jmlr jmlr2013 jmlr2013-22 knowledge-graph by maker-knowledge-mining

22 jmlr-2013-Classifying With Confidence From Incomplete Information


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Author: Nathan Parrish, Hyrum S. Anderson, Maya R. Gupta, Dun Yu Hsiao

Abstract: We consider the problem of classifying a test sample given incomplete information. This problem arises naturally when data about a test sample is collected over time, or when costs must be incurred to compute the classification features. For example, in a distributed sensor network only a fraction of the sensors may have reported measurements at a certain time, and additional time, power, and bandwidth is needed to collect the complete data to classify. A practical goal is to assign a class label as soon as enough data is available to make a good decision. We formalize this goal through the notion of reliability—the probability that a label assigned given incomplete data would be the same as the label assigned given the complete data, and we propose a method to classify incomplete data only if some reliability threshold is met. Our approach models the complete data as a random variable whose distribution is dependent on the current incomplete data and the (complete) training data. The method differs from standard imputation strategies in that our focus is on determining the reliability of the classification decision, rather than just the class label. We show that the method provides useful reliability estimates of the correctness of the imputed class labels on a set of experiments on time-series data sets, where the goal is to classify the time-series as early as possible while still guaranteeing that the reliability threshold is met. Keywords: classification, sensor networks, signals, reliability

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Summary: the most important sentenses genereted by tfidf model

sentIndex sentText sentNum sentScore

1 EDU Department of Electrical Engineering University of Washington Seattle, WA 98195-4322, USA Editor: Kevin Murphy Abstract We consider the problem of classifying a test sample given incomplete information. [sent-9, score-0.319]

2 We formalize this goal through the notion of reliability—the probability that a label assigned given incomplete data would be the same as the label assigned given the complete data, and we propose a method to classify incomplete data only if some reliability threshold is met. [sent-13, score-0.903]

3 The method differs from standard imputation strategies in that our focus is on determining the reliability of the classification decision, rather than just the class label. [sent-15, score-0.362]

4 We show that the method provides useful reliability estimates of the correctness of the imputed class labels on a set of experiments on time-series data sets, where the goal is to classify the time-series as early as possible while still guaranteeing that the reliability threshold is met. [sent-16, score-0.766]

5 Specifically, we wish to guarantee that a decision made from incomplete test data has a high probability of being the same decision that would be made given the complete test data. [sent-24, score-0.597]

6 In this paper, we focus on answering the question “With probability at least equal to τ, will the classification decision from incomplete data be the same as that which would be made from the complete data? [sent-25, score-0.357]

7 ” Our approach also makes it possible to answer the related question, “If we classify based on the current incomplete data, what is the probability that the class decision will be the same as classifying from the complete data? [sent-26, score-0.512]

8 ” First, we propose optimal and practical decision rules for classifying incomplete data. [sent-27, score-0.367]

9 In Sections 3, 4, and 5 we provide the details on how to efficiently and accurately implement the proposed practical decision rule for classifiers that use linear or quadratic discriminants, such as linear support vector machines and linear or quadratic discriminant analysis (LDA and QDA). [sent-28, score-0.37]

10 Experiments in Section 7 show that the proposed incomplete decision rule consistently provides enhanced reliability over the state of the art in classifying incomplete data. [sent-30, score-0.938]

11 However, suppose that at ˆ test time we do not have x, but instead have some incomplete information given as a vector z. [sent-37, score-0.351]

12 To that end, we consider decision rules that answer the question: “Can we classify z and know that we meet some minimum probability threshold of making the same decision that we would make on x? [sent-39, score-0.344]

13 ” We use the term reliability to mean the probability that the class label assigned to z matches that assigned to x. [sent-40, score-0.352]

14 To estimate reliability, we model the classification features derived from the complete data as a random variable X, where X is jointly distributed with the random variable Z modeling the incomplete data. [sent-41, score-0.334]

15 Given a desired reliability τ ∈ [0, 1] and a realization of the incomplete information z, an ideal incomplete decision rule is to classify as class g if P(g(X) = g|Z = z) = ˆ p(x|z) dx x s. [sent-42, score-1.031]

16 An alternative check that we find easier to approximate is to consider all sets A in the domain of X such that P(X ∈ A|Z = z) ≥ τ, 3562 C LASSIFYING W ITH C ONFIDENCE Figure 1: In this example, the available information is the incomplete time signal z, shown in green. [sent-48, score-0.315]

17 We propose that a more conservative, but computable, incomplete decision rule is to classify as class g if g(x) = g for all x ∈ A for some set A such that P(X ∈ A|Z = z) ≥ τ. [sent-53, score-0.509]

18 Defining a Set A that Contains Measure τ of X To implement the incomplete decision rule (2), one must be able to construct a set A that contains at least τ measure of X given z. [sent-63, score-0.385]

