jmlr jmlr2012 jmlr2012-48 knowledge-graph by maker-knowledge-mining
Source: pdf
Author: Animashree Anandkumar, Vincent Y.F. Tan, Furong Huang, Alan S. Willsky
Abstract: We consider the problem of high-dimensional Gaussian graphical model selection. We identify a set of graphs for which an efficient estimation algorithm exists, and this algorithm is based on thresholding of empirical conditional covariances. Under a set of transparent conditions, we establish structural consistency (or sparsistency) for the proposed algorithm, when the number of −2 samples n = Ω(Jmin log p), where p is the number of variables and Jmin is the minimum (absolute) edge potential of the graphical model. The sufficient conditions for sparsistency are based on the notion of walk-summability of the model and the presence of sparse local vertex separators in the underlying graph. We also derive novel non-asymptotic necessary conditions on the number of samples required for sparsistency. Keywords: Gaussian graphical model selection, high-dimensional learning, local-separation property, walk-summability, necessary conditions for model selection
Reference: text
sentIndex sentText sentNum sentScore
1 We identify a set of graphs for which an efficient estimation algorithm exists, and this algorithm is based on thresholding of empirical conditional covariances. [sent-12, score-0.348]
2 Note that these graphs can simultaneously possess many short cycles as well as large node degrees (growing with the number of nodes), and thus, we can incorporate a wide class of graphs for high-dimensional estimation. [sent-33, score-0.677]
3 We propose a simple local algorithm for Gaussian graphical model selection, termed as conditional covariance threshold test (CMIT) based on a set of conditional covariance thresholding tests. [sent-43, score-0.641]
4 The conditional covariance is thus computed for each node pair (i, j) ∈ V 2 and the conditioning set which achieves the minimum is found, over all subsets of cardinality at most η; if the minimum value exceeds the threshold ξn,p , then the node pair is declared as an edge. [sent-63, score-0.373]
5 These include Erd˝ s-R´ nyi random graphs, power-law graphs and small-world graphs, o e as discussed previously. [sent-68, score-0.427]
6 We also develop novel techniques to obtain necessary conditions for consistent structure estimation of Erd˝ s-R´ nyi random graphs and other ensembles with non-uniform distribution of graphs. [sent-73, score-0.492]
7 As a by-product of our analysis, we also establish the correctness of loopy belief propagation for walk-summable Gaussian graphical models Markov on locally tree-like graphs (see Section 5 for details). [sent-80, score-0.551]
8 (2002), Kalisch and B¨ hlmann u (2007) and Xie and Geng (2008) propose conditional-independence tests for learning Bayesian networks on directed acyclic graphs (DAG). [sent-108, score-0.306]
9 (2010) proposed a faster greedy algorithm, based on conditional entropy, for graphs with large girth and bounded degree. [sent-110, score-0.453]
10 We allow for graphs where the maximum degree can grow with the number of nodes. [sent-116, score-0.297]
11 These works consider graphs drawn uniformly from the class of bounded degree graphs and establish that n = Ω(∆k log p) samples are required for consistent structure estimation, in an p-node graph with maximum degree ∆, where k is typically a small positive integer. [sent-122, score-0.759]
12 However, a direct application of these methods yield poor lower bounds if the ensemble of graphs has a highly non-uniform distribution. [sent-123, score-0.35]
13 This is the case with the ensemble of Erd˝ s-R´ nyi random graphs o e (Bollob´ s, 1985). [sent-124, score-0.529]
14 Necessary conditions for structure estimation of Erd˝ s-R´ nyi random graphs were a o e derived for Ising models by Anandkumar et al. [sent-125, score-0.492]
15 We characterize the set of typical graphs for the Erd˝ s-R´ nyi ensemble and o e derive a modified form of Fano’s inequality and obtain a non-asymptotic lower bound on sample complexity involving the average degree and the number of nodes. [sent-129, score-0.605]
