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460 high scalability-2008-12-05-Scalability Perspectives #4: Kevin Kelly – One Machine


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Introduction: Scalability Perspectives is a series of posts that highlights the ideas that will shape the next decade of IT architecture. Each post is dedicated to a thought leader of the information age and his vision of the future. Be warned though – the journey into the minds and perspectives of these people requires an open mind. Warning #2: this post is wild. Kevin Kelly Kevin Kelly is Senior Maverick at Wired magazine. He helped launch Wired in 1993, and served as its Executive Editor until January 1999. He co-founded the ongoing Hackers' Conference, and was involved with the launch of the WELL, a pioneering online service started in 1985. He authored the best-selling New Rules for the New Economy and the classic book on decentralized emergent systems, Out of Control One Machine There is only one time in the history of each planet when its inhabitants first wire up its innumerable parts to make one large Machine. Later that Machine may run faster, but there is only on


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1 Scalability Perspectives is a series of posts that highlights the ideas that will shape the next decade of IT architecture. [sent-1, score-0.177]

2 He authored the best-selling New Rules for the New Economy and the classic book on decentralized emergent systems, Out of Control One Machine There is only one time in the history of each planet when its inhabitants first wire up its innumerable parts to make one large Machine. [sent-8, score-0.18]

3 Kevin Kelly's hypothesis is this: The rapidly increasing sum of all computational devices in the world connected online, including wirelessly, forms a superorganism of computation with its own emergent behaviors. [sent-12, score-0.381]

4 I define the One Machine as the emerging superorganism of computers. [sent-13, score-0.22]

5 The sub computers can compute individually on their own, and from most perspectives these units are distinct complete pieces of gear. [sent-15, score-0.269]

6 But there is an emerging smartness in their collective that is smarter than any individual computer. [sent-16, score-0.22]

7 It is like an update to his previous TED talk on Predicting the next 5000 days of the web . [sent-21, score-0.266]

8 He makes us realize that the Web is only around 6500 days old and argues that the next 6500 days will be something entirely different. [sent-22, score-0.321]

9 Dimensions of the One Machine Kevin Kelly's post on his blog The Technium back from 2007 shows us the dimensions of the One Machine : The next stage in human technological evolution is a single thinking/web/computer that is planetary in dimensions. [sent-23, score-0.388]

10 This planetary computer will be the largest, most complex and most dependable machine we have ever built. [sent-24, score-0.352]

11 3 billion land phones, 27 million data servers, and 80 million wireless PDAs. [sent-29, score-0.205]

12 A very rough estimate of the computing power of this Machine then is that it contains a billion times a billion, or one quintillion (10 ^ 18) transistors. [sent-31, score-0.339]

13 There are about 100 billion neurons in the human brain. [sent-32, score-0.413]

14 Today the Machine has as 5 orders more transistors than you have neurons in your head. [sent-33, score-0.197]

15 If we include spam, there are 196 billion emails sent every day. [sent-36, score-0.262]

16 Each day 14 billion instant messages are sent, at 162 kilohertz. [sent-41, score-0.205]

17 There are 20 billion visible, searchable web pages and another 900 billion dark, unsearchable, or deep web pages. [sent-45, score-0.647]

18 The average number of links found on each searchable web page is 62. [sent-46, score-0.264]

19 There is roughly between 100 billion and 100 trillion synapses in the human brain, which puts the Machine in the same neighborhood as our brains. [sent-49, score-0.506]

20 Information Sources One Machine and its dimensions on Kevin Kelly's blog The Technium Wired: We are the Web Kevin Kelly on the Future of the Web Kevin Kelly @ TED: Predicting the next 5000 days of the web John H. [sent-55, score-0.333]


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