19 For desired reliability values τ that are smaller than the probability mass of X that falls to the left of the decision boundary, the ideal incomplete decision rule would choose to classify based on the incomplete information z. [sent-71, score-1.111]

20 Right: The entire probability mass of X falls on one side of the decision boundary, and thus the ideal incomplete decision rule would choose to classify rather than wait, for every value of τ. [sent-72, score-0.589]

21 However, our computable incomplete decision rule constructs a set A that captures a fraction τ of the mass of X and requires that entire set A to lie on one side of the decision boundary. [sent-73, score-0.497]

22 For the choice of A shown here in blue, the set A crosses the decision boundary, and thus the computable decision rule would choose to wait for more information before classifying. [sent-74, score-0.296]

23 If we assume more about the distribution, we can define a smaller constraint set A that results in a less conservative decision rule, and therefore earlier classification for the same reliability requirement τ. [sent-82, score-0.48]

24 xi :yi =g An optimal method for checking the incomplete decision rule (2) for this discriminant is an open question. [sent-111, score-0.456]

25 A conservative reliability decision can be made by treating each sample as its own class in (6). [sent-112, score-0.485]

26 Then the proposed incomplete data decision rule (2) is implemented:  if max f (x) ≤ 0  1  x∈A g(z) = ˆ 2 if min f (x) > 0  x∈A  no decision otherwise. [sent-122, score-0.497]

27 (7) Note that the decision rule (7) is dependent on the incomplete data through the dependence of A on z. [sent-123, score-0.385]

28 The three different conditions in (7) are shown for a quadratic discriminant (and hence quadratic decision boundary) and a quadratic construction of the set A in Figure 4. [sent-124, score-0.39]

29 In the center and rightmost plots, A lies completely on a single side of the decision boundary, so the classifier assigns a label to the incomplete data. [sent-127, score-0.358]

30 Coupled with a quadratic set A, such as the Chebyshev or n¨ ive Bayes quadratic sets A given in a Section 3, finding the maximum and minimum are the linear programs with quadratic constraints: max f (x) = max βT x + b x∈A (8) x s. [sent-132, score-0.349]

31 First consider finding the maximum and minimum of (12), as required by the incomplete decision rule (7), over a quadratic constraint set A. [sent-158, score-0.509]

32 After this change of variables, we can greatly simplify the maximum and minimum computations required by the incomplete decision rule (7) by making the n¨ ive Bayes assumption on the random variable Y = V 1/2 X as opposed to on X. [sent-171, score-0.527]

33 ˆ The proposed incomplete data classification rule (2) can be written: g(z) = ˆ c if min fc (x) − fh (x) ≥ 0 for all h = c no decision otherwise. [sent-184, score-0.461]

34 x∈A (15) That is, classify z as class c if the set A lies completely within the decision region for some class c, and do not decide at the requested reliability if the set A straddles a decision boundary. [sent-185, score-0.678]

35 To classify the incomplete data z early as class c, class c must dominate all other classes. [sent-199, score-0.426]

36 If yes, classify the incomplete data as the class labelled candidate, if no, output no decision. [sent-210, score-0.426]

37 We do this by leveraging the incomplete information about the test signal that is currently available along with the prior knowledge of the structure of the test signal gained from the training data using the standard assumption that the training and test features are IID. [sent-215, score-0.513]

38 However, the minimum support parameter is different from our τ parameter in that it does not provide an explicit guarantee on the reliability of the early decision. [sent-246, score-0.372]

39 Given such costs, an optimal stopping rule approach would attempt to estimate the probability of each class given the current incomplete information, and determine the expected costs of making a decision or waiting. [sent-275, score-0.448]

40 Generally stopping rules are not applicable to the problem we focus on because they assume that all increasing sets of features can be compared, rather than that one only has the incomplete set of features and must make a decision. [sent-280, score-0.357]

41 We also use the Synthetic Control data set from this repository, a data set of Gaussian data that has only three hundred test samples, to further illustrate the differences between the constraint sets and estimation methods that we have described for the proposed incomplete decision rule. [sent-313, score-0.427]

42 At i=1 time t, the incomplete data for the ith test time-series is zi ∈ Rt , the first t samples of xi . [sent-317, score-0.384]

43 At each time t we check the proposed incomplete decision rule and classify zi if the reliability condition is met for τ. [sent-318, score-0.866]

44 Let ti (τ) be the minimum time at which the ith test signal can be classified with reliability constraint τ, and let g(zi (τ)) be the class label assigned to zi at this time. [sent-344, score-0.567]