16 Note that the assumption of a Gaussian graphical model Markov on a sparse graph is one such formulation. [sent-131, score-0.333]
17 A Gaussian graphical model Markov on G has a probability density function (pdf) that may be parameterized as 1 fX (x) ∝ exp − xT JG x + hT x , 2 (2) where JG is a positive-definite symmetric matrix whose sparsity pattern corresponds to that of the graph G. [sent-156, score-0.333]
18 2 Tractable Graph Families We consider the class of Gaussian graphical models Markov on a graph G p belonging to some ensemble G(p) of graphs with p nodes. [sent-182, score-0.712]
19 We emphasize that in our formulation the graph ensemble G(p) can either be deterministic or random—in the latter, we also specify a probability measure over the set of graphs in G(p). [sent-186, score-0.515]
20 In the setting where G(p) is a random-graph ensemble, let PX,G denote the joint probability distribution of the variables X and the graph G ∼ G(p), and let fX|G denote the conditional (Gaussian) density of the variables Markov on the given graph G. [sent-187, score-0.43]
21 We now characterize the ensemble of graphs amenable for consistent structure estimation under our formulation. [sent-198, score-0.35]
22 Definition 1 (γ-Local Separator) Given a graph G, a γ-local separator Sγ (i, j) between i and j, for (i, j) ∈ G, is a minimal vertex separator5 with respect to the subgraph Hγ,i . [sent-205, score-0.287]
23 We now characterize the ensemble of graphs based on the size of local separators. [sent-208, score-0.379]
24 Definition 2 ((η, γ)-Local Separation Property) An ensemble of graphs satisfies (η, γ)-local separation property if for a. [sent-209, score-0.439]
25 In Section 3, we propose an efficient algorithm for graphical model selection when the underlying graph belongs to a graph ensemble G(p; η, γ) with sparse local separators (i. [sent-213, score-0.669]
26 does not apply to deterministic graph ensembles G(p) where no randomness is assumed, and in this setting, we assume that the property Q holds for every graph in the ensemble. [sent-222, score-0.386]
27 Any (deterministic or random) ensemble of degree-bounded graphs GDeg (p, ∆) satisfies (η, γ)-local separation property with η = ∆ and arbitrary γ ∈ N. [sent-231, score-0.439]
28 Our goal in this paper is to relax the usual bounded-degree assumption and to consider ensembles of graphs G(p) whose maximum degrees may grow with the number of nodes p. [sent-236, score-0.389]
29 Thus, a graph with girth g satisfies (η, γ)-local separation property with η = 1 and γ = g/2. [sent-244, score-0.359]
30 Let GGirth (p; g) denote the ensemble of graphs with girth at most g. [sent-245, score-0.455]
31 For instance, the ensemble of Erd˝ s-R´ nyi graphs GER (p, c/p), where an edge between o e any node pair appears with a probability c/p, independent of other node pairs, is locally tree-like. [sent-258, score-0.705]
32 Proposition 3 (Random Graphs are Locally Tree-Like) The ensemble of Erd˝ s-R´ nyi graphs o e GER (p, c/p) satisfies the (η, γ)-local separation property in (4) with η = 2, γ ≤ log p . [sent-264, score-0.618]
33 4 log c (5) Thus, there are at most two paths of length smaller than γ between any two nodes in Erd˝ s-R´ nyi o e graphs a. [sent-265, score-0.546]
34 Along similar lines, the ensemble of ∆-random regular graphs, denoted by GReg (p, ∆), which is the uniform ensemble of regular graphs with degree ∆ has no overlapping cycles of length at most Θ(log∆−1 p) a. [sent-272, score-0.582]
35 The former class of graphs can have short cycles but the maximum degree needs to be constant, while the latter class of graphs can have a large maximum degree but the number of overlapping short cycles needs to be small. [sent-280, score-0.756]
36 The class of hybrid graphs or augmented graphs (Chung and Lu, 2006, Ch. [sent-282, score-0.496]
37 12) consists of graphs which are the union of two graphs: a “local” graph having short cycles and a “global” graph having small average distances. [sent-283, score-0.659]
