05-12-Improvement of 5 MPG: how many more auto deaths?
10 0.81660843 465 andrew gelman stats-2010-12-13-$3M health care prediction challenge
11 0.81124204 343 andrew gelman stats-2010-10-15-?
12 0.80712152 1472 andrew gelman stats-2012-08-28-Migrating from dot to underscore
14 0.79890072 1982 andrew gelman stats-2013-08-15-Blaming scientific fraud on the Kuhnians
15 0.79582906 967 andrew gelman stats-2011-10-20-Picking on Gregg Easterbrook
16 0.79491246 3 andrew gelman stats-2010-04-26-Bayes in the news…in a somewhat frustrating way
18 0.77673268 804 andrew gelman stats-2011-07-15-Static sensitivity analysis
19 0.77348709 1238 andrew gelman stats-2012-03-31-Dispute about ethics of data sharing
20 0.77213544 2079 andrew gelman stats-2013-10-27-Uncompressing the concept of compressed sensing