45 We measure the test ˆ ˆ ˆ reliability as 1 ∑n I(g(zi (τ)) = g(xi )), where g(xi ) is the label assigned to the complete data and n i=1 ˆ I(·) is one if the argument is true and zero otherwise. [sent-345, score-0.405]

46 Ideally, we would like to classify with the smallest average classification time while still meeting reliability requirement τ. [sent-347, score-0.483]

47 Local QDA learns the mean and covariance for the class g discriminant function for test point x, fg (x), by estimating them using the k nearest class g training points to test point x. [sent-351, score-0.315]

48 2 Comparison of Construction of Sets of Measure τ We first compare the three set construction methods proposed Section 3, the Chebyshev set (3), the Gaussian n¨ ive Bayes quadratic set (4), and the Gaussian n¨ ive Bayes box set (5). [sent-357, score-0.357]

49 a a We vary the reliability parameter between four values τ = [0. [sent-358, score-0.298]

50 In all cases, the empirical reliability rate exceeds the reliability requirement τ. [sent-364, score-0.596]

51 Additionally, these plots verify that the Chebyshev set is the most conservative, as it waits the longest to classify the test data, and the n¨ ive Bayes quadratic set is the a least conservative. [sent-365, score-0.339]

52 This table shows that the n¨ ive Bayes box set is the least computationally complex, a followed by the n¨ ive Bayes quadratic set, and finally the Chebyshev set. [sent-368, score-0.357]

53 3 Comparison of Estimation Methods In this section we compare the performance of reliable incomplete classification using jointly Gaussian estimation (16) to that using GMM estimation (17). [sent-370, score-0.368]

54 test reliability for the jointly Gaussian and GMM estimation methods using the n¨ ive Bayes quadratic constraint set. [sent-373, score-0.61]

55 9 90 116 Chebyshev Naive Bayes Quadratic Naive Bayes Box 118 120 122 124 Average Classification Time 126 Figure 6: Average classification time vs test reliability for local QDA (left column) and linear SVM (right column) using jointly Gaussian prediction. [sent-383, score-0.518]

56 9 88 114 Joint Gaussian GMM 116 118 120 122 Average Classification Time 124 Figure 7: Average classification time vs test reliability for local QDA (left column) and linear SVM (right column) using the n¨ ive Bayes quadratic constraint set with τ varied between a [0. [sent-395, score-0.69]

57 4 Dimensionality Reduction Features An advantage of our reliable incomplete classification approach is that it can use any features derived from the data for which we can estimate the mean and covariance. [sent-417, score-0.381]

58 Thus, if we simply use the time-series samples as the features for classification, the optimization problem that the reliable incomplete classifier must solve has d − t free variables. [sent-426, score-0.381]

59 The table also compares the testing time required to perform reliable local QDA classification with the n¨ ive Bayes quadratic a constraint set with jointly Gaussian estimation at time t = 1 with and without LDG dimensionality reduction. [sent-433, score-0.538]

60 The test time shown measures the average time, per test sample, to perform reliable classification at time t = 1. [sent-436, score-0.39]

61 5 Comparison to Other Methods In this section, we compare the performance of our reliable incomplete data classifier to ECTS (Xing et al. [sent-439, score-0.33]

62 For all experiments in this section, we use the n¨ ive Bayes a quadratic constraint set because it proved to be uniformly better than the box constraint set across all experiments in Section 7. [sent-441, score-0.297]

63 However, we emphasize that this parameter is not the same as our reliability parameter τ, in that it provides no guarantee on reliability of the early predictions, but is instead a knob that the user can tune to trade off between earliness and reliability. [sent-448, score-0.642]

64 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 90 85 80 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 Average classification time 90 Rel. [sent-461, score-0.303]

65 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 80 70 60 0 170 5 10 15 20 Average classification time Face (All) Medical Images 100 Test Reliability Test Reliability 100 95 Rel. [sent-465, score-0.303]

66 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 90 85 80 100 110 120 130 Average classification time 95 90 80 Non-invasive Fetal ECG 1 90 LDG Rel. [sent-469, score-0.303]

67 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 85 640 660 680 700 720 Average classification time Test Reliability Test Reliability 75 80 85 90 95 Average classification time 100 100 95 LDG Rel. [sent-471, score-0.606]

68 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 90 85 600 740 Starlight Curves 650 700 Average classification time 750 Swedish Leaf 100 Test Reliability 100 Test Reliability 70 Non-invasive Fetal ECG 2 95 98 96 LDG Rel. [sent-473, score-0.303]

69 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 85 75 65 140 100 80 620 25 800 850 900 950 1000 Average classification time 1050 95 90 85 80 75 80 Rel. [sent-479, score-0.303]

70 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 90 100 110 120 Average classification time 130 Figure 8: Average classification time vs test reliability for reliable incomplete local QDA classification (Rel. [sent-483, score-1.113]