38 The simplest model GWatts (p, d, c/p), first studied by Watts and Strogatz (1998), consists of the union of a d-dimensional grid and an Erd˝ s-R´ nyi o e random graph with parameter c. [sent-285, score-0.344]
39 Thus, we see that a wide range of graphs satisfy the property of having sparse local separators, and that it is possible for graphs with large degrees as well as many short cycles to have this property. [sent-291, score-0.666]
40 4 C OUNTER - EXAMPLE : D ENSE G RAPHS While the above examples illustrate that a large class of graphs satisfy the local separation criterion, there indeed exist graphs which do not satisfy it. [sent-294, score-0.587]
41 Such graphs tend to be “dense”, that is, the 2301 A NANDKUMAR , TAN , H UANG AND W ILLSKY number of edges scales super-linearly in the number of nodes. [sent-295, score-0.292]
42 For instance, the Erd˝ s-R´ nyi graphs o e GER (p, c/p) in the dense regime, where the average degree scales as c = Ω(p2 ). [sent-296, score-0.476]
43 (6) We require that the number of nodes p → ∞ to exploit the local separation properties of the class of graphs under consideration. [sent-306, score-0.418]
44 (A3) Local-Separation Property: We assume that the ensemble of graphs G(p; η, γ) satisfies the (η, γ)-local separation property with η, γ satisfying: η = O(1), Jmin D−1 α−γ = ω(1), min (8) where α is given by (7) and Dmin := mini J(i, i) is the minimum diagonal entry of the potential matrix J. [sent-315, score-0.508]
45 1 E XAMPLE 1: D EGREE -B OUNDED E NSEMBLES To gain a better understanding of conditions (A1)–(A5), consider the ensemble of graphs GDeg (p; ∆) with bounded degree ∆ ∈ N. [sent-334, score-0.435]
46 Intuitively, we require a larger path threshold γ, as the degree bound ∆ on the graph ensemble increases. [sent-339, score-0.377]
47 This implies that graphs with fairly large degrees and short cycles can be recovered successfully using our algorithm. [sent-342, score-0.362]
48 2 E XAMPLE 2: G IRTH -B OUNDED E NSEMBLES The condition in (11) can be specialized for the ensemble of girth-bounded graphs GGirth (p; g) in a straightforward manner as g (12) ∆α 2 = o(1), where g corresponds to the girth of the graphs in the ensemble. [sent-353, score-0.703]
49 The condition in (12) demonstrates a natural tradeoff between the girth and the maximum degree; graphs with large degrees can be learned efficiently if their girths are large. [sent-354, score-0.386]
50 Erd˝ s-R´ nyi graph G ∼ GER (p, c/p) satisfies (8) when o e c = O(poly(log p)) under the best-possible scaling of Jmin subject to the walk-summability constraint in (7) (i. [sent-360, score-0.344]
51 Thus, the Erd˝ s-R´ nyi graphs are a log amenable to successful recovery when the average degree c = O(poly(log p)). [sent-372, score-0.512]
52 Similarly, for the small-world ensemble GWatts (p, d, c/p), when d = O(1) and c = O(poly(log p)), the graphs are amenable for consistent estimation. [sent-373, score-0.35]
53 Theorem 4 (Structural consistency of CMIT) For structure learning of Gaussian graphical models Markov on a graph G p ∼ G(p; η, γ), CMIT(xn ; ξn,p , η) is consistent for a. [sent-377, score-0.362]
54 Comparison with Meinshausen and B¨ hlmann (2006): u The work by Meinshausen and B¨ hlmann (2006) considers ℓ1 -penalized linear regression for neighboru hood selection of Gaussian graphical models and establish a sample complexity of n = Ω((∆+ −2 Jmin ) log p). [sent-401, score-0.313]
55 We note that our guarantees allow for graphs which do not necessarily satisfy the conditions imposed by Meinshausen and B¨ hlmann (2006). [sent-402, score-0.342]
56 Note that the class of Gaussian graphical models with diagonally-dominant covariance matrices forms a strict sub-class of walk-summable models, and thus satisfies assumption (A2) for the theorem to hold. [sent-404, score-0.302]
57 Comparison with Ising models: Our above result for learning Gaussian graphical models is analogous to structure estimation of Ising models subject to an upper bound on the edge potentials (Anandkumar et al. [sent-419, score-0.295]
58 Using the threshold ξn,p defined in (10), the conditional mutual information test CMIT is given by the threshold test min I(Xi ; X j |XS ) > ξ2 , n,p S⊂V \{i, j} |S|≤η and node pairs (i, j) exceeding the threshold are added to the estimate Gn . [sent-430, score-0.335]
59 Theorem 5 (Structural consistency of CMIT) For structure learning of the Gaussian graphical model on a graph G p ∼ G(p; η, γ), CMIT(xn ; ξn,p , η) is consistent for a. [sent-432, score-0.333]
60 For Gaussian random variables, conditional covariances and conditional mutual information are equivalent tests for conditional independence. [sent-438, score-0.396]
61 This is due to faster decay of conditional mutual information on the edges compared to the decay of conditional covariances. [sent-441, score-0.31]
62 Thus, conditional covariances are more efficient for Gaussian graphical model selection compared to conditional mutual information. [sent-442, score-0.464]
63 Necessary Conditions for Model Selection In the previous sections, we proposed and analyzed efficient algorithms for learning the structure of Gaussian graphical models Markov on graph ensembles satisfying local-separation property. [sent-444, score-0.391]
64 2)) turns out to be too weak for the class of Erd˝ s-R´ nyi graphs GER (p, c/p), where the o e average degree13 c is much smaller than the maximum degree. [sent-451, score-0.427]
65 A graph G is drawn from the ensemble of Erd˝ s-R´ nyi o e graphs G ∼ GER (p, c/p). [sent-457, score-0.694]
66 2 Necessary Conditions for Exact Recovery To derive the necessary condition for learning Gaussian graphical models Markov on sparse Erd˝ so R´ nyi graphs G ∼ GER (p, c/p), we assume that the strict walk-summability condition with parame eter α, according to (7). [sent-475, score-0.624]
67 We are then able to demonstrate the following: Theorem 6 (Weak Converse for Gaussian Models) For a walk-summable Gaussian graphical model satisfying (7) with parameter α, for almost every graph G ∼ GER (p, c/p) as p → ∞, in order 13. [sent-476, score-0.333]
68 The edit distance d : G p × G p → N ∪ {0} between two undirected graphs G = (V, E) and G = (V, E ′ ) is defined as d(G, G′ ) := |E△E ′ |, where △ denotes the symmetric difference between the edge sets E and E ′ . [sent-490, score-0.359]
69 In our context, given a graph G, we define the d(G) to be the ratio of the number of edges of G to the total number of nodes p. [sent-511, score-0.288]
70 Every graph G ∈ Tε has an average number c of edges that is 2 ε-close in the Erd˝ s-R´ nyi ensemble. [sent-515, score-0.388]
71 Parts 1 and 3 of Lemma 8 respectively say that the set of typical graphs has high probability and has very small cardinality relative to the number of p graphs with p nodes |G p | = exp2 ( 2 ). [sent-529, score-0.575]
72 As a by-product of our previous analysis on graphical model selection, we now show the asymptotic correctness of LBP on walk-summable Gaussian models when the underlying graph is locally tree-like. [sent-537, score-0.362]
73 1 Background The belief propagation (BP) algorithm is a distributed algorithm where messages (or beliefs) are passed among the neighbors to draw inferences at the nodes of a graphical model. [sent-539, score-0.357]
74 However, if the graph is sparse (consists of few edges), the computation of node marginals may be sped up dramatically by exploiting the graph structure and using distributed algorithms to parallelize the computations. [sent-541, score-0.397]
75 Consider the event that the neighborhood of a node i has no cycles up to graph distance γ, given by Γ(i; γ, G) := {Bγ (i; G) does not contain any cycles}. [sent-552, score-0.35]
76 We assume a random graph ensemble G(p) such that for a given node i ∈ V , we have P[Γc (i; γ, G)] = o(1). [sent-553, score-0.334]
77 Recall that the class of random regular graphs G ∼ GReg (p, ∆) have a girth of O(log∆−1 p). [sent-565, score-0.353]
78 We measure the performance of methods using the notion u of the edit distance between the true and estimated graphs (for synthetic data). [sent-571, score-0.347]
79 1 Data Sets Synthetic data: In order to evaluate the performance of our algorithm in terms of error in reconstructing the graph structure, we generated samples from Gaussian graphical models for different graphs. [sent-597, score-0.362]