71 ), reliable incomplete local QDA classification with LDG features (LDG Rel. [sent-485, score-0.415]

72 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 80 70 100 105 110 115 120 125 Average classification time 95 90 80 75 200 130 U Wave Gesture Library Y 220 240 260 280 300 Average classification time Rel. [sent-492, score-0.606]

73 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 80 70 200 250 300 Average classification time 200 220 240 260 280 300 Average classification time Wafer 100 Test Reliability Test Reliability 320 Yoga 100 98 Rel. [sent-500, score-0.606]

74 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 85 40 98 96 92 90 300 60 80 100 120 140 Average classification time LDG Rel. [sent-508, score-0.303]

75 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 94 320 340 360 380 400 Average classification time 420 Figure 9: Average classification time vs test reliability for reliable incomplete local QDA classification (Rel. [sent-510, score-1.113]

76 ), reliable incomplete local QDA classification with LDG features (LDG Rel. [sent-512, score-0.415]

77 The reliability results are shown in Figures 8 and 9. [sent-517, score-0.298]

78 Reliable incomplete local QDA classification and reliable incomplete local QDA classification with LDG features perform well across all experiments. [sent-518, score-0.673]

79 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 5 10 15 20 25 Average classification time 80 70 60 0 120 140 160 Average classification time Face (All) Medical Images 70 70 65 60 55 50 100 Test Accuracy Test Accuracy 75 Rel. [sent-529, score-0.606]

80 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 110 120 130 Average classification time 60 140 Non-invasive Fetal ECG 1 LDG Rel. [sent-533, score-0.303]

81 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 650 700 750 Average classification time Test Accuracy Test Accuracy 80 90 Average classification time 100 90 80 60 70 Non-invasive Fetal ECG 2 90 70 Rel. [sent-535, score-0.606]

82 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 650 700 Average classification time 750 Swedish Leaf Test Accuracy Test Accuracy 90 90 80 70 750 LDG Rel. [sent-541, score-0.303]

83 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 80 70 60 800 850 900 950 1000 1050 Average classification time 80 Rel. [sent-543, score-0.303]

84 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 90 100 110 120 130 Average classification time Figure 10: Average classification time vs test accuracy for reliable incomplete local QDA classification (Rel. [sent-547, score-0.837]

85 ), reliable incomplete local QDA classification with LDG features (LDG Rel. [sent-549, score-0.415]

86 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 110 120 130 Average classification time Test Accuracy Test Accuracy 100 75 70 65 60 200 U Wave Gesture Library Y Rel. [sent-556, score-0.303]

87 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 220 240 260 280 300 320 Average classification time U Wave Gesture Library Z Test Accuracy Test Accuracy 70 65 Rel. [sent-560, score-0.303]

88 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 60 55 50 150 200 250 300 Average classification time 70 65 60 55 50 350 200 Wafer Yoga 84 90 Test Accuracy Test Accuracy 100 95 Rel. [sent-564, score-0.303]

89 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 220 240 260 280 300 320 Average classification time Rel. [sent-568, score-0.303]

90 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 50 100 Average classification time 150 82 80 78 300 Rel. [sent-572, score-0.303]

91 ECTS Fixed−time QDA Fixed−time 1−NN 350 400 Average classification time Figure 11: Average classification time vs test accuracy for reliable incomplete local QDA classification (Rel. [sent-576, score-0.837]

92 ), reliable incomplete local QDA classification with LDG features (LDG Rel. [sent-578, score-0.415]

93 Therefore, if someone wanted to set τ by cross-validation on the training data set, the reliable incomplete classifier offers more flexibility than ECTS. [sent-586, score-0.353]

94 Discussion and Some Open Questions We have proposed a practical incomplete decision rule that is a conservative approximation of the optimal rule. [sent-595, score-0.428]

95 This paper has focused on answering the question “With probability τ, will the classification decision from this incomplete data be the same as from the complete data? [sent-600, score-0.357]

96 ” The presented tools can also be used to answer the related question: “If we classify based on the current incomplete data, what is the probability that assigned label will match that which would be chosen using the complete data? [sent-601, score-0.359]

97 Another related question that can be answered is, “Can we reliably classify as class g with this incomplete data? [sent-603, score-0.348]

98 This question can be answered by applying the incomplete decision rule given in (2) only to the class of interest. [sent-607, score-0.417]

99 Proof of Proposition 2: First, note that each pairwise check reduces the number of classes labelled candidate by either two classes if the classes tie, or by one class (the loser) if one class dominates. [sent-619, score-0.306]

100 Furthermore, for the incomplete data decision rule (7), it is not necessary to find the true minimum over A of f (x), but it is instead sufficient to know only whether or not it is less than or equal to zero. [sent-652, score-0.413]


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