80 These include a single cycle graph with p = 80 nodes, an Erd˝ s-R´ nyi (ER) graph G ∼ GER (p, c/p) o e with average degree c = 1. [sent-598, score-0.558]
81 2 and Watts-Strogatz model GWatts (p, d, c/p) with degree of local graph d = 2 and average degree of the global graph c = 1. [sent-599, score-0.457]
82 For the foreign exchange data, we limited the number of edges to 100, while for synthetic data, we limited it to 100 for cycle and Erd˝ s-R´ nyi (ER) graphs and to 200 for the Watts-Strogatz o e model. [sent-620, score-0.616]
83 The choice of parameters and graphs result in valid models in our experiments, that is, the potential matrix is positive definite. [sent-624, score-0.308]
84 2688 Table 1: Normalized edit distance under CMIT, ℓ1 penalized MLE and ℓ1 penalized neighborhood selection on synthetic data from graphs listed above, where n denotes the number of samples. [sent-661, score-0.508]
85 We observe from the reconstructed graphs that geography plays a crucial role in the foreign exchange trends. [sent-673, score-0.363]
86 This algorithm succeeds on a wide range of graph ensembles such as the Erd˝ s-R´ nyi ensemble, small-world networks etc. [sent-738, score-0.373]
87 2 2 10 (b) Erd¨ s-R´ nyi o e (a) Cycle 3 10 10 Sample Size n Sample Size n (c) Watts-Strogatz Figure 7: CMIT, ℓ1 penalized MLE and ℓ1 penalized neighborhood selection methods. [sent-773, score-0.34]
88 3, we relate walk-summability in (7) to the notion of correlation decay, where the effect of faraway nodes on covariances can be controlled and the local-separation property of the graphs under consideration can be exploited. [sent-804, score-0.384]
89 The adjacency matrix AG of a graph G with maximum degree ∆G satisfies λmax (AG ) ≤ ∆G , since it is dominated by a ∆-regular graph which has maximum eigenvalue of ∆G . [sent-807, score-0.379]
90 When the graph G is a Erd˝ s-R´ nyi random graph, G ∼ GER (p, c/p), we can provide better o e bounds. [sent-811, score-0.344]
91 3 Implications of Walk-Summability Recall that ΣG denotes the covariance matrix for Gaussian graphical model on graph G and that JG = Σ−1 with JG = I − RG in (19). [sent-821, score-0.438]
92 Let Bγ (i) denote the set of nodes within γ hops from node i in graph G. [sent-824, score-0.311]
93 In other words, RHγ;i j is formed by considering the Gaussian graphical model over graph Hγ;i j . [sent-831, score-0.333]
94 1−α (22) Thus, for walk-summable Gaussian graphical models, we have α := RG < 1, implying that the error in (22) in approximating the covariance by local neighborhood decays exponentially with distance. [sent-834, score-0.339]
95 2 Thus, the conditional covariance in (25) consists of walks in the original graph G, not passing through nodes in S. [sent-859, score-0.523]
96 1 Conditional Covariance between Non-Neighbors: Normalized Case We now provide bounds on the conditional covariance for Gaussian graphical models Markov on a graph G ∼ G(p; η, γ) satisfying the local-separation property (η, γ), as per Definition 2. [sent-865, score-0.594]
97 Lemma 12 (Conditional Covariance Between Non-neighbors) For a walk-summable Gaussian graphical model, the conditional covariance between non-neighbors i and j, conditioned on Sγ , the γ-local separator between i and j, satisfies max Σ(i; j|Sγ ) = O( RG γ ). [sent-866, score-0.462]
98 Thus using (27), the conditional covariance on graph G can be bounded as ΣG (i, j|S) = O(max( Eγ , Fγ )). [sent-874, score-0.37]
99 Conditional Covariance between Non-neighbors: The conditional covariance between nonneighbors i and j, conditioned on Sγ , the γ-local separator between i and j, satisfies max Σ(i; j|Sγ ) = O j∈N (i) / αγ Dmin , (30) where Dmin := mini D(i, i) = mini J(i, i). [sent-894, score-0.37]
100 3 Conditional Covariance between Neighbors: General Case We provide a lower bound on conditional covariance among the neighbors for the graphs under consideration. [sent-901, score-0.518]
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Data Generator: The function huge.generator() can simulate multivariate Gaussian data with different undirected graphs, including hub, cluster, band, scale-free, and Erd¨ s-R´ nyi o e random graphs. The sparsity level of the obtained graph and signal-to-noise ratio can also be set up by users. M2. Semiparametric Transformation: The function huge.npn() implements the nonparanormal method (Liu et al., 2009, 2012) for estimating a semiparametric Gaussian copula model.The nonparanormal family extends the Gaussian distribution by marginally transforming the variables. Computationally, the nonparanormal transformation only requires one pass through the data matrix. M3. Graph Screening: The scr argument in the main function huge() controls the use of largescale correlation screening before graph estimation. The function supports the lossless screening (Witten et al., 2011) and the lossy screening. Such screening procedures can greatly reduce the computational cost and achieve equal or even better estimation by reducing the variance at the expense of increased bias. Figure 1: The graph estimation pipeline. M4. Graph Estimation: Similar to the glasso package, the method argument in the huge() function supports two estimation methods: (i) the neighborhood pursuit algorithm (Meinshausen and B¨ hlmann, 2006) and (ii) the graphical lasso algorithm (Friedman et al., 2007). We apply u the coordinate descent with active set and covariance update, as well as other tricks suggested in Friedman et al. (2010). We modified the warm start trick to address the potential divergence problem of the graphical lasso algorithm (Mazumder and Hastie, 2011). The code is also memory-optimized using the sparse matrix data structure when estimating and storing full regularization paths for large 1. This paper is only a summary of the package huge. For more details please refer to the online vignette. 1060 H IGH - DIMENSIONAL U NDIRECTED G RAPH E STIMATION data sets. we also provide a complementary graph estimation method based on thresholding the sample correlation matrix, which is computationally efficient and widely applied in biomedical research. M5. Model Selection: The function huge.select() provides two regularization parameter selection methods: the stability approach for regularization selection (StARS) (Liu et al., 2010); and rotation information criterion (RIC). We also provide a likelihood-based extended Bayesian information criterion. M6. Graph Visualization: The plotting functions huge.plot() and plot() provide visualizations of the simulated data sets, estimated graphs and paths. The implementation is based on the igraph package. 3. User Interface by Example We illustrate the user interface by analyzing a stock market data which we contribute to the huge package. We acquired closing prices from all stocks in the S&P; 500 for all the days that the market was open between Jan 1, 2003 and Jan 1, 2008. This gave us 1258 samples for the 452 stocks that remained in the S&P; 500 during the entire time period. > > > > > library(huge) data(stockdata) # Load the data x = log(stockdata$data[2:1258,]/stockdata$data[1:1257,]) # Preprocessing x.npn = huge.npn(x, npn.func=
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Keywords: high-dimensional undirected graph estimation, glasso, huge, semiparametric graph estimation, data-dependent model selection, lossless screening, lossy screening 1. Overview Undirected graphs is a natural approach to describe the conditional independence among many variables. Each node of the graph represents a single variable and no edge between two variables implies that they are conditional independent given all other variables. In the past decade, significant progress has been made on designing efficient algorithms to learn undirected graphs from high-dimensional observational data sets. Most of these methods are based on either the penalized maximum-likelihood estimation (Friedman et al., 2007) or penalized regression methods (Meinshausen and B¨ hlmann, 2006). Existing packages include glasso, Covpath and CLIME. In particuu ∗. Also in the Department of Biostatistics. †. Also in the Department of Machine Learning. c 2012 Zhao, Liu, Roeder, Lafferty and Wasserman. 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